Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Advanced Micro Devices Inc stock $148, price $404, that is 63.4% below the price, quality 75 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Advanced Micro Devices Inc
AMD · USOur calculation puts a fair price 63% below what the stock costs today.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $55.94 – $649.42 · fair‑value band $92.82 – $185.02 · the $404.40 price screens above the $148.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Company profile
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. operates as a semiconductor company internationally. It operates in three segments: Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded.
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The company offers artificial intelligence (AI) accelerators, microprocessors, and graphics processing units (GPUs) as standalone devices or as incorporated into accelerated processing units, chipsets, and data center and professional GPUs; and embedded processors and semi-custom system-on-chip (SoC) products, microprocessor and SoC development services and technology, data processing units, field programmable gate arrays (FPGA), system on modules, AI network interface cards, and adaptive SoC products.
It provides processors under the AMD Ryzen, AMD Ryzen AI, AMD Ryzen PRO, AMD Ryzen Threadripper, AMD Ryzen Threadripper PRO, AMD Athlon, and AMD PRO A-Series brands; graphics under the AMD Radeon graphics and AMD Embedded Radeon graphics; professional graphics under the AMD Radeon Pro graphics brand; and AI and general-purpose compute infrastructure for hyperscale providers.
The company offers data center graphics under the AMD Instinct accelerators and Radeon PRO V-series brands; server microprocessors under the AMD EPYC brand; low power solutions under the AMD Athlon, AMD Geode, AMD Ryzen, AMD EPYC, and AMD R-Series and G-Series brands; FPGA products under the Virtex-6, Virtex-7, Virtex UltraScale+, Kintex-7, Kintex UltraScale, Kintex UltraScale+, Artix-7, Artix UltraScale+, Spartan-6, and Spartan-7 brands; adaptive SOCs under the Zynq-7000, Zynq UltraScale+ MPSoC, Zynq UltraScale+ RFSoCs, Versal HBM, Versal Premium, Versal Prime, Versal AI Core, Versal AI Edge, Vitis, and Vivado brands; and compute and network acceleration board products under the Alveo and Pensando brands.
It serves original equipment and design manufacturers, public cloud service providers, system integrators, distributors, and add-in-board manufacturers. The company was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
Stock analysis
Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD) currently trades at $404.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $148.02, 63% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $79.12 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $404.40 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $20.52, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $92.82 (bear) to $185.02 (bull), the price of $404.40 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Advanced Micro Devices Inc reported revenue of $34.6B in FY2025 versus $16.4B in FY2021, a compound +20.5%/yr. Reported net income was $4.3B in FY2025, compounding +8.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $669B Mega · P/E ratio 86.4 · P/S ratio 14.7 · EPS (TTM) $4.68 · Net margin 16.8% · Return on equity 12.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9% · Operating margin 21.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 67 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 112% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at −63%, AMD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, 7 officers or directors sold shares worth $262.0M and none bought.
- SaleForrest Eugene NorrodEVP & GM DSG6× since Nov 19, 2025: 110,171 shares, avg. $390.67$43.0MOct 15, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleLisa T SuChair, President & CEO, Director7× since Dec 11, 2025: 695,000 shares, avg. $344.20$239.2MSep 10, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleJean X. HuEVP, CFO and Treasurer3× since Nov 24, 2025: 49,462 shares, avg. $286.69$14.2MAug 25, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleMark D PapermasterChief Technology Officer & EVP10× since Nov 14, 2025: 142,044 shares, avg. $364.33$51.8MAug 20, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleAva HahnSVP, GC & Corporate Secretary4× since Jan 16, 2026: 5,864 shares, avg. $368.32$2.2MAug 18, 202610b5-1 plan
- SalePaul Darren GrasbyEVP & CSO4× since Dec 4, 2025: 56,876 shares, avg. $391.74$22.3MAug 17, 2026
- SaleNora DenzelDirector10,447 shares at $522.00$5.5MJun 2, 2026
Plus 32 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 5, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
AMD screens overvalued: fair value 63% below the price. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Compare Advanced Micro Devices Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 370 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- P/S ratio by industry
- EBIT margin by industry
- Stock screener with 62 metrics
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 1,132,000 KRW | 1,501,896 KRW | +33% | vs AMD |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $353.10 | $388.41 | +10% | vs AMD |
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $181.60 | $198.56 | +9% | vs AMD |
| Broadcom Inc AVGO | $291.53 | $300.84 | +3% | vs AMD |
| Intel Corporation INTC | $52.25 | $52.14 | +0% | vs AMD |
| Micron Technology, Inc MU | $656.39 | $619.48 | −6% | vs AMD |
| Analog Devices, Inc ADI | $361.01 | $262.04 | −27% | vs AMD |
| Marvell Technology, Inc MRVL | $133.55 | $87.64 | −34% | vs AMD |
| Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN | $278.15 | $81.25 | −71% | vs AMD |
| Arm Holdings ARM | $166.72 | $45.16 | −73% | vs AMD |
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Key figures of Advanced Micro Devices Inc
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