3813 (3813) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$1.8B

3 3813 3813 · HK

PriceHK$0.3550

Fair ValueHK$1.03

Upside+190.1%

Quality53/100

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Evidence: High Range HK$0.7800 – HK$1.29

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −11.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.3450 – HK$0.5252 · fair‑value band HK$0.7800 – HK$1.29 · the HK$0.3550 price screens below the HK$1.03 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

3813 (3813) currently trades at HK$0.3550, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.03 — implying the stock looks roughly 190.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 3813 generated revenue of HK$17.1B at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue declined 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.6%. Net debt stands at HK$502M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$17.1B

Revenue growth (YoY) -1.1%

Net margin 1.5%

Return on equity 2.6%

Free cash flow HK$301M FY2025

P/E ratio 7.1

More key figures

Operating margin 5.8%

EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100

EPS growth (YoY) -73.4%

Net debt HK$502M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

3813 reported revenue of HK$17.1B in FY2025 versus HK$23.4B in FY2021, a compound −7.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$211M in FY2025, compounding −12.3%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −7.4%/yr

FY21 HK$23.4B

FY22 HK$18.6B

FY23 HK$20.1B

FY24 HK$18.5B

FY25 HK$17.1B

Net income −12.3%/yr

FY21 HK$357M

FY22 HK$89.2M

FY23 HK$490M

FY24 HK$491M

FY25 HK$211M

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6 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

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NIKE, Inc NKE	€38.07	€45.62	+20%
adidas AG ADDYY	$99.10	$61.24	-38%
ASICS Corporation ASCCY	$27.42	$22.91	-16%
Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK	$111.18	$125.16	+13%
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Frequently asked questions

Is 3813 (3813) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.03 versus a price of HK$0.3550 — about +190% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 3813?

Our model-based fair value for 3813 is HK$1.03 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.3550.

What is the quality score of 3813?

3813 has a Quality Score of 53/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 3813 (3813)?

3813 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$17.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 3813?

The net profit margin of 3813 is about 1.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.