Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. TWD 31.77, price TWD 28.25, upside +12.5%, quality 75 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 13.42 TWD – 37.02 TWD · fair‑value band 26.04 TWD – 37.51 TWD · the 28.25 TWD price screens below the 31.77 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells wireless communication machinery and equipment, telecommunications control radio frequency equipment and enterprises, and locomotives parts and other products.
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Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells wireless communication machinery and equipment, telecommunications control radio frequency equipment and enterprises, and locomotives parts and other products. It is involved in the entrepot trade, trade agency, and general investment related activities, as well as wholesale of electronic equipment and related components, and auto parts and supplies. The company offers after sales services. It serves in Taiwan, Japan, the United States, Europe, and internationally. Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Taichung, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554) currently trades at 28.25 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 31.77 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 11.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 40.08 TWD per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the 28.25 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 9.43 TWD, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 26.04 TWD (bear) to 37.51 TWD (bull), the price of 28.25 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 407M TWD in FY2024 versus 354M TWD in FY2020, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was 43.5M TWD in FY2024, compounding +71.1%/yr from FY2020. FY2020 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 827M TWD (≈ $26.0M) · P/E ratio 13.4 · P/S ratio 1.43 · EPS (TTM) 2.11 TWD · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 10.7% · Return on equity 6.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −66% fair-value upside, at 12%, 4554 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 26.04 TWDFair Value 31.77 TWDBull 37.51 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.61 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +38.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+36.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.53% vs −1%, picking up
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 9%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2024 sits 62% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−13.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −14.7% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 653 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score75 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+13% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)−3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
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Is Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 31.77 TWD versus a price of 28.25 TWD, about +12% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 4554?
Our model-based fair value for Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. is 31.77 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 28.25 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4554?
Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 75/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 31.77 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 26.04 TWD, optimistic scenario 37.51 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 31.77 TWD, about +12% upside versus a price of 28.25 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 26.04 TWD, optimistic scenario 37.51 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 494M TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?
Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.77% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by -13.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 4554 use?
Our models discount Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.12, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. that is -13.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. grew +3.2 % a year. The price currently implies -13.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (-13.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.91 %: that much free cash flow Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. it is 31.77 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 28.25 TWD. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 4554 trades below its calculated fair value: price 28.25 TWD, fair value 31.77 TWD, a gap of about +12% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4554?
No. The price is what the market pays today (28.25 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (31.77 TWD). For Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. the two are 3.52 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. at about 827M TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 28.25 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 31.77 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4554?
Our models span a range for Orange Electronic Co., Ltd.: cautious scenario 26.04 TWD, base 31.77 TWD, optimistic 37.51 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 28.25 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4554?
Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 31.77 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.8, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 11.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
Balance-sheet figures for Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.9%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 75/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4554 from its 52-week high?
Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. trades at 28.25 TWD, about 6% below its 52-week high of 29.95 TWD and 34% above the low of 21.10 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 31.77 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Orange Electronic Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 28.25 TWD, calculated fair value 31.77 TWD (+12%), Quality Score 75/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4554 calculated?
We run Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 31.77 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. currently trades 12 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 28.25 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 31.77 TWD, about +12% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554) come from?
Earnings per share at Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. grew −4.3 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −3.2 %, EBIT margin −4.9 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
The market capitalisation of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. is 827M TWD (≈ $26.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. is 1.43 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
Earnings per share at Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. are 2.11 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
The dividend yield of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. is 1.8% (payout 23.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
The net margin of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. is 10.7% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. is 6.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
The operating margin of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. is −3.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
Revenue at Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. is growing +1.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
Earnings per share at Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. are growing −95.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554) hold?
Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. holds more cash than debt, 232M TWD net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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