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Yanbu Cement Company (3060) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · SA · Market cap 2.4B SAR

YC Yanbu Cement Company 3060 · SR
Price14.94 SAR
Fair Value16.98 SAR
Upside+13.6%
Quality69/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
8.39% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: High Range 12.73 SAR – 21.22 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 10 days ago

Share price −4.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 14% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from 12.73 SAR (bear) to 21.22 SAR (bull), base 16.98 SAR. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 69/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

36.81 SAR 13.28 SAR Fair Value 16.98 SAR Jan 2020 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 13.28 SAR – 36.81 SAR · fair‑value band 12.73 SAR – 21.22 SAR · the 14.94 SAR price screens below the 16.98 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Yanbu Cement Company (3060) currently trades at 14.94 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.98 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 13.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Yanbu Cement Company generated revenue of 1.1B SAR at a net margin of 10.5%. Revenue declined 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. Net debt stands at 80.8M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 12.73 SAR (bear case) to 21.22 SAR (bull case); at 14.94 SAR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 14%, 3060 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 22.89 SAR 30.24 SAR 42.72 SAR 80
Residual Income 11.89 SAR 11.93 SAR 10.85 SAR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 12.99 SAR 16.95 SAR 22.11 SAR 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 22.02 SAR 29.62 SAR 43.66 SAR 38
Owner Earnings 15.23 SAR 20.45 SAR 30.07 SAR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 12.99 SAR 16.43 SAR 21.47 SAR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 16.32 SAR 22.16 SAR 30.00 SAR 41
5Y P/E Exit 13.36 SAR 17.07 SAR 21.63 SAR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 16.29 SAR 19.32 SAR 22.40 SAR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 18.46 SAR 22.85 SAR 27.44 SAR 37
10Y P/E Exit 16.70 SAR 19.72 SAR 22.50 SAR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 4.51 SAR 6.07 SAR 7.02 SAR 54
EPV 6.90 SAR 7.93 SAR 8.81 SAR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 10.80 SAR 11.77 SAR 13.23 SAR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 10.80 SAR 13.59 SAR 17.23 SAR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 8.46 SAR 11.28 SAR 14.10 SAR 63
P/S Multiple 7.74 SAR 10.32 SAR 12.90 SAR 58
P/B Multiple 8.46 SAR 11.28 SAR 14.10 SAR 55
EV/EBIT 8.99 SAR 11.84 SAR 14.69 SAR 53
EV/EBITDA 14.60 SAR 19.32 SAR 24.05 SAR 54
EV/Revenue 7.65 SAR 10.75 SAR 13.84 SAR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 7.98 SAR 10.69 SAR 15.95 SAR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 22.89 SAR 30.24 SAR 42.72 SAR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 12.99 SAR 16.95 SAR 22.11 SAR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 11.89 SAR 11.93 SAR 10.85 SAR 76
ROIC Compounder 6.90 SAR 7.93 SAR 8.81 SAR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 6.02 SAR 8.61 SAR 11.19 SAR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (19.72 SAR) versus Earnings-Based (6.07 SAR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.1B SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.6%
Net margin 10.5%
Return on equity 4.3%
Free cash flow 364M SAR FY2025
P/E ratio 21.0
More key figures
Operating margin 16.8%
EPS (TTM) 0.7100 SAR
Dividend yield 8.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +25.5%
Net debt 80.8M SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yanbu Cement Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacturing, producing, and trading of cement and related products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and internationally. It offers ordinary and premium Portland, Pozzolanic Portland, green cement, finishing Portland, and sulphate resistance cement products.

Full company description

Yanbu Cement Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacturing, producing, and trading of cement and related products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and internationally. It offers ordinary and premium Portland, Pozzolanic Portland, green cement, finishing Portland, and sulphate resistance cement products. The company is also involved in the manufacturing and wholesale trading of cement paper; and sale of packed, bulk cement, clinker, and cement bags. Yanbu Cement Company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Jeddah, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yanbu Cement Company reported revenue of 1.1B SAR in FY2025 versus 934M SAR in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was 104M SAR in FY2025, compounding −10.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.1B SAR
Latest YoY
+23.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.3%
Revenue +3.8%/yr
FY21 934M SAR
FY22 981M SAR
FY23 781M SAR
FY24 876M SAR
FY25 1.1B SAR
Net income −10.0%/yr
FY21 160M SAR
FY22 215M SAR
FY23 120M SAR
FY24 157M SAR
FY25 104M SAR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −17.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share −5.3 pp

of which total revenue −5.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin −11.9 pp
Tax rate −0.9 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yanbu Cement Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3060

Peer Group

Building Materials · 253 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +14% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 8.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.25× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.59× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 1.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 51 · sector 27
FUTURE 0 · sector 2
PAST 17 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $102.92 $70.57 -31%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,711 ₹4,719 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥54.52 ¥13.95 -74%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,073 ₹1,245 -59%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 15.42 MXN -29%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥16.99 ¥26.14 +54%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹435.25 ₹227.96 -48%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹26,930 ₹8,215 -69%
TCC Group 1101B 43.70 TWD 10.48 TWD -76%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 53.30 TWD 13.98 TWD -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yanbu Cement Company (3060) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16.98 SAR versus a price of 14.94 SAR, about +14% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 3060?
Our model-based fair value for Yanbu Cement Company is 16.98 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 14.94 SAR.
What is the quality score of 3060?
Yanbu Cement Company has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yanbu Cement Company (3060)?
Yanbu Cement Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 3060?
The net profit margin of Yanbu Cement Company is about 10.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Yanbu Cement Company pay a dividend?
Yanbu Cement Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.39% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 31, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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