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Simula Technology (3511) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · TW · Market cap 1.6B TWD (≈ $50.8M) · ISIN TW0003511002

What is Simula Technology really worth?

ST Simula Technology 3511 · TWO
Price19.70 TWD
Fair Value2.05 TWD
Upside−89.6%
Quality46/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 861% above our fair value of 2.05 TWD.

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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +11.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -4.2% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 12 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range 1.11 TWD – 2.89 TWD

Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 28, 2026, revised from 2.11 TWD to 2.05 TWD (−2.8%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −1.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.89 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (1.11 TWD to 2.89 TWD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

49.79 TWD 18.10 TWD Fair Value 2.05 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 18.10 TWD – 49.79 TWD · fair‑value band 1.11 TWD – 2.89 TWD · the 19.70 TWD price screens above the 2.05 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

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Analysis

Simula Technology (3511) currently trades at 19.70 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.05 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 860.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 10.89 TWD per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the 19.70 TWD price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 1.56 TWD, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Simula Technology generated revenue of 1.8B TWD at a net margin of −4.7%. Revenue grew 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −6.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 424M TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.11 TWD (bear case) to 2.89 TWD (bull case); at 19.70 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −90%, 3511 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 1.06 TWD 1.92 TWD 2.64 TWD 66
DDM Multi-Stage 1.06 TWD 1.56 TWD 2.01 TWD 65
NCAV (Graham) 8.13 TWD 10.89 TWD 16.25 TWD 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1.06 TWD 1.92 TWD 2.64 TWD 66
DDM Multi-Stage 1.06 TWD 1.56 TWD 2.01 TWD 65
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.13 TWD 10.89 TWD 16.25 TWD 54

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (10.89 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (1.56 TWD). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (66).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.89 TTM
EPS (TTM) −0.9500 TWD
Dividend yield 0.6%
Net margin −5.4% FY2025
Return on equity −5.7% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 0.7% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin −6.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 1.8B TWD TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.2% 3y avg −25.5%
EPS growth (YoY) −5.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −192M TWD FY2025
Net cash 424M TWD FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Simula Technology Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells connectors, cables, and accessories in Taiwan, China, the United States, Thailand, and internationally.

Full company description

Simula Technology Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells connectors, cables, and accessories in Taiwan, China, the United States, Thailand, and internationally. It offers audio and DC jacks; pogo pin series, M-series, and circular plastic and push-pull circular series; USB products; heavy duty connectors; plugs and receptacles; cable assemblies; customized solutions; and accessories. Its products are used in consumer electronics, fleet telematics, medical and healthcare, drone, robotics, and industrial and outdoor applications. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Taoyuan City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Simula Technology reported revenue of 1.8B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.1B TWD in FY2021, a compound −13.1%/yr. Reported net income was −94.2M TWD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 32/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.8B TWD
Latest YoY
−0.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−25.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.1%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −13.1%/yr
FY21 3.1B TWD
FY22 4.2B TWD
FY23 2.0B TWD
FY24 1.8B TWD
FY25 1.8B TWD
Net income
FY21 111M TWD
FY22 249M TWD
FY23 −83.5M TWD
FY24 −101M TWD
FY25 −94.2M TWD

3511 screens 861% overvalued. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Simula Technology Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3511

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 639 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −90% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −7% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE56 · sector 40
PAST0 · sector 25
HEALTH100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND12 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH $157.74 $97.19 −38%
Corning Incorporated GLW CHF 134.64 CHF 35.18 −74%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,750 TWD 602.37 TWD −66%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥56.06 ¥38.44 −31%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,503,000 KRW 172,954 KRW −88%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥202.11 ¥21.19 −90%
TE Connectivity plc TEL $202.66 $144.42 −29%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.80 ¥36.30 −73%
Flex Ltd FLEX $124.53 $48.10 −61%
Celestica Inc CLS $298.70 $113.54 −62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Simula Technology (3511) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.05 TWD versus a price of 19.70 TWD, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3511?
Our model-based fair value for Simula Technology is 2.05 TWD (as of Aug 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 19.70 TWD.
What is the quality score of 3511?
Simula Technology has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Simula Technology (3511)?
Simula Technology reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B TWD (latest available figure, as of Aug 28, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 3511?
The net profit margin of Simula Technology is about −4.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Simula Technology pay a dividend?
Simula Technology currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.58% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 28, 2026).
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