Asics Corp (ASCCY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Asics Corp stock $34.18, price $31.07, upside +10.0%, quality 81 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.41 – $33.20 · fair‑value band $23.37 – $43.39 · the $31.07 price screens below the $34.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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ASICS Corporation manufactures and sells sporting goods in Japan and internationally. The company offers sportswear and equipment; apparel; shoes for tennis, volleyball, basketball, and soccer; and running shoes.
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It sells its products under the ASICS and Onitsuka Tiger brands through retail stores, as well as online. The company was incorporated in 1943 and is headquartered in Kobe, Japan.
Stock analysis
Asics Corp (ASCCY) currently trades at $31.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $34.18, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.1%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $21.59 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $31.07 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $10.19, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $23.37 (bear) to $43.39 (bull), the price of $31.07 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 81/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Asics Corp ADR reported revenue of ¥850B in FY2025 versus ¥404B in FY2021, a compound +20.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥104B in FY2025, compounding +82.2%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $22.0B Large · P/E ratio 26.8 · P/S ratio 3.26 · EPS (TTM) $1.16 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 12.2% · Return on equity 42.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.2% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 82 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 30% fair-value upside, at 10%, ASCCY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$23.37Fair Value $34.18Bull$43.39
Price $31.07 · Upside +10.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.9916 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+25.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.1% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+82.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+81.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.67.1% vs 22.3%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 18%
2025 sits 201% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+11.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.4% a year for the price and +9.5% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (50 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Strong ROE and margins underpin a moderate moat while sparse data on brand scale versus peers leaves exposure to larger competitors.
Main risk: Brands such as Hoka, On Running and New Balance could capture more performance running customers from ASICS through superior cushioning technology or DTC models and thereby pressure prices and margins in the core athletic segment.
Bull case: ASICS could leverage its AI design tools and Onitsuka Tiger spin-off to accelerate premium SportStyle innovation and deepen DTC loyalty thereby offsetting any share loss in performance running.
Bear case: If Hoka, On and similar rivals continue rapid growth in cushioning and community-driven DTC while ASICS struggles with channel shifts its performance running base could shrink and force sustained margin pressure across categories.
ASICS keeps posting broad gains led by SportStyle and Onitsuka Tiger on top of its performance running base. The group is now reorganizing categories and readying the Onitsuka Tiger business for a dedicated subsidiary from January 2027. Does carving out the heritage lifestyle brand let the core athletic operations execute more sharply, or does it remove a key source of brand equity and cross-category pull?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Footwear & Accessories · 92 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score81 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+10.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)42.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets17.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)13.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)22.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)35.9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
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As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $34.18 versus a price of $31.07, about +10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ASCCY?
Our model-based fair value for Asics Corp is $34.18 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $31.07.
What is the quality score of ASCCY?
Asics Corp has a Quality Score of 81/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Asics Corp (ASCCY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $34.18 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $23.37, optimistic scenario $43.39. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Asics Corp ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $34.18, about +10% upside versus a price of $31.07 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $23.37, optimistic scenario $43.39. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Asics Corp (ASCCY)?
Asics Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥943B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Asics Corp ADR pay a dividend?
Asics Corp currently shows a dividend yield of 0.73% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Asics Corp (ASCCY) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Asics Corp has a dividend yield of 0.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 30, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2014. The payout ratio is 15.9% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 5.94 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Asics Corp (ASCCY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Asics Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +18.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +20.9 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ASCCY use?
Our models discount Asics Corp at 9.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.05, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Asics Corp that is +18.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Asics Corp (ASCCY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Asics Corp grew +20.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +18.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Asics Corp (ASCCY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Asics Corp (+18.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Asics Corp (ASCCY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.81 %: that much free cash flow Asics Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Asics Corp (ASCCY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Asics Corp it is $34.18 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $31.07. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Asics Corp ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, ASCCY trades below its calculated fair value: price $31.07, fair value $34.18, a gap of about +10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASCCY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($31.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($34.18). For Asics Corp the two are $3.11 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Asics Corp ADR worth?
The market values Asics Corp at about $22.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $31.07; our models calculate a fair value of $34.18 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASCCY?
Our models span a range for Asics Corp: cautious scenario $23.37, base $34.18, optimistic $43.39 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $31.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ASCCY?
Asics Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.8 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $34.18 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.4, P/B 12.8, P/S 3.7, EV/EBITDA 16.0.
What is the PEG ratio of ASCCY?
The PEG ratio of Asics Corp is 1.42 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Asics Corp (ASCCY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Asics Corp (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 42.2%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 81/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASCCY from its 52-week high?
Asics Corp trades at $31.07, about 6% below its 52-week high of $33.20 and 37% above the low of $22.74 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $34.18 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Asics Corp ADR?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value NIKE, Inc, adidas AG, On Holding, Deckers Outdoor Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Asics Corp ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $31.07, calculated fair value $34.18 (+10%), Quality Score 81/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASCCY calculated?
We run Asics Corp through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $34.18 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Asics Corp currently trades 9% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Asics Corp (ASCCY)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $31.07. Our model-based fair value is $34.18, about +10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Asics Corp ADR right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($23.37 to $43.39) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Asics Corp (ASCCY) come from?
Earnings per share at Asics Corp grew +20.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.1 %, EBIT margin +8.6 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Asics Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Asics Corp (ASCCY)?
The market capitalisation of Asics Corp is $22.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Asics Corp (ASCCY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Asics Corp is 3.26 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Asics Corp (ASCCY)?
Earnings per share at Asics Corp are $1.16 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Asics Corp (ASCCY)?
The dividend yield of Asics Corp is 0.7% (payout 19.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Asics Corp (ASCCY)?
The net margin of Asics Corp is 12.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Asics Corp (ASCCY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Asics Corp is 42.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Asics Corp (ASCCY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Asics Corp is 14.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Asics Corp (ASCCY)?
The operating margin of Asics Corp is 22.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Asics Corp (ASCCY)?
Revenue at Asics Corp is growing +35.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Asics Corp (ASCCY)?
Earnings per share at Asics Corp are growing +63.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Asics Corp (ASCCY) carry?
The net debt of Asics Corp is ¥31.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 8, 2026