Simula Technology (3511) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TW · Market cap 1.6B TWD (≈ $50.8M) · ISIN TW0003511002
What is Simula Technology really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 861% above our fair value of 2.05 TWD.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 28, 2026, revised from 2.11 TWD to 2.05 TWD (−2.8%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −1.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.89 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (1.11 TWD to 2.89 TWD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 18.10 TWD – 49.79 TWD · fair‑value band 1.11 TWD – 2.89 TWD · the 19.70 TWD price screens above the 2.05 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
Analysis
Simula Technology (3511) currently trades at 19.70 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.05 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 860.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 10.89 TWD per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the 19.70 TWD price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 1.56 TWD, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Simula Technology generated revenue of 1.8B TWD at a net margin of −4.7%. Revenue grew 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −6.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 424M TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.11 TWD (bear case) to 2.89 TWD (bull case); at 19.70 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −90%, 3511 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (10.89 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (1.56 TWD). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (66).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Simula Technology Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells connectors, cables, and accessories in Taiwan, China, the United States, Thailand, and internationally.
Full company description
Simula Technology Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells connectors, cables, and accessories in Taiwan, China, the United States, Thailand, and internationally. It offers audio and DC jacks; pogo pin series, M-series, and circular plastic and push-pull circular series; USB products; heavy duty connectors; plugs and receptacles; cable assemblies; customized solutions; and accessories. Its products are used in consumer electronics, fleet telematics, medical and healthcare, drone, robotics, and industrial and outdoor applications. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Taoyuan City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Simula Technology reported revenue of 1.8B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.1B TWD in FY2021, a compound −13.1%/yr. Reported net income was −94.2M TWD in FY2025.
3511 screens 861% overvalued. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →
Peer Group
Electronic Components · 639 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphenol Corporation APH | $157.74 | $97.19 | −38% |
| Corning Incorporated GLW | CHF 134.64 | CHF 35.18 | −74% |
| Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 | 1,750 TWD | 602.37 TWD | −66% |
| Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 | ¥56.06 | ¥38.44 | −31% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 | 1,503,000 KRW | 172,954 KRW | −88% |
| Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 | ¥202.11 | ¥21.19 | −90% |
| TE Connectivity plc TEL | $202.66 | $144.42 | −29% |
| Shengyi Technology Co 600183 | ¥132.80 | ¥36.30 | −73% |
| Flex Ltd FLEX | $124.53 | $48.10 | −61% |
| Celestica Inc CLS | $298.70 | $113.54 | −62% |
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