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Data-driven stock valuation

Intel Corporation (INTC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Intel Corporation is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Technology · US · Market cap $542B · ISIN US4581401001

At a glance

IC Intel Corporation logo Intel Corporation INTC · US
Price$95.80
Fair Value$60.20
Upside−37.2%
Quality36/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 59% above our fair value of $60.20.

As of Sep 6, 2026, the fair value of Intel Corporation is $60.20 per share against a price of $95.80, so the fair value sits 37% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −7.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -5.9% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/12)
!Narrow moat 25/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range $42.42 to $77.98

Fair value as of: Sep 6, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −5.2% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($77.98). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($42.42 to $77.98) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$140.94 $18.13 Fair Value $60.20 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $18.13 – $140.94 · fair‑value band $42.42 – $77.98 · the $95.80 price screens above the $60.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Intel Corporation (INTC) currently trades at $95.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $60.20, implying the stock looks roughly 59.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 86/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Intel Corporation generated revenue of $53.8B at a net margin of −5.9%. Revenue grew 7.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −2.9%. Net debt stands at $32.3B. Fundamentals as of Sep 6, 2026

Scenario range: $42.42 (bear) to $77.98 (bull), the price of $95.80 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at −37%, INTC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA best evidence $25.45 $35.91 $46.37 67
NCAV (Graham) $11.37 $15.23 $22.74 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA best evidence $25.45 $35.91 $46.37 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $11.37 $15.23 $22.74 54

Widest divergence: Multiples ($35.91) versus Asset-Based ($15.23). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (67).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 10.4 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−0.6000
Net margin −0.5% FY2025
Return on equity −2.9% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 6.9% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $53.8B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.2% 3y avg −5.7%
EPS growth (YoY) −71.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$4.9B FY2025
Net debt $32.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 22
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 82
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 12
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Intel Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and services computing and related end products and services in the United States, Ireland, Israel, and internationally. It operates through three segments: CCG, DCAI, and Intel Foundry.

Full company description

Intel Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and services computing and related end products and services in the United States, Ireland, Israel, and internationally. It operates through three segments: CCG, DCAI, and Intel Foundry. The company offers client computing group products, including client and commercial CPUs, discrete client GPUs, edge computing, and connectivity products; data center and AI products, such as server CPUs, discrete GPUs, and networking products; and semiconductors comprising wafer fabrication, substrates, and other related products and services. It also provides driving assistance and self-driving solutions; and develops and manufactures multi-beam mask writing tools. The company sells its products through sales organizations, distributors, resellers, retailers, and OEM partners. It serves original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, cloud service providers, and other manufacturers and service providers. Intel Corporation has a strategic collaboration with Infosys Limited to develop a multi-layer AI fabric that unifies infrastructure, models, data, applications, and workflows into a composable and agent-ready ecosystem. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Intel Corporation reported revenue of $52.9B in FY2025 versus $79.0B in FY2021, a compound −9.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$267M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$52.9B
Latest YoY
−0.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.6%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
30.4% (2020) → 0.0% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −9.6%/yr
FY21 $79.0B
FY22 $63.1B
FY23 $54.2B
FY24 $53.1B
FY25 $52.9B
Net income
FY21 $19.9B
FY22 $8.0B
FY23 $1.7B
FY24 −$18.8B
FY25 −$267M

INTC screens 59% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Intel Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/INTC

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 325 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −37% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.39× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.74× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 10.07× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 40.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.50× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE36 · sector 65
PAST0 · sector 25
HEALTH81 · sector 96
DIVIDEND0 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $230.36 $98.98 −57%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $428.91 $296.10 −31%
Broadcom Inc AVGO $357.90 $118.27 −67%
SK hynix Inc 000660 1,647,000 KRW 1,481,291 KRW −10%
Micron Technology, Inc MU $932.86 $148.38 −84%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc AMD $477.57 $55.02 −88%
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $258.44 $78.54 −70%
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation 688981 ¥121.14 ¥16.55 −86%
QUALCOMM Incorporated QCOM $168.74 $147.20 −13%
MediaTek Inc 2454 3,845 TWD 1,559 TWD −59%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Intel Corporation (INTC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $60.20 versus a price of $95.80, about −37% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of INTC?
Our model-based fair value for Intel Corporation is $60.20 (as of Sep 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $95.80.
What is the quality score of INTC?
Intel Corporation has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Intel Corporation (INTC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $60.20 (as of Sep 6, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $42.42, optimistic scenario $77.98. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Intel Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $60.20, about −37% upside versus a price of $95.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $42.42, optimistic scenario $77.98. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
Intel Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $53.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of INTC?
The net profit margin of Intel Corporation is about −5.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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