Town Health International Medical Group Limited (3886) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · HK · Market cap HK$1.4B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −21.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 65% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0400 to HK$0.0800) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1720 – HK$0.6727 · fair‑value band HK$0.0400 – HK$0.0800 · the HK$0.1720 price screens above the HK$0.0600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Town Health International Medical Group Limited (3886) currently trades at HK$0.1720, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0600, implying the stock looks roughly 65.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Town Health International Medical Group Limited generated revenue of HK$1.8B at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue declined 3.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$1.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0400 (bear case) to HK$0.0800 (bull case); at HK$0.1720, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -65%, 3886 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.4000) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.0200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Town Health International Medical Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides healthcare and related services in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. It operates through four segments: Hong Kong Medical Services; Hong Kong Managed Medical Network Business; Mainland Hospital Management and Medical Services; and Others.
Full company description
Town Health International Medical Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides healthcare and related services in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. It operates through four segments: Hong Kong Medical Services; Hong Kong Managed Medical Network Business; Mainland Hospital Management and Medical Services; and Others. The company provides medical healthcare, managed medical network, dental consultation, eyecare, private specialty healthcare, third party medical network administrator, and laboratory testing services. It also offers specialty services that covers cardiology, clinical oncology, dermatology, gastroenterology and hepatology, weight management and diabetes, neurosurgery, obstetrics and gynaecology, ophthalmology, orthopaedics, otorhinolaryngology, paediatrics, plastic surgery, psychiatry, urology, and nephrology; and dental services, such as general dentistry, prosthodentics, periodontology, oral and maxillofacial surgery, endodontics, orthodontics and paediatric dentistry etc. In addition, the company provides health check, and diagnostics and imaging services, such as PET- CT, MRI, CT, ultrasound scanning, endoscopy, cardiological examination, breast imaging, DEXA bone densitometry, X-Ray, lung function test, fundus photography, audiological test and full range laboratory service, etc.; physiotherapy services; traditional chinese medicine services; and medical beauty, body management, and life beauty services. Further, it offers property investment and management, hospital and health management, and business and corporate advisory services, as well as leases properties; and engages in the trading of medical consumables and equipment, and medicines. The company was formerly known as Town Health International Investments Limited and changed its name to Town Health International Medical Group Limited in March 2014. Town Health International Medical Group Limited was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Sha Tin, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Town Health International Medical Group Limited reported revenue of HK$1.8B in FY2025 versus HK$1.5B in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$14.4M in FY2025, compounding −10.1%/yr from FY2021.
3886 screens 65% overvalued. Compare with HCA Healthcare, Inc →
Peer Group
Medical Care Facilities · 266 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA | $414.59 | $547.67 | +32% |
| Fresenius SE FRE | €46.82 | €32.15 | -31% |
| Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 | 235.00 SAR | 112.37 SAR | -52% |
| IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, Q0F | 2.67 SGD | 1.44 SGD | -46% |
| Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC | $266.79 | $330.25 | +24% |
| Rede D'Or São Luiz S.A RDOR3 | R$33.97 | R$47.31 | +39% |
| Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP | ₹8,565 | ₹2,955 | -65% |
| Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 | ¥8.87 | ¥7.67 | -14% |
| Max Healthcare Institute Limited MAXHEALTH | ₹1,008 | ₹284.87 | -72% |
| Bangkok Dusit Medical Services Public Company BDMS | 19.70 THB | 18.57 THB | -6% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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