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Zen Voce (3581) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · TW · Market cap 6.0B TWD

ZV Zen Voce 3581 · TWO
Price103.50 TWD
Fair Value15.52 TWD
Upside-85.0%
Quality59/100

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

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Risks

!Trades 85% ABOVE our fair value of 15.52 TWD
!Expensive Growth
!Thin margins · 4.2% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 4.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: Medium Range 14.69 TWD – 17.68 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −15.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 85% overvalued on our models.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (17.68 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

278.75 TWD 17.17 TWD Fair Value 15.52 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 17.17 TWD – 278.75 TWD · fair‑value band 14.69 TWD – 17.68 TWD · the 103.50 TWD price screens above the 15.52 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Zen Voce (3581) currently trades at 103.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 15.52 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 85.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zen Voce generated revenue of 1.6B TWD at a net margin of 4.2%. Revenue grew 13.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 233M TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 14.69 TWD (bear case) to 17.68 TWD (bull case); at 103.50 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 249% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -85%, 3581 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (3.55 TWD to 70.89 TWD). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 13.11 TWD 13.27 TWD 12.42 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 29.50 TWD 33.08 TWD 36.75 TWD 72
Gordon GGM 7.90 TWD 14.26 TWD 22.30 TWD 70
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 22.18 TWD 26.61 TWD 32.73 TWD 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 5.48 TWD 13.64 TWD 17.68 TWD 54
PEG = 1.0 2.49 TWD 3.55 TWD 4.62 TWD 46
EPV 28.83 TWD 31.49 TWD 33.78 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 7.90 TWD 14.26 TWD 22.30 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 7.90 TWD 11.75 TWD 15.76 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 16.91 TWD 22.55 TWD 28.18 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 10.27 TWD 13.69 TWD 17.11 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 10.27 TWD 13.69 TWD 17.11 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 56.17 TWD 70.89 TWD 85.61 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 51.70 TWD 64.93 TWD 78.17 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 34.33 TWD 43.90 TWD 53.47 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.67 TWD 11.62 TWD 17.34 TWD 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 13.11 TWD 13.27 TWD 12.42 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 29.50 TWD 33.08 TWD 36.75 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 12.77 TWD 18.24 TWD 23.71 TWD 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (26.61 TWD) versus Asset-Based (11.62 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.6B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.6%
Net margin 4.2%
Return on equity 10.6%
Free cash flow −28.6M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 127.8
More key figures
Operating margin 6.2%
EPS (TTM) 0.8100 TWD
EPS growth (YoY) +12.6%
Net cash 233M TWD FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 63
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zen Voce Corporation manufactures, processes, maintains, and sells semiconductor packaging and testing equipment and fixtures in Taiwan, the United States, China, Singapore, and internationally.

Full company description

Zen Voce Corporation manufactures, processes, maintains, and sells semiconductor packaging and testing equipment and fixtures in Taiwan, the United States, China, Singapore, and internationally. The company engages in the design and manufacturing of equipment, including IC packaging machines and bumping products, wafer cutting and cleaning machines, and board cutting and cleaning machines; and test products, such as wafer test probe card PCBs, IC test HIFIX and CHANG kits, SOCKET IC test products, IC handlers, and SOCKET IC burn-in test products. It also offers wafer and packaging dicing equipment, solder ball mounting equipment, consumables and accessories, logical and memory applications, and burn-ins; and optoelectronic assembly testing products. In addition, the company acts as an agent for semiconductor burn-in test connectors, MEMS equipment, solar equipment, and LCD inspection equipment. It exports its products. The company serves semiconductor, optoelectronics, microelectronics, and LCD equipment industries. Zen Voce Corporation was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zen Voce reported revenue of 1.6B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.3B TWD in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was 41.1M TWD in FY2025, compounding −21.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.6B TWD
Latest YoY
+13.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.1%
Revenue +4.7%/yr
FY21 1.3B TWD
FY22 1.5B TWD
FY23 1.5B TWD
FY24 1.4B TWD
FY25 1.6B TWD
Net income −21.4%/yr
FY21 108M TWD
FY22 64.1M TWD
FY23 27.9M TWD
FY24 30.8M TWD
FY25 41.1M TWD

3581 screens 85% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zen Voce Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3581

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 328 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −85% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 127.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 6.80× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.72× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 43.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE68 · sector 58
PAST42 · sector 22
HEALTH100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND0 · sector 19

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $225.01 $98.98 -56%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $429.15 $291.42 -32%
Broadcom Inc 1AVGO €366.85 €121.25 -67%
Micron Technology, Inc ZMIC C$43.68 C$6.23 -86%
SK hynix Inc 000660 1,504,000 KRW 1,481,291 KRW -2%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD €428.20 €56.33 -87%
Intel Corporation INTC C$54.50 C$16.95 -69%
MediaTek Inc 2454 3,845 TWD 1,559 TWD -59%
SK Square Co 402340 1,024,000 KRW 1,204,862 KRW +18%
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation 0981 HK$73.00 HK$13.18 -82%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zen Voce (3581) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 15.52 TWD versus a price of 103.50 TWD, about −85% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3581?
Our model-based fair value for Zen Voce is 15.52 TWD (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 103.50 TWD.
What is the quality score of 3581?
Zen Voce has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zen Voce (3581)?
Zen Voce reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B TWD (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 3581?
The net profit margin of Zen Voce is about 4.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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