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DaVita Inc (DVA) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $14.9B

DI DaVita Inc logo DaVita Inc DVA · US
Price$180.67
Fair Value$255.97
Upside+41.7%
Quality63/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.7% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Moderate moat 61/100
Evidence: High Range $104.00 – $319.97 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −22.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 42% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($104.00 to $319.97). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$240.96 $65.42 Fair Value $255.97 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $65.42 – $240.96 · fair‑value band $104.00 – $319.97 · the $180.67 price screens below the $255.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

DaVita Inc (DVA) currently trades at $180.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $255.97, implying the stock looks roughly 41.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, DaVita Inc generated revenue of $13.8B at a net margin of 5.7%. Revenue grew 6.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 81.0%. Net debt stands at $14.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $104.00 (bear case) to $319.97 (bull case); at $180.67, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 42%, DVA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $70.35 $178.66 $350.24 80
Residual Income $73.01 $121.37 $2,664 76
Rev-Margin DCF $84.91 $213.82 $367.31 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $68.59 $178.71 $353.52 38
Owner Earnings $11.81 $86.28 $204.49 31
5Y Revenue Exit $84.91 $215.51 $385.96 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $131.89 $306.02 $514.46 41
5Y P/E Exit $28.31 $106.49 $189.73 38
10Y Revenue Exit $70.92 $190.20 $358.06 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $107.78 $254.05 $458.86 37
10Y P/E Exit $40.97 $113.29 $204.12 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $57.64 $205.39 $276.60 54
Lynch FV $48.30 $69.00 $89.70 50
PEG = 1.0 $48.30 $69.00 $89.70 46
EPV $78.90 $109.84 $136.92 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $27.93 $58.06 $92.11 70
DDM Multi-Stage $27.93 $48.96 $60.94 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $127.15 $169.54 $211.92 63
P/S Multiple $108.08 $144.11 $180.13 58
P/B Multiple $29.59 $39.45 $49.31 55
EV/EBIT $201.33 $304.03 $406.73 53
EV/EBITDA $194.91 $295.47 $396.03 54
EV/Revenue $100.91 $189.92 $278.92 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.57 $8.81 $13.15 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $70.35 $178.66 $350.24 80
Rev-Margin DCF $84.91 $213.82 $367.31 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $73.01 $121.37 $2,664 76
ROIC Compounder $95.03 $157.05 $236.08 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $89.97 $128.53 $167.10 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($178.71) versus Asset-Based ($8.81). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $13.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.0%
Net margin 5.7%
Return on equity 81.0%
Free cash flow $1.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 18.5
More key figures
Operating margin 13.9%
EPS (TTM) $10.25
EPS growth (YoY) +43.5%
Net debt $14.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 15
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 88
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 62
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

DaVita Inc. provides kidney dialysis services for patients suffering from chronic kidney failure in the United States. The company operates kidney dialysis centers and provides related lab services in outpatient dialysis centers.

Full company description

DaVita Inc. provides kidney dialysis services for patients suffering from chronic kidney failure in the United States. The company operates kidney dialysis centers and provides related lab services in outpatient dialysis centers. It also offers outpatient, hospital inpatient, and home-based hemodialysis dialysis services; operates clinical laboratories that provide routine laboratory tests for dialysis and other physician-prescribed laboratory tests for ESRD patients; and management and administrative services to outpatient dialysis centers. In addition, the company offers integrated care and disease management services to patients in risk-based and other integrated care arrangements; clinical research programs; physician services; and comprehensive kidney care services. Further, it engages in the transplant software business. The company was formerly known as DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. and changed its name to DaVita Inc. in September 2016. DaVita Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

DaVita Inc reported revenue of $13.6B in FY2025 versus $11.6B in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was $747M in FY2025, compounding −6.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$13.6B
Latest YoY
+6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y)
+17.2%
Revenue +4.1%/yr
FY21 $11.6B
FY22 $11.6B
FY23 $12.1B
FY24 $12.8B
FY25 $13.6B
Net income −6.5%/yr
FY21 $978M
FY22 $560M
FY23 $692M
FY24 $936M
FY25 $747M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DaVita Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DVA

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Medical Care Facilities · 262 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +42% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 81% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Debt / equity 8.77× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 12.88× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.08× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 11.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.73× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 89 · sector 23
FUTURE 30 · sector 24
PAST 100 · sector 30
HEALTH 0 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA $378.85 $554.93 +46%
Fresenius SE FRE €41.73 €32.15 -23%
Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 235.00 SAR 112.37 SAR -52%
IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, Q0F 2.76 SGD 1.28 SGD -54%
Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC $194.91 $338.05 +73%
Rede D'Or São Luiz S.A RDOR3 R$36.01 R$47.31 +31%
Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP ₹8,955 ₹2,955 -67%
Fresenius Medical Care AG FMS $24.68 $45.60 +85%
Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 ¥8.68 ¥7.67 -12%
Max Healthcare Institute Limited MAXHEALTH ₹1,103 ₹284.87 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is DaVita Inc (DVA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $255.97 versus a price of $180.67, about +42% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DVA?
Our model-based fair value for DaVita Inc is $255.97 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $180.67.
What is the quality score of DVA?
DaVita Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of DaVita Inc (DVA)?
DaVita Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DVA?
The net profit margin of DaVita Inc is about 5.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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