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China National Building Material Co Ltd (3323) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$37.4B

CN China National Building Material Co Ltd 3323 · HK
PriceHK$3.85
Fair ValueHK$9.02
Upside+134.3%
Quality40/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -1.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.81% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$1.80 – HK$16.93 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 19, 2026, revised from HK$9.01 to HK$9.02 (+0.1%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +8.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 134% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$1.80 to HK$16.93). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$9.31 HK$1.90 Fair Value HK$9.02 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$1.90 – HK$9.31 · fair‑value band HK$1.80 – HK$16.93 · the HK$3.85 price screens below the HK$9.02 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

China National Building Material Co Ltd (3323) currently trades at HK$3.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$9.02, implying the stock looks roughly 134.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, China National Building Material Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$178B at a net margin of -1.9%. Revenue declined 5.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.5%. Net debt stands at HK$172B. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$1.80 (bear case) to HK$16.93 (bull case); at HK$3.85, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at 134%, 3323 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$2.35 HK$9.57 HK$21.47 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.41 HK$5.63 74
Gordon GGM HK$1.14 HK$2.36 HK$3.74 70
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$2.35 HK$10.01 HK$22.83 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.36 HK$5.61 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$5.11 HK$15.50 HK$28.33 41
10Y Revenue Exit HK$2.86 HK$7.84 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$4.07 HK$13.06 HK$26.36 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$1.14 HK$2.36 HK$3.74 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$1.14 HK$1.99 HK$2.48 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$7.85 HK$13.17 HK$18.48 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$5.70 HK$7.64 HK$11.41 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$2.35 HK$9.57 HK$21.47 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.41 HK$5.63 74

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$13.17) versus Growth DCF (HK$1.41). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$178B
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.7%
Net margin -1.9%
Return on equity -0.5%
Free cash flow HK$8.2B FY2025
Operating margin -5.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$0.3000
Dividend yield 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +33.3%
Net debt HK$172B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 18
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China National Building Material Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in building material, new materials, and engineering technical services businesses. The company operates through five segments: Cement, Concrete, New materials, Engineering Technology Services, and Others.

Full company description

China National Building Material Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in building material, new materials, and engineering technical services businesses. The company operates through five segments: Cement, Concrete, New materials, Engineering Technology Services, and Others. It produces and sells cement, concrete, aggregate, and fibreglass, as well as composite and light building materials. The company also provides wind power blades, lithium battery separator, hydrogen energy storage and transportation equipment, carbon fiber, graphite powder, spherical graphite, and graphite anode materials; and engineering technology services to glass and cement manufacturers and equipment procurement. In addition, it is involved in the merchandise trading and other businesses, as well as operates a chain of warehouse; and offers procurement supply chain services. The company operates in the People's Republic of China, Europe, the Middle East, Asia, Oceania, Africa, the Americas, and internationally. China National Building Material Company Limited was founded in 2005 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China National Building Material Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$178B in FY2025 versus HK$274B in FY2021, a compound −10.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$3.3B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$178B
Latest YoY
−1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.5%
Revenue −10.2%/yr
FY21 HK$274B
FY22 HK$234B
FY23 HK$210B
FY24 HK$181B
FY25 HK$178B
Net income
FY21 HK$17.1B
FY22 HK$8.8B
FY23 HK$4.4B
FY24 HK$2.9B
FY25 −HK$3.3B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +13.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +18.6 pp

of which total revenue +7.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +11.3 pp

EBIT margin −9.4 pp
Tax rate +0.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +3.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China National Building Material Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3323

Peer Group

Building Materials · 258 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +134% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.93× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.48× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 21
FUTURE0 · sector 2
PAST0 · sector 15
HEALTH54 · sector 93
DIVIDEND78 · sector 43

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,891 ₹4,718 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥40.56 ¥13.22 -67%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,293 ₹1,245 -62%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 12.27 MXN -43%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥17.49 ¥26.14 +49%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹421.00 ₹216.73 -49%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹25,570 ₹8,215 -68%
TCC Group 1101B 43.15 TWD 9.76 TWD -77%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 57.60 TWD 13.98 TWD -76%
J.K. Cement Limited JKCEMENT ₹5,349 ₹2,184 -59%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China National Building Material Co Ltd (3323) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$9.02 versus a price of HK$3.85, about +134% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 3323?
Our model-based fair value for China National Building Material Co Ltd is HK$9.02 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$3.85.
What is the quality score of 3323?
China National Building Material Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China National Building Material Co Ltd (3323)?
China National Building Material Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$178B (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 3323?
The net profit margin of China National Building Material Co Ltd is about -1.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does China National Building Material Co Ltd pay a dividend?
China National Building Material Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.81% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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