SMCG Co., Ltd. (460870) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of SMCG Co., Ltd. KRW 1,775, price KRW 3,080, upside -42.4%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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SMCG Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells glass containers for cosmetics. The company also provides accessories, which includes caps, pumps, droppers, etc. It serves companies and small and medium-sized enterprises. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Anseong-si, South Korea.
Stock analysis
SMCG Co., Ltd. (460870) currently trades at 3,080 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,775 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 73.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 5,851 KRW per share, and 4 of the 15 models we run sit above the 3,080 KRW price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 897.90 KRW, and 11 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1,121 KRW (bear) to 1,990 KRW (bull), the price of 3,080 KRW sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
SMCG Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 55.8B KRW in FY2025 versus 31.6B KRW in FY2022, a compound +20.8%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3B KRW in FY2025, compounding +10.7%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap 60.8B KRW (≈ $44.7M) · P/S ratio 0.84 · Net margin 2.4% · Return on equity 10.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.5% · Operating margin 9.0% · Revenue (TTM) 57.7B KRW · Revenue growth (YoY) +14.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −42%, 460870 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1,121 KRWFair Value 1,775 KRWBull 1,990 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.8%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in KRW (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+7.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 9%
2025 sits 81% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/8 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−42% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth14% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.18× · Above median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)71· sector 3
PAST (return on equity)40· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)91· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 47
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
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Is SMCG Co., Ltd. (460870) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,775 KRW versus a price of 3,080 KRW, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 460870?
Our model-based fair value for SMCG Co., Ltd. is 1,775 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3,080 KRW.
What is the quality score of 460870?
SMCG Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SMCG Co., Ltd. (460870)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,775 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,121 KRW, optimistic scenario 1,990 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SMCG Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,775 KRW, about −42% upside versus a price of 3,080 KRW (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1,121 KRW, optimistic scenario 1,990 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SMCG Co., Ltd. (460870)?
SMCG Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 57.7B KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SMCG Co., Ltd. (460870)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SMCG Co., Ltd. it is 1,775 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 3,080 KRW. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SMCG Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 460870 trades above its calculated fair value: price 3,080 KRW, fair value 1,775 KRW, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 460870?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3,080 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,775 KRW). For SMCG Co., Ltd. the two are 1,305 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SMCG Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values SMCG Co., Ltd. at about 60.8B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 3,080 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 1,775 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 460870?
Our models span a range for SMCG Co., Ltd.: cautious scenario 1,121 KRW, base 1,775 KRW, optimistic 1,990 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 3,080 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of SMCG Co., Ltd. (460870)?
Balance-sheet figures for SMCG Co., Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.0%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 460870 from its 52-week high?
SMCG Co., Ltd. trades at 3,080 KRW, about 51% below its 52-week high of 6,230 KRW and 62% above the low of 1,901 KRW (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,775 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SMCG Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SMCG Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 3,080 KRW, calculated fair value 1,775 KRW (−42%), Quality Score 34/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 460870 calculated?
We run SMCG Co., Ltd. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,775 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. SMCG Co., Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SMCG Co., Ltd. (460870)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 3,080 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 1,775 KRW, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SMCG Co., Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1,990 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of SMCG Co., Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of SMCG Co., Ltd. (460870)?
The market capitalisation of SMCG Co., Ltd. is 60.8B KRW (≈ $44.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SMCG Co., Ltd. (460870)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SMCG Co., Ltd. is 0.84 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of SMCG Co., Ltd. (460870)?
The net margin of SMCG Co., Ltd. is 2.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SMCG Co., Ltd. (460870)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SMCG Co., Ltd. is 10.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SMCG Co., Ltd. (460870)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SMCG Co., Ltd. is 5.5% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SMCG Co., Ltd. (460870)?
The operating margin of SMCG Co., Ltd. is 9.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SMCG Co., Ltd. (460870)?
Revenue at SMCG Co., Ltd. is growing +14.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SMCG Co., Ltd. (460870)?
Earnings per share at SMCG Co., Ltd. are growing −55.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SMCG Co., Ltd. (460870) generate?
The free cash flow of SMCG Co., Ltd. is −3.4B KRW (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does SMCG Co., Ltd. (460870) carry?
The net debt of SMCG Co., Ltd. is 20.3B KRW (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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