Yanbu Cement Co. (3060) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Yanbu Cement Co. SAR 18.32, price SAR 14.96, upside +22.4%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 13.28 SAR – 36.81 SAR · fair‑value band 16.53 SAR – 22.90 SAR · the 14.96 SAR price screens below the 18.32 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Yanbu Cement Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacturing, producing, and trading of cement and related products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and internationally. It offers ordinary and premium Portland, Pozzolanic Portland, green cement, finishing Portland, and sulphate resistance cement products.
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Yanbu Cement Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacturing, producing, and trading of cement and related products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and internationally. It offers ordinary and premium Portland, Pozzolanic Portland, green cement, finishing Portland, and sulphate resistance cement products. The company is also involved in the manufacturing and wholesale trading of cement paper; and sale of packed, bulk cement, clinker, and cement bags. Yanbu Cement Company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Jeddah, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Yanbu Cement Co. (3060) currently trades at 14.96 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 18.32 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 18.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 18.27 SAR per share, and 11 of the 24 models we run sit above the 14.96 SAR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 6.07 SAR, and 13 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 16.53 SAR (bear) to 22.90 SAR (bull), the price of 14.96 SAR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Yanbu Cement Co. reported revenue of 1.1B SAR in FY2025 versus 934M SAR in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was 104M SAR in FY2025, compounding −10.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.4B SAR (≈ $631M) · P/E ratio 21.1 · P/S ratio 2.03 · EPS (TTM) 0.7100 SAR · Dividend yield 8.4% · Net margin 9.6% · Return on equity 4.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at 22%, 3060 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 16.53 SARFair Value 18.32 SARBull 22.90 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+23.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.9% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−8.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−16.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)8.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−17% vs −19%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.32% → 12%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 5.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−9.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −10.9% a year for the price and +0.8% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 258 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+23% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)17% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)8.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
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Is Yanbu Cement Co. (3060) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 18.32 SAR versus a price of 14.96 SAR, about +22% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 3060?
Our model-based fair value for Yanbu Cement Co. is 18.32 SAR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 14.96 SAR.
What is the quality score of 3060?
Yanbu Cement Co. has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yanbu Cement Co. (3060)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 18.32 SAR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 16.53 SAR, optimistic scenario 22.90 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yanbu Cement Co. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 18.32 SAR, about +22% upside versus a price of 14.96 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 16.53 SAR, optimistic scenario 22.90 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yanbu Cement Co. (3060)?
Yanbu Cement Co. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Yanbu Cement Co. pay a dividend?
Yanbu Cement Co. currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.36% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Yanbu Cement Co. (3060)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Yanbu Cement Co. would have to grow free cash flow by -9.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 3060 use?
Our models discount Yanbu Cement Co. at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.11, country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Yanbu Cement Co. that is -9.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Yanbu Cement Co. (3060) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Yanbu Cement Co. grew +2.9 % a year. The price currently implies -9.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Yanbu Cement Co. (3060) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Yanbu Cement Co. (-9.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Yanbu Cement Co. (3060)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.36 %: that much free cash flow Yanbu Cement Co. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Yanbu Cement Co. (3060)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yanbu Cement Co. it is 18.32 SAR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 14.96 SAR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Yanbu Cement Co. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 3060 trades below its calculated fair value: price 14.96 SAR, fair value 18.32 SAR, a gap of about +22% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3060?
No. The price is what the market pays today (14.96 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (18.32 SAR). For Yanbu Cement Co. the two are 3.36 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yanbu Cement Co. worth?
The market values Yanbu Cement Co. at about 2.4B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 14.96 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 18.32 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3060?
Our models span a range for Yanbu Cement Co.: cautious scenario 16.53 SAR, base 18.32 SAR, optimistic 22.90 SAR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 14.96 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 3060?
Yanbu Cement Co. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 18.32 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 1.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yanbu Cement Co. (3060)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yanbu Cement Co. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.3%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3060 from its 52-week high?
Yanbu Cement Co. trades at 14.96 SAR, about 6% below its 52-week high of 15.87 SAR and 13% above the low of 13.28 SAR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 18.32 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yanbu Cement Co.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Vulcan Materials Company, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yanbu Cement Co. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 14.96 SAR, calculated fair value 18.32 SAR (+22%), Quality Score 69/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3060 calculated?
We run Yanbu Cement Co. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 18.32 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Yanbu Cement Co. currently trades 22 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yanbu Cement Co. (3060)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 14.96 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 18.32 SAR, about +22% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yanbu Cement Co. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (16.53 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Yanbu Cement Co. (3060) come from?
Earnings per share at Yanbu Cement Co. grew −17.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −5.3 %, EBIT margin −11.9 %, tax rate −0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Yanbu Cement Co.
How large is the market capitalisation of Yanbu Cement Co. (3060)?
The market capitalisation of Yanbu Cement Co. is 2.4B SAR (≈ $631M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yanbu Cement Co. (3060)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yanbu Cement Co. is 2.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yanbu Cement Co. (3060)?
Earnings per share at Yanbu Cement Co. are 0.7100 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Yanbu Cement Co. (3060)?
The dividend yield of Yanbu Cement Co. is 8.4% (payout 176%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Yanbu Cement Co. (3060)?
The net margin of Yanbu Cement Co. is 9.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yanbu Cement Co. (3060)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yanbu Cement Co. is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yanbu Cement Co. (3060)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yanbu Cement Co. is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yanbu Cement Co. (3060)?
The operating margin of Yanbu Cement Co. is 16.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yanbu Cement Co. (3060)?
Revenue at Yanbu Cement Co. is growing −4.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yanbu Cement Co. (3060)?
Earnings per share at Yanbu Cement Co. are growing +25.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Yanbu Cement Co. (3060) carry?
The net debt of Yanbu Cement Co. is 80.8M SAR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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