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515030 Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹41.0B

5 515030 515030 · BSE
Price₹956.85
Fair Value₹1,294
Upside+35.2%
Quality41/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: Medium Range ₹905.69 – ₹1,682 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 15, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price +7.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 35% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (41/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹905.69 to ₹1,682) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹1,066 ₹288.59 Fair Value ₹1,294 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹288.59 – ₹1,066 · fair‑value band ₹905.69 – ₹1,682 · the ₹956.85 price screens below the ₹1,294 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

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Analysis

515030 (515030) currently trades at ₹956.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,294, implying the stock looks roughly 35.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Net debt stands at ₹18.1B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 26.7 (as of Aug 15, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹905.69 (bear case) to ₹1,682 (bull case); at ₹956.85, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 35%, 515030 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹780.97 ₹849.52 ₹1,115 76
ROIC Compounder ₹806.18 ₹1,055 ₹1,488 72
Growth-Adj P/E ₹923.01 ₹1,319 ₹1,714 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹547.39 ₹2,001 ₹2,700 54
Lynch FV ₹476.71 ₹681.02 ₹885.33 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹476.71 ₹681.02 ₹885.33 46
EPV ₹806.18 ₹991.63 ₹1,154 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹1,328 ₹1,771 ₹2,214 63
P/S Multiple ₹1,026 ₹1,368 ₹1,711 58
P/B Multiple ₹1,026 ₹1,368 ₹1,711 55
EV/EBIT ₹1,690 ₹2,356 ₹3,021 53
EV/EBITDA ₹1,624 ₹2,268 ₹2,911 54
EV/Revenue ₹655.87 ₹1,068 ₹1,481 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹459.14 ₹615.24 ₹918.27 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹780.97 ₹849.52 ₹1,115 76
ROIC Compounder ₹806.18 ₹1,055 ₹1,488 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹923.01 ₹1,319 ₹1,714 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (₹1,368) versus Asset-Based (₹615.24). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Free cash flow −₹1.6B FY2025
P/E ratio 26.7 as of Aug 15, 2026
EPS (TTM) ₹6.32
Net debt ₹18.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 13
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 55
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 49
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

515030 reported revenue of ₹49.1B in FY2025 versus ₹31.7B in FY2021, a compound +11.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹3.4B in FY2025, compounding −0.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
₹49.1B
Latest YoY
+6.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.2%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.3%
Revenue +11.5%/yr
FY21 ₹31.7B
FY22 ₹40.2B
FY23 ₹43.4B
FY24 ₹45.9B
FY25 ₹49.1B
Net income −0.0%/yr
FY21 ₹3.4B
FY22 ₹3.6B
FY23 ₹3.3B
FY24 ₹3.7B
FY25 ₹3.4B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "515030 Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/515030

Peer Group

Consumer Discretionary · 3642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Automobiles & Auto Parts” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +38% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.40× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 1.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Automobiles & Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 15, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is 515030 overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,294 versus a price of ₹956.85, about +35% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 515030?
Our model-based fair value for 515030 is ₹1,294 (as of Aug 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹956.85.
What is the quality score of 515030?
515030 has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of 515030?
The net profit margin of 515030 is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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