Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A ¥12.25, price ¥13.92, upside -12.0%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
43‑month range ¥9.02 – ¥22.20 · fair‑value band ¥7.08 – ¥17.91 · the ¥13.92 price screens above the ¥12.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of gas metering instruments and supporting products in China and internationally.
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Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of gas metering instruments and supporting products in China and internationally. The company offers domestic meters, industrial and commercial diaphragm gas meter, prepaid meter, gas detector; gas rotary flowmeter, gas turbine flowmeter, ultrasonic flowmeter, electronic volume corrector, intelligent flow controller; and stainless-steel corrugated hose. It also provides iGasLink, a smart gas cloud platform. Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. was founded in 2011 and is based in Shanghai, China.
Stock analysis
Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303) currently trades at ¥13.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.25, implying the stock looks roughly 13.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥17.59 per share, and 8 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥13.92 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ¥3.92, and 16 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥7.08 (bear) to ¥17.91 (bull), the price of ¥13.92 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A reported revenue of 1.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound +13.8%/yr. Reported net income was 343M CNY in FY2025, compounding +12.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 6.6B CNY (≈ $991M) · P/E ratio 17.4 · P/S ratio 3.35 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.8000 · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin 19.2% · Return on equity 9.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −12%, 301303 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥7.08Fair Value ¥12.25Bull ¥17.91
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.3072 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.4%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.7%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 22%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+41.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +39.5% a year for the price.
Compare Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 550 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−12% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)18% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)14% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301303
Frequently asked questions
Is Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥12.25 versus a price of ¥13.92, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301303?
Our model-based fair value for Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A is ¥12.25 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.92.
What is the quality score of 301303?
Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥12.25 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥7.08, optimistic scenario ¥17.91. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥12.25, about −12% upside versus a price of ¥13.92 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥7.08, optimistic scenario ¥17.91. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303)?
Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.73% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A would have to grow free cash flow by +41.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +13.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 301303 use?
Our models discount Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.47, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A that is +41.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A grew +13.8 % a year. The price currently implies +41.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (+41.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.07 %: that much free cash flow Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A it is ¥12.25 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥13.92. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 301303 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥13.92, fair value ¥12.25, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301303?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.92); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥12.25). For Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A the two are ¥1.67 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A worth?
The market values Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A at about 6.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.92; our models calculate a fair value of ¥12.25 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301303?
Our models span a range for Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥7.08, base ¥12.25, optimistic ¥17.91 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥13.92). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301303?
Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥12.25 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.9, P/S 3.7, EV/EBITDA 17.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301303 from its 52-week high?
Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A trades at ¥13.92, about 24% below its 52-week high of ¥18.30 and 11% above the low of ¥12.57 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥12.25 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Vertiv Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥13.92, calculated fair value ¥12.25 (−12%), Quality Score 45/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301303 calculated?
We run Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥12.25, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥13.92. Our model-based fair value is ¥12.25, about −12% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥7.08 to ¥17.91) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A
How large is the market capitalisation of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303)?
The market capitalisation of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A is 6.6B CNY (≈ $991M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A is 3.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303)?
Earnings per share at Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A are ¥0.8000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303)?
The dividend yield of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A is 2.7% (payout 47.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303)?
The net margin of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A is 19.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A is 11.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303)?
The operating margin of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A is 13.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303)?
Revenue at Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A is growing +5.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303)?
Earnings per share at Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A are growing −23.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A (301303) carry?
The net debt of Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. A is 49.2M CNY (fiscal year 2022, ≈ 0.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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