Intel Corporation (INTC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 4, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Intel Corporation stock $52.14, price $58.27, that is 10.5% below the price, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $18.13 – $140.94 · fair‑value band $36.06 – $68.20 · the $58.27 price screens above the $52.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
Follow Intel in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Intel is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Intel Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and services computing and related end products and services in the United States, Ireland, Israel, and internationally. It operates through three segments: CCG, DCAI, and Intel Foundry.
Show moreShow less
The company offers client computing group products, including client and commercial CPUs, discrete client GPUs, edge computing, and connectivity products; data center and AI products, such as server CPUs, discrete GPUs, and networking products; and semiconductors comprising wafer fabrication, substrates, and other related products and services.
It also provides driving assistance and self-driving solutions; and develops and manufactures multi-beam mask writing tools. The company sells its products through sales organizations, distributors, resellers, retailers, and OEM partners.
It serves original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, cloud service providers, and other manufacturers and service providers.
Intel Corporation has a strategic collaboration with Infosys Limited to develop a multi-layer AI fabric that unifies infrastructure, models, data, applications, and workflows into a composable and agent-ready ecosystem.
The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
Stock analysis
Intel Corporation (INTC) currently trades at $58.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $52.14, 11% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 88/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: $36.06 (bear) to $68.20 (bull), the price of $58.27 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Intel Corporation reported revenue of $52.9B in FY2025 versus $79.0B in FY2021, a compound −9.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$267M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $310B Mega · P/E ex one-offs 138.7 · P/S ratio 5.84 · EPS (TTM) $−2.42 · Net margin −20.1% · Return on equity −9.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2% · Operating margin 15.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 29 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −11%, INTC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$36.06Fair Value $52.14Bull$68.20
Price $58.27 · Downside -10.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA$18.03$26.07$34.1067
NCAV (Graham)$8.24$11.04$16.4854
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA$18.03$26.07$34.1067
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$8.24$11.04$16.4854
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
SaleBoise April MillerEVP and Chief Legal Officer2× since Feb 2, 2026: 60,256 shares, avg. $82.77$5.0MMay 1, 2026
BuyDavid ZinsnerEVP, CFO5,882 shares at $42.50$249,985Jan 26, 2026
Plus 13 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.5% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.6%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
30.4% (2020) → −4.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (96 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Very negative
AI conclusion: Sharp data center revenue growth marks Intel's main strength in longer-term AI opportunities, while negative free cash flow, net losses and high debt highlight its main weak point.
Main risk: TSMC could capture customers and capacity for advanced packaging like CoWoS as a backup to Intel's EMIB-T, pressuring foundry margins and external client acquisition.
Bull case: Intel could leverage its integrated design and packaging strengths plus US policy support to secure more external foundry commitments and differentiate on cost and resilience versus pure-play rivals.
Bear case: If TSMC and custom ASIC trends accelerate while legal issues linger, Intel's foundry ambitions could stall, leaving it reliant on internal demand amid slower overall chip growth.
Intel's data center revenue grew sharply in the latest quarter while its PC segment faces ongoing inventory cuts and higher memory costs. The resulting softer outlook for the near term stands in tension with longer-term AI opportunities. Our models currently see it as overvalued. Will server momentum outweigh the PC drag, or will the near-term pressures linger?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 371 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−10.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−0.1% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−20.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)15.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)20.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.39× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Intel Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/INTC
Frequently asked questions
Is Intel Corporation (INTC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $52.14 versus a price of $58.27, about 11% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of INTC?
Our model-based fair value for Intel Corporation is $52.14 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $58.27.
What is the quality score of INTC?
Intel Corporation has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Intel Corporation (INTC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $52.14 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $36.06, optimistic scenario $68.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Intel Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $52.14, about 11% lower versus a price of $58.27 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $36.06, optimistic scenario $68.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
Intel Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $59.9B (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Intel Corporation it is $52.14 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of $58.27. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Intel Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, INTC trades above its calculated fair value: price $58.27, fair value $52.14, a gap of about −11% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of INTC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($58.27); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($52.14). For Intel Corporation the two are $6.13 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Intel Corporation worth?
The market values Intel Corporation at about $310B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is $58.27; our models calculate a fair value of $52.14 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about INTC?
Our models span a range for Intel Corporation: cautious scenario $36.06, base $52.14, optimistic $68.20 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price $58.27). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of INTC?
The PEG ratio of Intel Corporation is 0.50 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Intel Corporation (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity −9.6%, debt of 0.39 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is INTC from its 52-week high?
Intel Corporation trades at $58.27, about 59% below its 52-week high of $140.94 and 73% above the low of $33.62 (as of Nov 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $52.14 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Intel Corporation?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Intel Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price $58.27, calculated fair value $52.14 (−11%), Quality Score 39/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of INTC calculated?
We run Intel Corporation through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $52.14, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0% above its aggregate fair value. Intel Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
The closing price on Nov 4, 2026 was $58.27. Our model-based fair value is $52.14, about 11% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Intel Corporation right now?
A fairly wide model range ($36.06 to $68.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Intel Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
The market capitalisation of Intel Corporation is $310B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Intel Corporation (INTC) excluding one-off items?
Excluding one-off items, the price-to-earnings ratio of Intel Corporation is 138.7 (fiscal year 2025, the reported result was a loss, median at FY-end 13.6 (9 FY)).
What is the P/S ratio of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Intel Corporation is 5.84 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
Earnings per share at Intel Corporation are $−2.42. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
The net margin of Intel Corporation is −20.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Intel Corporation is −9.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Intel Corporation is 1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
The operating margin of Intel Corporation is 15.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Intel Corporation (INTC)?
Revenue at Intel Corporation is growing +20.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Intel Corporation (INTC)?
Earnings per share at Intel Corporation are growing −33.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Intel Corporation (INTC) generate?
The free cash flow of Intel Corporation is −$4.9B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Intel Corporation (INTC) carry?
The net debt of Intel Corporation is $32.3B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Intel Corporation in the live analysis
One click puts Intel Corporation on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Nov 5, 2026
