Ballys Intralot S.A. (BYLOT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Ballys Intralot S.A. €0.54, price €1.12, upside -52.2%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Ballys Intralot S.A. for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.1888 – €1.30 · fair‑value band €0.1445 – €1.08 · the €1.12 price screens above the €0.5355 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
Follow Ballys Intralot in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Ballys Intralot is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Ballys Intralot S.A. (BYLOT) currently trades at €1.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.5355, 52.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €0.7100 per share, and 2 of the 9 models we run sit above the €1.12 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €0.3300, and 7 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €0.1445 (bear) to €1.08 (bull), the price of €1.12 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Discretionary sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Ballys Intralot S.A. reported revenue of €518M in FY2025 versus €414M in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was −€65.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €2.1B · P/S ratio 3.18 · EPS (TTM) €−0.0700 · Net margin −12.6% · Return on equity −7.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.4% · Operating margin 19.7% · Revenue (TTM) €691M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Discretionary peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −52%, BYLOT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €0.1445Fair Value €0.5355Bull €1.08
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+34.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.7%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.2% (2021) → 14.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +17.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Casinos & Gaming” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Consumer Discretionary · 3619 stocks
Beats the sector median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−52.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets3.7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)−8.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)19.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth180.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.18× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Discretionary median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.72× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)3.41× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF20.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA17.6× · Priciest 25%
PEG2.64× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)41· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 48
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Ballys Intralot S.A. (BYLOT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.5355 versus a price of €1.12, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BYLOT?
Our model-based fair value for Ballys Intralot S.A. is €0.5355 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.12.
What is the quality score of BYLOT?
Ballys Intralot S.A. has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ballys Intralot S.A. (BYLOT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.5355 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.1445, optimistic scenario €1.08. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ballys Intralot S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.5355, about −52% upside versus a price of €1.12 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.1445, optimistic scenario €1.08. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ballys Intralot S.A. (BYLOT)?
Ballys Intralot S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €691M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ballys Intralot S.A. (BYLOT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ballys Intralot S.A. would have to grow free cash flow by +20.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +5.8 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BYLOT use?
Our models discount Ballys Intralot S.A. at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.27, country premium for Greece. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ballys Intralot S.A. that is +20.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ballys Intralot S.A. (BYLOT) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Ballys Intralot S.A. grew +5.8 % a year. The price currently implies +20.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ballys Intralot S.A. (BYLOT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.63 %: that much free cash flow Ballys Intralot S.A. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ballys Intralot S.A. (BYLOT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ballys Intralot S.A. it is €0.5355 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of €1.12. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ballys Intralot S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, BYLOT trades above its calculated fair value: price €1.12, fair value €0.5355, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BYLOT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.12); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.5355). For Ballys Intralot S.A. the two are €0.5845 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ballys Intralot S.A. worth?
The market values Ballys Intralot S.A. at about €2.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is €1.12; our models calculate a fair value of €0.5355 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BYLOT?
Our models span a range for Ballys Intralot S.A.: cautious scenario €0.1445, base €0.5355, optimistic €1.08 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price €1.12). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of BYLOT?
The PEG ratio of Ballys Intralot S.A. is 2.64 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ballys Intralot S.A. (BYLOT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ballys Intralot S.A. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −7.8%, debt of 1.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BYLOT from its 52-week high?
Ballys Intralot S.A. trades at €1.12, about 11% below its 52-week high of €1.26 and 33% above the low of €0.8440 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.5355 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ballys Intralot S.A.?
From the same area (Consumer Discretionary) we also value ALWN, RAJPALAYAM, VIRAT, IST Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ballys Intralot S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price €1.12, calculated fair value €0.5355 (−52%), Quality Score 31/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BYLOT calculated?
We run Ballys Intralot S.A. through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.5355, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Ballys Intralot S.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ballys Intralot S.A. (BYLOT)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €1.12. Our model-based fair value is €0.5355, about −52% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ballys Intralot S.A. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€1.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (€0.1445 to €1.08). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Ballys Intralot S.A.
How large is the market capitalisation of Ballys Intralot S.A. (BYLOT)?
The market capitalisation of Ballys Intralot S.A. is €2.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ballys Intralot S.A. (BYLOT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ballys Intralot S.A. is 3.18 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ballys Intralot S.A. (BYLOT)?
Earnings per share at Ballys Intralot S.A. are €−0.0700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ballys Intralot S.A. (BYLOT)?
The net margin of Ballys Intralot S.A. is −12.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ballys Intralot S.A. (BYLOT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ballys Intralot S.A. is −7.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ballys Intralot S.A. (BYLOT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ballys Intralot S.A. is 5.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ballys Intralot S.A. (BYLOT)?
The operating margin of Ballys Intralot S.A. is 19.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ballys Intralot S.A. (BYLOT)?
Revenue at Ballys Intralot S.A. is growing +181% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Ballys Intralot S.A. (BYLOT) carry?
The net debt of Ballys Intralot S.A. is €1.4B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 12.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Ballys Intralot S.A. in the live analysis
One click puts Ballys Intralot S.A. on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
