FARM FRESH BERHAD (5306) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of FARM FRESH BERHAD MYR 1.15, price MYR 1.97, upside -41.6%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Farm Fresh Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, marketing, and sale of cow's milk and plant-based related products in Malaysia, Australia, Singapore, and internationally.
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Farm Fresh Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, marketing, and sale of cow's milk and plant-based related products in Malaysia, Australia, Singapore, and internationally. The company's products portfolio includes fresh milk, flavored milk, farm fresh grow, yoghurt and yoghurt drinks, goat milk, and other products; plant-based alternatives, such as soy, almond, and oat milk; and milk powder and ready-to-drink milk for children. It is also involved in the rearing of dairy cows and goats; agrotourism; property holding activities; holding of the semen and embryos of Australian Fresian Sahiwal dairy cattles; operation and licensing of Jomcha chain of beverage outlets; distribution and retail of dairy products; production, sale, and trade of ice cream; production, sale, and marketing of jams and sauces, butter, cream, and cheese products; and sale of food and beverage through e-commerce. In addition, the company operates café outlets; and licenses Inside Scoop café outlets. Further, it offers moola choco malt, farm fresh butter, and family pack full cream milk powder. The company sells its products under the Farm Fresh, Yarra Farm, Yarra by Farm Fresh, Master Barista, Henry Jones, Nubian Goat's Milk, Jom Cha by Farm Fresh, Taylor's, St David Dairy, Inside Scoop, Sin Wah, and Cream Hauz brands. It also exports its products. The company serves its products through the retailers, mini marts, convenience stores, and home dealer network. Farm Fresh Berhad was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Johor Bahru, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
FARM FRESH BERHAD (5306) currently trades at 1.97 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.15 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 71.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 2.05 MYR per share, and 2 of the 16 models we run sit above the 1.97 MYR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.1300 MYR, and 14 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.7900 MYR (bear) to 1.94 MYR (bull), the price of 1.97 MYR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
FARM FRESH BERHAD reported revenue of 1.1B MYR in FY2026 versus 502M MYR in FY2022, a compound +22.1%/yr. Reported net income was 130M MYR in FY2026, compounding +12.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap 4.2B MYR (≈ $1.0B) · P/E ratio 28.1 · P/S ratio 3.27 · EPS (TTM) 0.0700 MYR · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 11.6% · Return on equity 16.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at −42%, 5306 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.7900 MYRFair Value 1.15 MYRBull 1.94 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0339 MYR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+26.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+26.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 14%
2026 sits 102% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 668 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−42% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)17% · Top 25%
Return on assets6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.53× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)28.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.30× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)0.93× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA6.0× · Cheaper than median
PEG0.52× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)65· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)67· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)73· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)9· sector 58
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is FARM FRESH BERHAD (5306) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.15 MYR versus a price of 1.97 MYR, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5306?
Our model-based fair value for FARM FRESH BERHAD is 1.15 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.97 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5306?
FARM FRESH BERHAD has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for FARM FRESH BERHAD (5306)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.15 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.7900 MYR, optimistic scenario 1.94 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the FARM FRESH BERHAD stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.15 MYR, about −42% upside versus a price of 1.97 MYR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.7900 MYR, optimistic scenario 1.94 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of FARM FRESH BERHAD (5306)?
FARM FRESH BERHAD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does FARM FRESH BERHAD pay a dividend?
FARM FRESH BERHAD currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.44% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of FARM FRESH BERHAD (5306)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For FARM FRESH BERHAD it is 1.15 MYR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 1.97 MYR. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is FARM FRESH BERHAD stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 5306 trades above its calculated fair value: price 1.97 MYR, fair value 1.15 MYR, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5306?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.97 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.15 MYR). For FARM FRESH BERHAD the two are 0.8200 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is FARM FRESH BERHAD worth?
The market values FARM FRESH BERHAD at about 4.2B MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 1.97 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 1.15 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5306?
Our models span a range for FARM FRESH BERHAD: cautious scenario 0.7900 MYR, base 1.15 MYR, optimistic 1.94 MYR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 1.97 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5306?
FARM FRESH BERHAD trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.15 MYR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.5, P/B 1.3, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 6.0.
What is the PEG ratio of 5306?
The PEG ratio of FARM FRESH BERHAD is 0.52 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of FARM FRESH BERHAD (5306)?
Balance-sheet figures for FARM FRESH BERHAD (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 16.7%, debt of 0.53 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5306 from its 52-week high?
FARM FRESH BERHAD trades at 1.97 MYR, about 34% below its 52-week high of 2.99 MYR and 1% above the low of 1.95 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.15 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to FARM FRESH BERHAD?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is FARM FRESH BERHAD stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 1.97 MYR, calculated fair value 1.15 MYR (−42%), Quality Score 45/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5306 calculated?
We run FARM FRESH BERHAD through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.15 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. FARM FRESH BERHAD itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of FARM FRESH BERHAD (5306)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 1.97 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 1.15 MYR, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with FARM FRESH BERHAD right now?
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (0.7900 MYR to 1.94 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of FARM FRESH BERHAD
How large is the market capitalisation of FARM FRESH BERHAD (5306)?
The market capitalisation of FARM FRESH BERHAD is 4.2B MYR (≈ $1.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of FARM FRESH BERHAD (5306)?
The price-to-sales ratio of FARM FRESH BERHAD is 3.27 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of FARM FRESH BERHAD (5306)?
Earnings per share at FARM FRESH BERHAD are 0.0700 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of FARM FRESH BERHAD (5306)?
The dividend yield of FARM FRESH BERHAD is 0.4% (payout 12.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of FARM FRESH BERHAD (5306)?
The net margin of FARM FRESH BERHAD is 11.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of FARM FRESH BERHAD (5306)?
The return on equity (ROE) of FARM FRESH BERHAD is 16.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of FARM FRESH BERHAD (5306)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of FARM FRESH BERHAD is 7.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of FARM FRESH BERHAD (5306)?
The operating margin of FARM FRESH BERHAD is 12.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at FARM FRESH BERHAD (5306)?
Revenue at FARM FRESH BERHAD is growing +12.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at FARM FRESH BERHAD (5306)?
Earnings per share at FARM FRESH BERHAD are growing −1.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does FARM FRESH BERHAD (5306) generate?
The free cash flow of FARM FRESH BERHAD is −103M MYR (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does FARM FRESH BERHAD (5306) carry?
The net debt of FARM FRESH BERHAD is 575M MYR (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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