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Gmt Global Inc (4573) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · TW · Market cap 15.1B TWD

GG Gmt Global Inc 4573 · TWO
Price368.50 TWD
Fair Value404.29 TWD
Upside+9.7%
Quality27/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -19.3% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range 265.58 TWD – 555.10 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −4.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (265.58 TWD to 555.10 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (8 months)

604.00 TWD 61.90 TWD Fair Value 404.29 TWD Dec 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

8‑month range 61.90 TWD – 604.00 TWD · fair‑value band 265.58 TWD – 555.10 TWD · the 368.50 TWD price screens below the 404.29 TWD fair value. As of Jul 23, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Gmt Global Inc (4573) currently trades at 368.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 404.29 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 9.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Gmt Global Inc generated revenue of 603M TWD at a net margin of -19.3%. Revenue grew 11.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -21.2%. Net debt stands at 949M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 265.58 TWD (bear case) to 555.10 TWD (bull case); at 368.50 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at 10%, 4573 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 9.41 TWD 14.13 TWD 19.15 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 9.41 TWD 13.42 TWD 18.01 TWD 61
NCAV (Graham) 6.59 TWD 8.83 TWD 13.18 TWD 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 9.41 TWD 14.13 TWD 19.15 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 9.41 TWD 13.42 TWD 18.01 TWD 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 6.59 TWD 8.83 TWD 13.18 TWD 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (13.42 TWD) versus Asset-Based (8.83 TWD). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 603M TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.9%
Net margin -19.3%
Return on equity -21.2%
Free cash flow −202M TWD FY2025
Operating margin -16.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -2.93 TWD
Net debt 949M TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 22
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Gmt Global Inc. engages in the manufacturing and trading of metal molds, linear motion modules, components, and related spare parts in Asia, Europe, and internationally.

Full company description

Gmt Global Inc. engages in the manufacturing and trading of metal molds, linear motion modules, components, and related spare parts in Asia, Europe, and internationally. The company offers solutions for semiconductors and optical communications industries; direct drive module series; motorized, manual, and alignment stage products; linear motion components, such as precision ball screws, ball screw support units, couplings, slide rail sets, miniature guide and gonio ways, slide tables, and cross roller bearings; electric cylinder series, actuators, electric grippers, and hollow rotary stages; optical table, and microscope and hollow platform; motor/drive; and shrink fit machine. It also provides machinery manufacturing and repair services; and sells automation modules and components. The company's products are used for optical communication, laser industry, semiconductor, optical industry, advanced electronics, and life sciences applications. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Changhua, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Gmt Global Inc reported revenue of 603M TWD in FY2025 versus 520M TWD in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was −116M TWD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 13/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
603M TWD
Latest YoY
−3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+2.2%
Revenue +3.8%/yr
FY21 520M TWD
FY22 544M TWD
FY23 408M TWD
FY24 623M TWD
FY25 603M TWD
Net income
FY21 −44.6M TWD
FY22 −36.9M TWD
FY23 −97.9M TWD
FY24 391K TWD
FY25 −116M TWD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gmt Global Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4573

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +10% · Top 25%
Return on assets -4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -19% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -16% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.03× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.78× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.78× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 46 · sector 0
FUTURE 60 · sector 32
PAST 0 · sector 24
HEALTH 48 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Gmt Global Inc (4573) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 404.29 TWD versus a price of 368.50 TWD, about +10% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 4573?
Our model-based fair value for Gmt Global Inc is 404.29 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 368.50 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4573?
Gmt Global Inc has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Gmt Global Inc (4573)?
Gmt Global Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 603M TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4573?
The net profit margin of Gmt Global Inc is about -19.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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