Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 8, 2026: fair value of Riyadh Cables Group Company SAR 123, price SAR 106, upside +15.7%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
46‑month range 31.57 SAR – 147.84 SAR · fair‑value band 75.56 SAR – 206.42 SAR · the 106.30 SAR price screens below the 123.00 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
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Riyadh Cables Group Company manufactures and supplies various types of wires and cables to the power transmission and communication sectors in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company operates through Cables and Wire, High Voltage Cables, and Other segments.
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Riyadh Cables Group Company manufactures and supplies various types of wires and cables to the power transmission and communication sectors in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company operates through Cables and Wire, High Voltage Cables, and Other segments. It offers wires; low and medium voltage cables; high and extra high voltage cables; overhead lines conductors cables, such as overhead lines conductors, aerial bundle cables, and high temperature low sag conductors; instrumentation and control, renewable energy, and fiber optic and telephone cables; and raw materials, such as copper rod plants, aluminum rod plants, XLPE, PVC insulation compounding, and wood and steel drums. The company also provides cables installation, cables jointing, on-site testing and commissioning, cables system design, installation system design, and technical training, as well as monitoring, repair, and maintenance services. In addition, it exports its products to approximately 34 countries. The company was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142) currently trades at 106.30 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 123.00 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 13.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 174.45 SAR per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the 106.30 SAR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 14.53 SAR, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 75.56 SAR (bear) to 206.42 SAR (bull), the price of 106.30 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Riyadh Cables Group Company reported revenue of 10.7B SAR in FY2025 versus 4.9B SAR in FY2021, a compound +21.6%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B SAR in FY2025, compounding +45.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 15.9B SAR (≈ $4.2B) · P/E ratio 14.0 · P/S ratio 1.42 · EPS (TTM) 7.57 SAR · Dividend yield 2.1% · Net margin 10.1% · Return on equity 35.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 16%, 4142 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 75.56 SARFair Value 123.00 SARBull 206.42 SAR
Price 106.30 SAR · Upside +15.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (4.11 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.9%
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+47.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+45.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 12%
2025 sits 109% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.1% a year for the price and +5.6% for the forecasts.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 543 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+15.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)35.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets11.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)10.2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)11.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7.9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Riyadh Cables Group Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4142
Frequently asked questions
Is Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 123.00 SAR versus a price of 106.30 SAR, about +16% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 4142?
Our model-based fair value for Riyadh Cables Group Company is 123.00 SAR (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 106.30 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4142?
Riyadh Cables Group Company has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 123.00 SAR (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 75.56 SAR, optimistic scenario 206.42 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Riyadh Cables Group Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 123.00 SAR, about +16% upside versus a price of 106.30 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 75.56 SAR, optimistic scenario 206.42 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142)?
Riyadh Cables Group Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.2B SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
Does Riyadh Cables Group Company pay a dividend?
Riyadh Cables Group Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.12% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Riyadh Cables Group Company would have to grow free cash flow by +13.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +21.2 % per year. As of Sep 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 4142 use?
Our models discount Riyadh Cables Group Company at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Riyadh Cables Group Company that is +13.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Riyadh Cables Group Company grew +21.2 % a year. The price currently implies +13.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Riyadh Cables Group Company (+13.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.53 %: that much free cash flow Riyadh Cables Group Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Riyadh Cables Group Company it is 123.00 SAR per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of 106.30 SAR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Riyadh Cables Group Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, 4142 trades below its calculated fair value: price 106.30 SAR, fair value 123.00 SAR, a gap of about +16% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4142?
No. The price is what the market pays today (106.30 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (123.00 SAR). For Riyadh Cables Group Company the two are 16.70 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Riyadh Cables Group Company worth?
The market values Riyadh Cables Group Company at about 15.9B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is 106.30 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 123.00 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4142?
Our models span a range for Riyadh Cables Group Company: cautious scenario 75.56 SAR, base 123.00 SAR, optimistic 206.42 SAR per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price 106.30 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4142?
Riyadh Cables Group Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.0 (as of Sep 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 123.00 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.9, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 11.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142)?
Balance-sheet figures for Riyadh Cables Group Company (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity 35.3%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4142 from its 52-week high?
Riyadh Cables Group Company trades at 106.30 SAR, about 22% below its 52-week high of 136.87 SAR and 9% above the low of 97.70 SAR (as of Oct 8, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 123.00 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Riyadh Cables Group Company?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, LG Energy Solution, Ltd, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Riyadh Cables Group Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price 106.30 SAR, calculated fair value 123.00 SAR (+16%), Quality Score 64/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4142 calculated?
We run Riyadh Cables Group Company through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 123.00 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Riyadh Cables Group Company currently trades 14 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142)?
The closing price on Oct 8, 2026 was 106.30 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 123.00 SAR, about +16% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Riyadh Cables Group Company right now?
The model range is unusually wide (75.56 SAR to 206.42 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Riyadh Cables Group Company
How large is the market capitalisation of Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142)?
The market capitalisation of Riyadh Cables Group Company is 15.9B SAR (≈ $4.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Riyadh Cables Group Company is 1.42 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142)?
Earnings per share at Riyadh Cables Group Company are 7.57 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142)?
The dividend yield of Riyadh Cables Group Company is 2.1% (payout 29.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142)?
The net margin of Riyadh Cables Group Company is 10.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Riyadh Cables Group Company is 35.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Riyadh Cables Group Company is 13.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142)?
The operating margin of Riyadh Cables Group Company is 11.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142)?
Revenue at Riyadh Cables Group Company is growing +7.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142)?
Earnings per share at Riyadh Cables Group Company are growing +9.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142) carry?
The net debt of Riyadh Cables Group Company is 374M SAR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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