SMARTGEN (Zhengzhou) Technology Co (301361) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥14.51 to ¥14.10 (−2.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.1% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 51% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 76/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥17.62). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
45‑month range ¥12.58 – ¥49.77 · fair‑value band ¥10.57 – ¥17.62 · the ¥28.86 price screens above the ¥14.10 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
SMARTGEN (Zhengzhou) Technology Co (301361) currently trades at ¥28.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.10, implying the stock looks roughly 51.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, SMARTGEN (Zhengzhou) Technology Co generated revenue of 305M CNY at a net margin of 32.2%. Revenue grew 25.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 39.7. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥10.57 (bear case) to ¥17.62 (bull case); at ¥28.86, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -51%, 301361 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥15.68) versus Asset-Based (¥7.06). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
SMARTGEN (Zhengzhou) Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacturing, sales, and service of control systems in China.
Full company description
SMARTGEN (Zhengzhou) Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacturing, sales, and service of control systems in China. It offers genset controller, new energy controller, ATSE controller, marine diesel controller, engine controller, marine generator control module, expansion module, charger, voltage regulator, control panel, ATS, heater, cloud monitoring modem, module, and product accessories. The company also provides genset control, low-voltage distribution solutions, marine products, engineering machinery, and new energy solutions. It serves mining and oil extraction, AI data centers, ships, offshore islands, smart buildings, zero-carbon industrial parks, telecommunications, infrastructure, and commercial and industrial energy storage industries. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Zhengzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
SMARTGEN (Zhengzhou) Technology Co reported revenue of ¥290M in FY2025 versus ¥203M in FY2021, a compound +9.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥96.5M in FY2025, compounding +9.1%/yr from FY2021.
301361 screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →
Peer Group
Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 | HK$675.50 | HK$391.44 | -42% |
| ABB Ltd ABBN | CHF 83.82 | CHF 35.46 | -58% |
| Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED | 10.16 SGD | 1.47 SGD | -86% |
| LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 | 334,000 KRW | 201,455 KRW | -40% |
| WEG S.A WEGE3 | 13,210 ARS | 7,948 ARS | -40% |
| Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 | ¥114.79 | ¥123.83 | +8% |
| Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 | ¥63.43 | ¥33.04 | -48% |
| HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 | 823,000 KRW | 371,133 KRW | -55% |
| LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 | 190,000 KRW | 31,517 KRW | -83% |
| Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 | ¥151.73 | ¥71.69 | -53% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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