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Almoosa Health Company (4018) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · SA · Market cap 5.1B SAR

AH Almoosa Health Company 4018 · SR
Price116.00 SAR
Fair Value76.90 SAR
Upside-33.7%
Quality38/100
Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.11% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Moderate moat 46/100
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Evidence: High Range 57.67 SAR – 96.12 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated today

Share price −2.5% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (96.12 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

198.68 SAR 111.20 SAR Fair Value 76.90 SAR Aug 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 111.20 SAR – 198.68 SAR · fair‑value band 57.67 SAR – 96.12 SAR · the 116.00 SAR price screens above the 76.90 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Almoosa Health Company (4018) currently trades at 116.00 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 76.90 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 33.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Almoosa Health Company generated revenue of 1.4B SAR at a net margin of 13.4%. Revenue grew 7.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.0%. Net debt stands at 769M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 57.67 SAR (bear case) to 96.12 SAR (bull case); at 116.00 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at -34%, 4018 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.4B SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.8%
Net margin 13.4%
Return on equity 10.0%
Free cash flow −347M SAR FY2025
P/E ratio 26.6
More key figures
Operating margin 11.5%
EPS (TTM) 4.35 SAR
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -65.5%
Net debt 769M SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100
Profitability 40
Quality Growth 49
Cashflow 19
Fin. Strength 66
Investment 0
Low Volatility 69
Momentum 12
52W Momentum 3
Net Issuance 84

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Almoosa Health Company operates as a private healthcare provider in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It stores medical items and sells medicine, cosmetics, and disposable medical items.

Full company description

Almoosa Health Company operates as a private healthcare provider in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It stores medical items and sells medicine, cosmetics, and disposable medical items. The company also operates specialist and rehabilitation hospitals, medical and emergency centers, pharmacies, mental health clinics, and oncology centers, as well as a college of health sciences. Its medical specialties include pain management, lymphatic massage, hyperbaric oxygen therapy, occupational therapy, speech and language disorders, personality and behavioral disorders, supportive devices and prosthetics, urology, ophthalmic surgery, general surgery, otolaryngology (ear, nose, and throat), wound care, emergency medicine, audiology, rheumatology, allergy and immunology, health education, angiography and interventional radiology, infectious diseases, chest diseases, dermatology, internal medicine, pediatrics, dentistry, nephrology, endocrinology, gastroenterology, pediatric neurology, physiotherapy, psychiatry, bone and joint surgery, psychiatric rehabilitation, therapeutic nutrition, and vascular medicine. The company was formerly known as Al Moosa Specialist Hospital and changed its name to Almoosa Health Company in February 2024. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Al Mubarraz, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Almoosa Health Company operates as a subsidiary of Abdulaziz bin Abdullah Almoosa Investment Company.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Almoosa Health Company reported revenue of 1.4B SAR in FY2025 versus 702M SAR in FY2021, a compound +19.2%/yr. Reported net income was 200M SAR in FY2025, compounding +33.9%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +19.2%/yr
FY21 702M SAR
FY22 816M SAR
FY23 979M SAR
FY24 1.2B SAR
FY25 1.4B SAR
Net income +33.9%/yr
FY21 62.4M SAR
FY22 51.0M SAR
FY23 98.1M SAR
FY24 94.4M SAR
FY25 200M SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Almoosa Health Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4018

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 20
FUTURE 39 / 25
PAST 40 / 29
HEALTH 83 / 90
DIVIDEND 22 / 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
HCA Healthcare, Inc H1CA34 R$100.00 R$25.67 -74%
Fresenius SE FRE €39.54 €31.98 -19%
Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 235.00 SAR 112.37 SAR -52%
IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, Q0F 2.76 SGD 1.28 SGD -54%
Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC $178.75 $300.86 +68%
Rede D'Or São Luiz S.A RDOR3 R$32.50 R$46.04 +42%
DaVita Inc DVAI34 R$1,002 R$1,038 +4%
Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP ₹8,305 ₹2,546 -69%
Fresenius Medical Care AG FMSC34 R$112.00 R$164.60 +47%
Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 ¥8.54 ¥6.73 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Almoosa Health Company (4018) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 76.90 SAR versus a price of 116.00 SAR, about −34% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4018?
Our model-based fair value for Almoosa Health Company is 76.90 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 116.00 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4018?
Almoosa Health Company has a Quality Score of 38/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Almoosa Health Company (4018)?
Almoosa Health Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4018?
The net profit margin of Almoosa Health Company is about 13.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Almoosa Health Company pay a dividend?
Almoosa Health Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.11% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 31, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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