EN DE

Pou Sheng International Holdings Ltd (3813) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$1.8B

PS Pou Sheng International Holdings Ltd 3813 · HK
PriceHK$0.3700
Fair ValueHK$1.04
Upside+181.1%
Quality58/100
Watch Pou Sheng International Holdings Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free
Weak Growth
Thin margins · 1.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (12/15)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.7800 – HK$1.30 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price +7.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 181% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.7800). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Share this valuation: 𝕏 WhatsApp

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$1.68 HK$0.3100 Fair Value HK$1.04 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.3100 – HK$1.68 · fair‑value band HK$0.7800 – HK$1.30 · the HK$0.3700 price screens below the HK$1.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Pou Sheng International Holdings Ltd (3813) currently trades at HK$0.3700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.04, implying the stock looks roughly 181.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Pou Sheng International Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$17.1B at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue declined 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.6%. Net debt stands at HK$502M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.7800 (bear case) to HK$1.30 (bull case); at HK$0.3700, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 21% fair-value upside, at 181%, 3813 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.7400 HK$1.15 HK$1.76 80
Residual Income HK$1.15 HK$1.10 HK$0.8300 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.7500 HK$1.23 HK$1.88 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.7600 HK$1.24 HK$2.01 38
Owner Earnings HK$2.09 HK$3.57 HK$5.94 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.7500 HK$1.25 HK$1.93 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.70 HK$3.28 HK$5.34 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.7400 HK$1.23 HK$1.81 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.7200 HK$1.18 HK$1.90 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.33 HK$2.56 HK$4.58 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.7400 HK$1.17 HK$1.80 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.2800 HK$1.43 HK$1.98 54
Lynch FV HK$0.3900 HK$0.5600 HK$0.7200 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.3900 HK$0.5600 HK$0.7200 46
EPV HK$0.5000 HK$0.5500 HK$0.6000 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.3100 HK$0.5500 HK$0.7600 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.3100 HK$0.5000 HK$0.5900 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.6700 HK$0.8900 HK$1.12 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.5200 HK$0.6900 HK$0.8600 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.5200 HK$0.6900 HK$0.8600 55
EV/EBIT HK$1.06 HK$1.37 HK$1.68 53
EV/EBITDA HK$2.42 HK$3.19 HK$3.96 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.7500 HK$1.02 HK$1.29 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.8500 HK$1.14 HK$1.70 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.7400 HK$1.15 HK$1.76 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.7500 HK$1.23 HK$1.88 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.15 HK$1.10 HK$0.8300 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.5000 HK$0.5500 HK$0.6000 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.6000 HK$0.8600 HK$1.11 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$1.24) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.5000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Notify me when 3813 reaches fair value

Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$17.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.1%
Net margin 1.5%
Return on equity 2.6%
Free cash flow HK$301M FY2025
P/E ratio 7.1 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 5.8%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) -73.4%
Net debt HK$502M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Pou Sheng International (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, distributes and retails sportswear and footwear in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company also leases commercial spaces to retailers and distributors for concessionaire sales.

Full company description

Pou Sheng International (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, distributes and retails sportswear and footwear in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company also leases commercial spaces to retailers and distributors for concessionaire sales. In addition, it is involved in the organization of sports events; sports marketing; and technical advisory services. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong. Pou Sheng International (Holdings) Limited is a subsidiary of Major Focus Management Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Pou Sheng International Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$17.1B in FY2025 versus HK$23.4B in FY2021, a compound −7.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$211M in FY2025, compounding −12.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 33/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$17.1B
Latest YoY
−7.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.7%
Revenue −7.4%/yr
FY21 HK$23.4B
FY22 HK$18.6B
FY23 HK$20.1B
FY24 HK$18.5B
FY25 HK$17.1B
Net income −12.3%/yr
FY21 HK$357M
FY22 HK$89.2M
FY23 HK$490M
FY24 HK$491M
FY25 HK$211M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +2.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.2 pp

of which total revenue +2.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.3 pp

EBIT margin −2.6 pp
Tax rate +0.9 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

Watch 3813: get an alert when its fair value changes →

Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
Share or link this analysis
𝕏 Post WhatsApp LinkedIn Reddit
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Pou Sheng International Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
HK$1.04 +181%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pou Sheng International Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3813

Peer Group

Footwear & Accessories · 94 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +181% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth -1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 11.1% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.21× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.11× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 17
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST10 · sector 22
HEALTH100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND100 · sector 45

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NIKE, Inc NKE $40.51 $35.63 -12%
adidas AG 1ADS €158.15 €65.71 -58%
Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK $89.51 $125.16 +40%
On Holding ONON $31.03 $17.79 -43%
Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 ¥11.81 ¥13.03 +10%
Birkenstock Holding BIRK $36.74 $44.59 +21%
Crocs, Inc CROX $130.61 $203.65 +56%
Huali Industrial Group 300979 ¥36.73 ¥51.36 +40%
PUMA SE PUM €26.69 €10.57 -60%
Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited 0551 HK$13.65 HK$31.67 +132%

Compare Pou Sheng International Holdings Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Frequently asked questions

Is Pou Sheng International Holdings Ltd (3813) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.04 versus a price of HK$0.3700, about +181% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 3813?
Our model-based fair value for Pou Sheng International Holdings Ltd is HK$1.04 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.3700.
What is the quality score of 3813?
Pou Sheng International Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Pou Sheng International Holdings Ltd (3813)?
Pou Sheng International Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$17.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 3813?
The net profit margin of Pou Sheng International Holdings Ltd is about 1.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

14 days Pro free · no card

Track Pou Sheng International Holdings Ltd and try Pro for 14 days

One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.