Ballys Intralot S.A. (BYLOT) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Discretionary · GR · Market cap €2.2B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +6.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 72% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.5865). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (€0.0850 to €0.5865). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.1389 – €1.30 · fair‑value band €0.0850 – €0.5865 · the €1.18 price screens above the €0.3315 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Ballys Intralot S.A. (BYLOT) currently trades at €1.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.3315, implying the stock looks roughly 71.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Discretionary sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ballys Intralot S.A. generated revenue of €691M at a net margin of -8.5%. Revenue grew 180.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.8%. Net debt stands at €1.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €0.0850 (bear case) to €0.5865 (bull case); at €1.18, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 5 Consumer Discretionary peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at -72%, BYLOT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€0.5300) versus Dividend Discount (€0.0400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ballys Intralot S.A. reported revenue of €518M in FY2025 versus €414M in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was −€65.2M in FY2025.
BYLOT screens 72% overvalued. Compare with ALWN →
Peer Group
Consumer Discretionary · 3605 stocks
How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Casinos & Gaming” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)
Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
5 more Casinos & Gaming stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALWN ALWN | €13.50 | €11.72 | -13% |
| BBBY BBBY | $4.23 | $0.5600 | -87% |
| MGI MGI | 5.35 THB | 15.02 THB | +181% |
| AAAK AAAK | €5.75 | €0.8200 | -86% |
| Iljeong Industrial Co 008500 | 624.00 KRW | 591.87 KRW | -5% |
Compare Ballys Intralot S.A. with another stock
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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