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China Ting Group Holdings Ltd (3398) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$246M

CT China Ting Group Holdings Ltd 3398 · HK
PriceHK$0.0900
Fair ValueHK$0.0270
Upside-70.0%
Quality44/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -8.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 1/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0270 – HK$0.0270 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.0238 to HK$0.0270 (+13.7%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price −23.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 70% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0270). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.3750 HK$0.0530 Fair Value HK$0.0270 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0530 – HK$0.3750 · the HK$0.0900 price screens above the HK$0.0270 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

China Ting Group Holdings Ltd (3398) currently trades at HK$0.0900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0270, implying the stock looks roughly 70.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, China Ting Group Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$1.6B at a net margin of -8.6%. Revenue declined 9.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.3%. Net debt stands at HK$629M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 27% fair-value upside, at -70%, 3398 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 61
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.3600 HK$0.4800 HK$0.7200 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.3600 HK$0.4800 HK$0.7200 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.4800) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0200). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) -9.7%
Net margin -8.6%
Return on equity -8.3%
Free cash flow −HK$117M FY2025
Operating margin -12.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0400
Net debt HK$629M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 38
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China Ting Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures, sells, trades, exports, and retails garments and branded fashion apparels in Mainland China, North America, the European Union, Hong Kong, and internationally.

Full company description

China Ting Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures, sells, trades, exports, and retails garments and branded fashion apparels in Mainland China, North America, the European Union, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company operates through Manufacturing and Sales of Garments on an Original Equipment Manufacturer Basis; Manufacturing and Retailing of Branded Fashion Apparel; and Property Investment in Chinese Mainland segments. It is also involved in the manufacture of wool textiles and knitwear; printing and dyeing silk and other fabrics; weaving of silk fabric and spun silk fabric; and property investment and holding activities. The company retails its products under the FINITY, ELANIE RIESE, RIVERSTONE, Trenta, Volcom, VILEBREQUIN, SPRAYGROUND, and JOTT brands through e-commerce, self-operated store, and franchisees. China Ting Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong. The company operates as a subsidiary of Longerview Investments Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Ting Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$1.6B in FY2025 versus HK$1.6B in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$141M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 13/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$1.6B
Latest YoY
+1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.7%
Revenue +0.4%/yr
FY21 HK$1.6B
FY22 HK$1.8B
FY23 HK$1.7B
FY24 HK$1.6B
FY25 HK$1.6B
Net income
FY21 −HK$333M
FY22 −HK$152M
FY23 −HK$362M
FY24 −HK$481M
FY25 −HK$141M

3398 screens 70% overvalued. Compare with H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Ting Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3398

Peer Group

Apparel Manufacturing · 214 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −67% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -12% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -10% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.13× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.25× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 30
FUTURE 0 · sector 5
PAST 0 · sector 21
HEALTH 94 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 43 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB HMB kr 174.25 kr 165.47 -5%
LPP SA LPP 22,220 PLN 17,754 PLN -20%
Bosideng International Holdings 3998 HK$4.65 HK$5.92 +27%
Youngor Fashion Co 600177 ¥7.78 ¥5.59 -28%
Page Industries Limited PAGEIND ₹38,295 ₹12,395 -68%
Hla Group 600398 ¥6.07 ¥9.92 +63%
Youngone Corporation 111770 85,200 KRW 188,736 KRW +122%
F&F Co 383220 68,800 KRW 179,500 KRW +161%
Youngone Holdings 009970 188,300 KRW 697,038 KRW +270%
Wiselink Co 8932 105.00 TWD 37.95 TWD -64%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Ting Group Holdings Ltd (3398) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0270 versus a price of HK$0.0900, about −70% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3398?
Our model-based fair value for China Ting Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0270 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0900.
What is the quality score of 3398?
China Ting Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China Ting Group Holdings Ltd (3398)?
China Ting Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 3398?
The net profit margin of China Ting Group Holdings Ltd is about -8.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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