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GTPPB Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · PH · Market cap 114B PHP

G GTPPB GTPPB · PSE
Price976.50 PHP
Fair Value3,167 PHP
Upside+224.3%
Quality55/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt
Trails peers (2/8)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range 2,026 PHP – 4,219 PHP Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 10, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 10, 2026, revised from 3,191 PHP to 3,167 PHP (−0.8%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −0.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 224% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (2,026 PHP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (2,026 PHP to 4,219 PHP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

986.96 PHP 564.86 PHP Fair Value 3,167 PHP Feb 2017 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 564.86 PHP – 986.96 PHP · fair‑value band 2,026 PHP – 4,219 PHP · the 976.50 PHP price screens below the 3,167 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.

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Analysis

GTPPB (GTPPB) currently trades at 976.50 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3,167 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 224.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 19.1. Fundamentals as of Jul 10, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2,026 PHP (bear case) to 4,219 PHP (bull case); at 976.50 PHP, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 224%, GTPPB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 1,718 PHP 3,594 PHP 6,852 PHP 80
Residual Income 2,026 PHP 2,314 PHP 4,219 PHP 76
Rev-Margin DCF 1,439 PHP 3,003 PHP 5,081 PHP 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1,751 PHP 3,842 PHP 7,607 PHP 38
Owner Earnings 2,312 PHP 4,900 PHP 9,560 PHP 31
5Y Revenue Exit 1,439 PHP 3,050 PHP 5,269 PHP 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 1,392 PHP 2,952 PHP 4,930 PHP 41
5Y P/E Exit 2,730 PHP 5,780 PHP 9,369 PHP 38
10Y Revenue Exit 1,456 PHP 3,043 PHP 5,546 PHP 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 1,493 PHP 2,970 PHP 5,255 PHP 37
10Y P/E Exit 2,389 PHP 5,073 PHP 9,064 PHP 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1,675 PHP 8,459 PHP 11,680 PHP 54
Lynch FV 2,295 PHP 3,279 PHP 4,262 PHP 50
PEG = 1.0 2,295 PHP 3,279 PHP 4,262 PHP 46
EPV 968.09 PHP 1,231 PHP 1,462 PHP 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 4,064 PHP 5,419 PHP 6,774 PHP 63
P/S Multiple 2,270 PHP 3,026 PHP 3,783 PHP 58
P/B Multiple 3,141 PHP 4,188 PHP 5,235 PHP 55
EV/EBIT 2,222 PHP 3,167 PHP 4,111 PHP 53
EV/EBITDA 1,363 PHP 2,021 PHP 2,679 PHP 54
EV/Revenue 1,299 PHP 2,117 PHP 2,936 PHP 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1,123 PHP 1,505 PHP 2,247 PHP 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1,718 PHP 3,594 PHP 6,852 PHP 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1,439 PHP 3,003 PHP 5,081 PHP 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 2,026 PHP 2,314 PHP 4,219 PHP 76
ROIC Compounder 968.09 PHP 1,231 PHP 1,462 PHP 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 3,574 PHP 5,105 PHP 6,637 PHP 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (5,105 PHP) versus Economic Profit (1,231 PHP). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Return on equity 416%
P/E ratio 19.1
EPS (TTM) 34.81 PHP

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

GTPPB reported revenue of 295B PHP in FY2024 versus 126B PHP in FY2020, a compound +23.7%/yr. Reported net income was 28.8B PHP in FY2024, compounding +44.8%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
295B PHP
Latest YoY
+4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+22.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+5.4%
Revenue +23.7%/yr
FY20 126B PHP
FY21 162B PHP
FY22 228B PHP
FY23 282B PHP
FY24 295B PHP
Net income +44.8%/yr
FY20 6.5B PHP
FY21 11.0B PHP
FY22 18.4B PHP
FY23 29.3B PHP
FY24 28.8B PHP

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GTPPB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GTPPB

Peer Group

Consumer Discretionary · 3559 stocks

How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Automobiles & Auto Parts” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 416% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.29× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 23
FUTURE 0 · sector 14
PAST 100 · sector 21
HEALTH 85 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Automobiles & Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 10, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ML ML €34.87 €37.91 +9%
Hwashin Precision Engineering Co 126640 3,560 KRW 5,883 KRW +65%
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Ecoplastic Corporation 038110 1,990 KRW 1,090 KRW -45%
HRS Co 036640 4,715 KRW 8,615 KRW +83%
Mobase Co 101330 3,155 KRW 9,785 KRW +210%
Hanil Forging Industrial Co 024740 2,125 KRW 843.71 KRW -60%
Guyoung Technology Co 053270 1,909 KRW 1,235 KRW -35%
Seojin Automotive Co 122690 1,578 KRW 2,388 KRW +51%
CBI Co 013720 2,345 KRW 1,526 KRW -35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is GTPPB overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3,167 PHP versus a price of 976.50 PHP, about +224% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GTPPB?
Our model-based fair value for GTPPB is 3,167 PHP (as of Jul 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 976.50 PHP.
What is the quality score of GTPPB?
GTPPB has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of GTPPB?
The net profit margin of GTPPB is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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