Howard Hotels Limited (526761) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Howard Hotels Limited ₹9.74, price ₹17.90, upside -45.6%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹3.82 – ₹31.04 · fair‑value band ₹6.82 – ₹12.67 · the ₹17.90 price screens above the ₹9.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Howard Hotels Limited engages in hotel business in India. It primarily owns, operates, and manages hotels, palaces, and resorts. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is based in Agra, India.
Stock analysis
Howard Hotels Limited (526761) currently trades at ₹17.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹9.74, 45.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹25.62 per share, and 11 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹17.90 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ₹2.85, and 13 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹6.82 (bear) to ₹12.67 (bull), the price of ₹17.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Discretionary sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Howard Hotels Limited reported revenue of ₹156M in FY2026 versus ₹43.1M in FY2022, a compound +38.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹3.3M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹36.5M (≈ $379K) · P/S ratio 0.46 · EPS (TTM) ₹−0.8400 · Net margin 2.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.5% · Operating margin −3.4% · Revenue (TTM) ₹79.7M · Revenue growth (YoY) −98.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Discretionary peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −46%, 526761 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹6.82Fair Value ₹9.74Bull ₹12.67
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.0%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−26.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−26.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−88% → 4%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Hotels” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Consumer Discretionary · 3564 stocks
Beats the sector median on 0/8 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−29.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets0.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−6.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−3.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−98.9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.22× · Above median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 38
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)89· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 48
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Howard Hotels Limited (526761) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹9.74 versus a price of ₹17.90, about −46% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 526761?
Our model-based fair value for Howard Hotels Limited is ₹9.74 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹17.90.
What is the quality score of 526761?
Howard Hotels Limited has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Howard Hotels Limited (526761)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹9.74 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹6.82, optimistic scenario ₹12.67. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Howard Hotels Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹9.74, about −46% upside versus a price of ₹17.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹6.82, optimistic scenario ₹12.67. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Howard Hotels Limited (526761)?
Howard Hotels Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹79.7M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Howard Hotels Limited (526761)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Howard Hotels Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +4.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +55.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 526761 use?
Our models discount Howard Hotels Limited at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Howard Hotels Limited that is +4.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Howard Hotels Limited (526761) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Howard Hotels Limited grew +55.5 % a year. The price currently implies +4.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Howard Hotels Limited (526761) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Howard Hotels Limited (+4.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Howard Hotels Limited (526761)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.52 %: that much free cash flow Howard Hotels Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Howard Hotels Limited (526761)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Howard Hotels Limited it is ₹9.74 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹17.90. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Howard Hotels Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 526761 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹17.90, fair value ₹9.74, a gap of about −46% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 526761?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹17.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹9.74). For Howard Hotels Limited the two are ₹8.16 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Howard Hotels Limited worth?
The market values Howard Hotels Limited at about ₹36.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹17.90; our models calculate a fair value of ₹9.74 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 526761?
Our models span a range for Howard Hotels Limited: cautious scenario ₹6.82, base ₹9.74, optimistic ₹12.67 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹17.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Howard Hotels Limited (526761)?
Balance-sheet figures for Howard Hotels Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 526761 from its 52-week high?
Howard Hotels Limited trades at ₹17.90, about 38% below its 52-week high of ₹28.85 and 6% above the low of ₹16.89 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹9.74 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Howard Hotels Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Discretionary) we also value 523710, GRAVISSHO, HOWARHO, CINDHO, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Howard Hotels Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹17.90, calculated fair value ₹9.74 (−46%), Quality Score 51/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 526761 calculated?
We run Howard Hotels Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹9.74, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Howard Hotels Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Howard Hotels Limited (526761)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹17.90. Our model-based fair value is ₹9.74, about −46% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Howard Hotels Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹12.67). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹6.82 to ₹12.67) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Howard Hotels Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Howard Hotels Limited (526761)?
The market capitalisation of Howard Hotels Limited is ₹36.5M (≈ $379K). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Howard Hotels Limited (526761)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Howard Hotels Limited is 0.46 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Howard Hotels Limited (526761)?
Earnings per share at Howard Hotels Limited are ₹−0.8400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Howard Hotels Limited (526761)?
The net margin of Howard Hotels Limited is 2.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Howard Hotels Limited (526761)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Howard Hotels Limited is 3.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Howard Hotels Limited (526761)?
The operating margin of Howard Hotels Limited is −3.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Howard Hotels Limited (526761)?
Revenue at Howard Hotels Limited is growing −98.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Howard Hotels Limited (526761) carry?
The net debt of Howard Hotels Limited is ₹22.8M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 1.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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