Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. stock TWD 26.21, price TWD 24.10, upside +8.7%, quality 54 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 15.28 TWD – 37.02 TWD · fair‑value band 18.34 TWD – 34.06 TWD · the 24.10 TWD price screens below the 26.21 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells wireless communication machinery and equipment, telecommunications control radio frequency equipment and enterprises, and locomotives parts and other products.
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It is involved in the entrepot trade, trade agency, and general investment related activities, as well as wholesale of electronic equipment and related components, and auto parts and supplies. The company offers after sales services.
It serves in Taiwan, Japan, the United States, Europe, and internationally. Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Taichung, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554) currently trades at 24.10 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 26.21 TWD, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 8.0%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 37.46 TWD per share, and 18 of the 25 models we run sit above the 24.10 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 3.74 TWD, and 7 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 18.34 TWD (bear) to 34.06 TWD (bull), the price of 24.10 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 493M TWD in FY2025 versus 458M TWD in FY2021, a compound +1.8%/yr. Reported net income was 55.9M TWD in FY2025, compounding +6.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 730M TWD (≈ $22.2M) Micro · P/E ratio 9.9 · P/S ratio 1.39 · EPS (TTM) 2.43 TWD · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 14.1% · Return on equity 15.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 57 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at 9%, 4554 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear18.34 TWDFair Value 26.21 TWDBull34.06 TWD
Price 24.10 TWD · Upside +8.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.71 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF20.18 TWD23.88 TWD29.08 TWD82
Growth DCF20.46 TWD23.94 TWD28.64 TWD80
Owner Earnings21.21 TWD25.33 TWD31.14 TWD78
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF20.18 TWD23.88 TWD29.08 TWD82
Owner Earnings21.21 TWD25.33 TWD31.14 TWD78
5Y Revenue Exit24.17 TWD31.69 TWD40.95 TWD74
5Y EBITDA Exit26.82 TWD36.35 TWD46.94 TWD76
5Y P/E Exit30.71 TWD43.18 TWD55.53 TWD72
10Y Revenue Exit22.13 TWD28.54 TWD36.46 TWD68
10Y EBITDA Exit24.24 TWD31.67 TWD40.78 TWD70
10Y P/E Exit26.66 TWD36.27 TWD46.98 TWD65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd12.56 TWD27.42 TWD34.92 TWD66
PEG = 1.04.32 TWD6.17 TWD8.02 TWD57
EPV24.46 TWD26.64 TWD28.54 TWD74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM2.47 TWD3.89 TWD5.45 TWD68
DDM Multi-Stage2.47 TWD3.58 TWD4.82 TWD67
Multiples
P/E Multiple29.10 TWD38.80 TWD48.50 TWD63
P/S Multiple23.56 TWD31.41 TWD39.26 TWD58
P/B Multiple56.64 TWD75.52 TWD94.40 TWD55
EV/EBIT30.28 TWD37.81 TWD45.34 TWD66
EV/EBITDA29.75 TWD37.11 TWD44.46 TWD67
EV/Revenue23.81 TWD30.72 TWD37.63 TWD54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)7.81 TWD11.84 TWD14.80 TWD54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF20.46 TWD23.94 TWD28.64 TWD80
Rev-Margin DCF24.17 TWD31.73 TWD39.63 TWD74
Economic Profit
Residual Income15.28 TWD17.25 TWD21.85 TWD76
ROIC Compounder24.92 TWD27.80 TWD30.79 TWD72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E21.58 TWD30.83 TWD40.07 TWD67
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+21.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.2% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+29.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+27.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.52.2% vs −1.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 11%
2025 sits 62% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.3%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.5% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 653 stocks
Beats the industry median on 13/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside+8.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)15.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets7.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)14.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)14.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)25.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)9.9× · Cheapest 25%
P/B1.43× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)1.39× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)33.8× · Pricier than median
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Is Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 26.21 TWD versus a price of 24.10 TWD, about +9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 4554?
Our model-based fair value for Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. is 26.21 TWD (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 24.10 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4554?
Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 26.21 TWD (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 18.34 TWD, optimistic scenario 34.06 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 26.21 TWD, about +9% upside versus a price of 24.10 TWD (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 18.34 TWD, optimistic scenario 34.06 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 525M TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?
Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of 1.80% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. pays a dividend of 0.435 TWD per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 25, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2020. The payout ratio is 17.9% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.64 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +10.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.9 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 4554 use?
Our models discount Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.18, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. that is +10.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. grew +6.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +10.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +16.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (+10.2 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.96 %: that much free cash flow Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. it is 26.21 TWD per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of 24.10 TWD. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, 4554 trades below its calculated fair value: price 24.10 TWD, fair value 26.21 TWD, a gap of about +9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4554?
No. The price is what the market pays today (24.10 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (26.21 TWD). For Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. the two are 2.11 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. at about 730M TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is 24.10 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 26.21 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4554?
Our models span a range for Orange Electronic Co., Ltd.: cautious scenario 18.34 TWD, base 26.21 TWD, optimistic 34.06 TWD per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price 24.10 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4554?
Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.9 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 26.21 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 8.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
Balance-sheet figures for Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 15.2%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4554 from its 52-week high?
Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. trades at 24.10 TWD, about 20% below its 52-week high of 29.95 TWD and 14% above the low of 21.10 TWD (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 26.21 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Orange Electronic Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, Corning Incorporated, Delta Electronics, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price 24.10 TWD, calculated fair value 26.21 TWD (+9%), Quality Score 54/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4554 calculated?
We run Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. through 25 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 26.21 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. currently trades 8% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 24.10 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 26.21 TWD, about +9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (18.34 TWD to 34.06 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554) come from?
Earnings per share at Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. grew −4.3 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −3.2 %, EBIT margin −4.9 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
The market capitalisation of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. is 730M TWD (≈ $22.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. is 1.39 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
Earnings per share at Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. are 2.43 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
The dividend yield of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. is 1.8% (payout 17.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
The net margin of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. is 14.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. is 15.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. is 4.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
The operating margin of Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. is 14.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
Revenue at Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. is growing +25.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554)?
Earnings per share at Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. are growing −95.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. (4554) hold?
Orange Electronic Co., Ltd. holds more cash than debt, 232M TWD net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 4, 2026