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Cheng Mei Materials Technology Corporation (4960) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · TW · Market cap 11.8B TWD

CM Cheng Mei Materials Technology Corporation 4960 · TW
Price20.45 TWD
Fair Value3.05 TWD
Upside-85.1%
Quality41/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -16.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range 2.79 TWD – 3.46 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −14.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 85% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.46 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

44.95 TWD 8.93 TWD Fair Value 3.05 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 8.93 TWD – 44.95 TWD · fair‑value band 2.79 TWD – 3.46 TWD · the 20.45 TWD price screens above the 3.05 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Cheng Mei Materials Technology Corporation (4960) currently trades at 20.45 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.05 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 85.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Cheng Mei Materials Technology Corporation generated revenue of 8.3B TWD at a net margin of -16.6%. Revenue declined 13.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -17.4%. Net debt stands at 1.3B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2.79 TWD (bear case) to 3.46 TWD (bull case); at 20.45 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -85%, 4960 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 2.79 TWD 3.05 TWD 3.46 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 2.79 TWD 3.50 TWD 4.50 TWD 61
NCAV (Graham) 6.49 TWD 8.70 TWD 12.98 TWD 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 2.79 TWD 3.05 TWD 3.46 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 2.79 TWD 3.50 TWD 4.50 TWD 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 6.49 TWD 8.70 TWD 12.98 TWD 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (8.70 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (3.05 TWD). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 8.3B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -13.9%
Net margin -16.6%
Return on equity -17.4%
Free cash flow −881M TWD FY2025
Operating margin -16.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -2.58 TWD
EPS growth (YoY) -85.8%
Net debt 1.3B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cheng Mei Materials Technology Corporation manufactures and sells optoelectronic material and components in Taiwan and Mainland China.

Full company description

Cheng Mei Materials Technology Corporation manufactures and sells optoelectronic material and components in Taiwan and Mainland China. It offers optical structure embossing adhesive and transparent adhesive for mini LEDs; optical adhesive and film application; polarizers for handheld devices, automotive and public displays, desktop LCD, and energy savings applications; and mobile device displays and desktop monitors. Cheng Mei Materials Technology Corporation was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Tainan City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cheng Mei Materials Technology Corporation reported revenue of 8.6B TWD in FY2025 versus 11.1B TWD in FY2021, a compound −6.1%/yr. Reported net income was −1.5B TWD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
8.6B TWD
Latest YoY
−3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+6.2%
Revenue −6.1%/yr
FY21 11.1B TWD
FY22 9.5B TWD
FY23 9.2B TWD
FY24 8.9B TWD
FY25 8.6B TWD
Net income
FY21 763M TWD
FY22 462M TWD
FY23 −581M TWD
FY24 −267M TWD
FY25 −1.5B TWD

4960 screens 85% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cheng Mei Materials Technology Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4960

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −85% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -17% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -16% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -14% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.33× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 32
PAST 0 · sector 24
HEALTH 84 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cheng Mei Materials Technology Corporation (4960) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.05 TWD versus a price of 20.45 TWD, about −85% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4960?
Our model-based fair value for Cheng Mei Materials Technology Corporation is 3.05 TWD (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 20.45 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4960?
Cheng Mei Materials Technology Corporation has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cheng Mei Materials Technology Corporation (4960)?
Cheng Mei Materials Technology Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.3B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4960?
The net profit margin of Cheng Mei Materials Technology Corporation is about -16.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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