KSEC Intelligent Technology Co (301311) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 3.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥6.01 to ¥4.52 (−24.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 67% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
44‑month range ¥12.47 – ¥32.65 · the ¥13.56 price screens above the ¥4.52 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
KSEC Intelligent Technology Co (301311) currently trades at ¥13.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.52, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, KSEC Intelligent Technology Co generated revenue of 1.9B CNY at a net margin of -5.6%. Revenue declined 31.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.9%. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -67%, 301311 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥8.40) versus Earnings-Based (¥4.52). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
KSEC Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the planning, research, development, design, production, implementation, and operation services of intelligent logistics and production lines systems and equipment.
Full company description
KSEC Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the planning, research, development, design, production, implementation, and operation services of intelligent logistics and production lines systems and equipment. The company offers stereoscopic warehouse, handling and conveying, and sorting and distribution systems; logistics equipment, software, and automation control products, including stackers, automated guided vehicles, rail guided vehicle/shuttle vehicles, software and automation control products, and planning and design services of intelligent cigarette distribution centers and supporting systems; and intelligent tobacco production line systems and equipment comprising threshing and redrying line systems, thread making systems, packaging integrated systems, equipment, and software, as well as intelligent production lines for other industries. It also provides production, testing, and after-sales services for other products. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Kunming, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
KSEC Intelligent Technology Co reported revenue of ¥2.0B in FY2025 versus ¥1.9B in FY2021, a compound +1.1%/yr. Reported net income was −¥94.8M in FY2025.
301311 screens 67% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →
Peer Group
Information Technology Services · 480 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| International Business Machines Corporation IBM | $235.92 | $143.90 | -39% |
| Accenture plc ACNN | 2,460 MXN | 250.95 MXN | -90% |
| Infosys Limited INFY | ₹1,156 | ₹1,457 | +26% |
| HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH | ₹1,204 | ₹1,230 | +2% |
| Wipro Limited WIPRO | ₹178.43 | ₹226.81 | +27% |
| Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM | ₹1,455 | ₹1,086 | -25% |
| Samsung SDS Co 018260 | 199,300 KRW | 196,390 KRW | -1% |
| Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT | ₹5,059 | ₹2,364 | -53% |
| Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 | 393,000 KRW | 133,088 KRW | -66% |
| Coforge Limited COFORGE | ₹1,541 | ₹702.84 | -54% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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