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New Era Electronics Co (4909) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · TW · Market cap 3.6B TWD

NE New Era Electronics Co 4909 · TWO
Price38.65 TWD
Fair Value23.43 TWD
Upside-39.4%
Quality60/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -50.6% net margin
generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 11/100
Evidence: Medium Range 15.47 TWD – 29.29 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −8.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 39% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (29.29 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (15.47 TWD to 29.29 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

179.76 TWD 13.47 TWD Fair Value 23.43 TWD Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 13.47 TWD – 179.76 TWD · fair‑value band 15.47 TWD – 29.29 TWD · the 38.65 TWD price screens above the 23.43 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

New Era Electronics Co (4909) currently trades at 38.65 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 23.43 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 39.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, New Era Electronics Co generated revenue of 230M TWD at a net margin of -50.6%. Revenue declined 56.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 680M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 15.47 TWD (bear case) to 29.29 TWD (bull case); at 38.65 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -39%, 4909 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 68.24 TWD 87.11 TWD 118.38 TWD 72
Gordon GGM 52.70 TWD 57.43 TWD 64.59 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 52.70 TWD 65.11 TWD 82.07 TWD 61
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 65.97 TWD 85.56 TWD 120.72 TWD 38
5Y Revenue Exit 36.85 TWD 40.56 TWD 45.79 TWD 39
10Y Revenue Exit 48.15 TWD 51.93 TWD 55.28 TWD 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 52.70 TWD 57.43 TWD 64.59 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 52.70 TWD 65.11 TWD 82.07 TWD 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue 17.97 TWD 20.35 TWD 22.74 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 13.63 TWD 18.27 TWD 27.26 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 68.24 TWD 87.11 TWD 118.38 TWD 72

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (87.11 TWD) versus Asset-Based (18.27 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 230M TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -56.5%
Net margin -50.6%
Return on equity -4.0%
Free cash flow 540M TWD FY2025
Operating margin -51.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -1.25 TWD
EPS growth (YoY) +15.4%
Net cash 680M TWD FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 5
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

New Era Electronics Co., Ltd engages in the design, manufacture, assembly, and sale of printed circuit boards (PCBs) in Taiwan and internationally.

Full company description

New Era Electronics Co., Ltd engages in the design, manufacture, assembly, and sale of printed circuit boards (PCBs) in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers microwave RF PCBs for use in base station antenna, low noise block, and telecom equipment; heavy copper, metal core bonding, and high thermal conductivity which are used in work station power supply, base station transceivers, server accessories, remote radio head, and small cells; and FR-4 PCBs for use in computer accessories, and communication and telecom equipment. It also offers mixed dielectric PCBs for telecom equipment, power amplifiers, VSAT transceivers, and remote radio heads; and RF automobile PCBs for use in blind spot detection, lane departure warning, emergency braking, ADAS systems, and forward and rear collision warning. New Era Electronics Co., Ltd was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Taoyuan City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

New Era Electronics Co reported revenue of 297M TWD in FY2025 versus 673M TWD in FY2021, a compound −18.5%/yr. Reported net income was −117M TWD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
297M TWD
Latest YoY
−89.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.3%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.5%
Revenue −18.5%/yr
FY21 673M TWD
FY22 495M TWD
FY23 719M TWD
FY24 2.8B TWD
FY25 297M TWD
Net income
FY21 −118M TWD
FY22 −54.8M TWD
FY23 38.9M TWD
FY24 946M TWD
FY25 −117M TWD

4909 screens 39% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "New Era Electronics Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4909

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 627 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −39% · Above median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -51% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -52% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -57% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.48× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is New Era Electronics Co (4909) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 23.43 TWD versus a price of 38.65 TWD, about −39% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4909?
Our model-based fair value for New Era Electronics Co is 23.43 TWD (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 38.65 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4909?
New Era Electronics Co has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of New Era Electronics Co (4909)?
New Era Electronics Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 230M TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4909?
The net profit margin of New Era Electronics Co is about -50.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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