Xinxiang Tianli Energy Co. Ltd. A (301152) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.2B CNY
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +22.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but trading 844% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.62). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥1.31 to ¥3.62). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
48‑month range ¥18.26 – ¥68.22 · fair‑value band ¥1.31 – ¥3.62 · the ¥23.32 price screens above the ¥2.47 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
Analysis
Xinxiang Tianli Energy Co. Ltd. A (301152) currently trades at ¥23.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.47, implying the stock looks roughly 89.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Xinxiang Tianli Energy Co. Ltd. A generated revenue of 2.3B CNY at a net margin of -6.7%. Revenue grew 23.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.7%. Net debt stands at 256M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.31 (bear case) to ¥3.62 (bull case); at ¥23.32, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -89%, 301152 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥7.55) versus Multiples (¥3.98). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Tianli Lithium Energy Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of ternary cathode materials for lithium batteries in China. The company offers ternary precursors, ternary materials, lithium iron phosphate, lithium nickel cobalt manganese oxide, lithium carbonate and other lithium battery materials.
Full company description
Tianli Lithium Energy Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of ternary cathode materials for lithium batteries in China. The company offers ternary precursors, ternary materials, lithium iron phosphate, lithium nickel cobalt manganese oxide, lithium carbonate and other lithium battery materials. Its products have applications in the fields of electric vehicles, electric bicycles, mobile energy storage equipment and power tools. The company was formerly known as Xinxiang Tianli Energy Co., Ltd. Tianli Lithium Energy Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 2009 and is based in Xinxiang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xinxiang Tianli Energy Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of ¥2.2B in FY2025 versus ¥1.7B in FY2021, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was −¥201M in FY2025.
301152 screens 89% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →
Peer Group
Electrical Equipment & Parts · 554 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 | HK$652.50 | HK$394.19 | -40% |
| ABB Ltd ABBN | CHF 80.38 | CHF 28.31 | -65% |
| Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED | 10.40 SGD | 1.47 SGD | -86% |
| Vertiv Holdings VRT | $288.36 | $63.13 | -78% |
| LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 | 365,500 KRW | 201,455 KRW | -45% |
| Prysmian S.p.A PRY | €131.40 | €84.15 | -36% |
| Legrand SA LR | €134.65 | €78.82 | -41% |
| Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 | ¥117.53 | ¥123.83 | +5% |
| Hubbell Incorporated HUBB | $512.90 | $285.77 | -44% |
| Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 | ¥61.07 | ¥33.04 | -46% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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