Simula Technology (3511) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 20, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Simula Technology stock TWD 2.53, price TWD 18.90, upside -86.6%, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 18.10 TWD – 49.79 TWD · fair‑value band 1.24 TWD – 3.93 TWD · the 18.90 TWD price screens above the 2.53 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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Simula Technology Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells connectors, cables, and accessories in Taiwan, China, the United States, Thailand, and internationally.
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It offers audio and DC jacks; pogo pin series, M-series, and circular plastic and push-pull circular series; USB products; heavy duty connectors; plugs and receptacles; cable assemblies; customized solutions; and accessories.
Its products are used in consumer electronics, fleet telematics, medical and healthcare, drone, robotics, and industrial and outdoor applications. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Taoyuan City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Simula Technology (3511) currently trades at 18.90 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.53 TWD, 86.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 10.89 TWD per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the 18.90 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 1.90 TWD, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1.24 TWD (bear) to 3.93 TWD (bull), the price of 18.90 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Simula Technology reported revenue of 1.8B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.1B TWD in FY2021, a compound −13.1%/yr. Reported net income was −94.2M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.5B TWD (≈ $46.4M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.88 · EPS (TTM) −0.9500 TWD · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin −4.2% · Return on equity −5.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.7% · Operating margin −6.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −87%, 3511 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear1.24 TWDFair Value 2.53 TWDBull3.93 TWD
Price 18.90 TWD · Upside -86.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.32/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−25.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.6% (2020) → −8.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 646 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside−86.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−3.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−4.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−6.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)11.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.7% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.16× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.84× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)56· sector 63
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)14· sector 24
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Simula Technology Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3511
Frequently asked questions
Is Simula Technology (3511) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.53 TWD versus a price of 18.90 TWD, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3511?
Our model-based fair value for Simula Technology is 2.53 TWD (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 18.90 TWD.
What is the quality score of 3511?
Simula Technology has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Simula Technology (3511)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.53 TWD (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.24 TWD, optimistic scenario 3.93 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Simula Technology stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.53 TWD, about −87% upside versus a price of 18.90 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.24 TWD, optimistic scenario 3.93 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Simula Technology (3511)?
Simula Technology reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B TWD (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
Does Simula Technology pay a dividend?
Simula Technology currently shows a dividend yield of 0.69% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Simula Technology (3511)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Simula Technology it is 2.53 TWD per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of 18.90 TWD. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Simula Technology stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, 3511 trades above its calculated fair value: price 18.90 TWD, fair value 2.53 TWD, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3511?
No. The price is what the market pays today (18.90 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.53 TWD). For Simula Technology the two are 16.37 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Simula Technology worth?
The market values Simula Technology at about 1.5B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is 18.90 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 2.53 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3511?
Our models span a range for Simula Technology: cautious scenario 1.24 TWD, base 2.53 TWD, optimistic 3.93 TWD per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price 18.90 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Simula Technology (3511)?
Balance-sheet figures for Simula Technology (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −5.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3511 from its 52-week high?
Simula Technology trades at 18.90 TWD, about 33% below its 52-week high of 28.15 TWD and 4% above the low of 18.10 TWD (as of Oct 20, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.53 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Simula Technology?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Simula Technology stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price 18.90 TWD, calculated fair value 2.53 TWD (−87%), Quality Score 49/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3511 calculated?
We run Simula Technology through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.53 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Simula Technology itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Simula Technology (3511)?
The closing price on Oct 20, 2026 was 18.90 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 2.53 TWD, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Simula Technology right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.93 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (1.24 TWD to 3.93 TWD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Simula Technology
How large is the market capitalisation of Simula Technology (3511)?
The market capitalisation of Simula Technology is 1.5B TWD (≈ $46.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Simula Technology (3511)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Simula Technology is 0.88 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Simula Technology (3511)?
Earnings per share at Simula Technology are −0.9500 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Simula Technology (3511)?
The dividend yield of Simula Technology is 0.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Simula Technology (3511)?
The net margin of Simula Technology is −4.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Simula Technology (3511)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Simula Technology is −5.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Simula Technology (3511)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Simula Technology is 0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Simula Technology (3511)?
The operating margin of Simula Technology is −6.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Simula Technology (3511)?
Revenue at Simula Technology is growing +11.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −25.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Simula Technology (3511)?
Earnings per share at Simula Technology are growing −5.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Simula Technology (3511) generate?
The free cash flow of Simula Technology is −192M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Simula Technology (3511) hold?
Simula Technology holds more cash than debt, 424M TWD net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Oct 4, 2026