Saraswati Commercial (India) Limited (512020) Fair Value & Analysis
Other · IN · Market cap ₹924M
Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ₹975.70 to ₹1,061 (+8.7%) since Jul 4, 2026. Share price +9.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 89% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1,326). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹904.10 – ₹26,468 · fair‑value band ₹795.54 – ₹1,326 · the ₹9,949 price screens above the ₹1,061 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
Analysis
Saraswati Commercial (India) Limited (512020) currently trades at ₹9,949, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,061, implying the stock looks roughly 89.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Other sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Saraswati Commercial (India) Limited generated revenue of ₹95.0M at a net margin of -42.7%. Net debt stands at ₹198M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 46.6. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹795.54 (bear case) to ₹1,326 (bull case); at ₹9,949, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Other peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -89%, 512020 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹31,531) versus Asset-Based (₹7,373). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Saraswati Commercial (India) Limited operates as a non-banking financial institution in India. It engages in lending activities, as well as invests and trades in shares and securities. The company was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Mumbai, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Saraswati Commercial (India) Limited reported revenue of ₹115M in FY2026 versus ₹27.0M in FY2022, a compound +43.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹923M in FY2026, compounding +9.2%/yr from FY2022.
512020 screens 89% overvalued. Compare with Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation →
Peer Group
Other · 316 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation FREJO | $15.84 | $52.77 | +233% |
| 533278 533278 | ₹438.60 | ₹720.31 | +64% |
| Nestl?? India Limited 500790 | ₹1,459 | ₹191.93 | -87% |
| 540376 540376 | ₹3,993 | ₹1,806 | -55% |
| 540777 540777 | ₹567.55 | ₹142.69 | -75% |
| Lupin Limited 500257 | ₹2,476 | ₹1,983 | -20% |
| 540719 540719 | ₹1,788 | ₹850.02 | -52% |
| 524804 524804 | ₹1,620 | ₹1,268 | -22% |
| 540716 540716 | ₹1,612 | ₹1,224 | -24% |
| Eicher Motors Limited 505200 | ₹7,340 | ₹6,859 | -7% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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