National Plastic Technologies Limited (531287) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of National Plastic Technologies Limited ₹21.86, price ₹213, upside -89.7%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹36.27 – ₹518.52 · fair‑value band ₹13.49 – ₹32.56 · the ₹213.00 price screens above the ₹21.86 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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National Plastic Technologies Limited manufactures and sells injection molded plastic products in India. It primarily serves automotive, consumer electronics, and IT peripherals industries. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is based in Chennai, India.
Stock analysis
National Plastic Technologies Limited (531287) currently trades at ₹213.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹21.86, 89.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of ₹132.32 per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹213.00 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹22.68, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹13.49 (bear) to ₹32.56 (bull), the price of ₹213.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Goods sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
National Plastic Technologies Limited reported revenue of ₹3.4B in FY2026 versus ₹1.3B in FY2022, a compound +26.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹91.7M in FY2026, compounding +26.1%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹172M (≈ $1.8M) · P/E ratio 66.9 · P/S ratio 1.80 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.3960 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 2.7% · Return on equity 1.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Goods peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at −90%, 531287 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹13.49Fair Value ₹21.86Bull ₹32.56
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.2018 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.7% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+34.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+31.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.31.6% vs 29.6%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +7.6% a year for the price.
Compare National Plastic Technologies Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Rubber & Plastics” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Materials · 3458 stocks
Beats the sector median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside+27.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1.0% · Below median
Return on assets3.6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)0.4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)6.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−4.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.19× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Materials median · lower = cheaper
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Is National Plastic Technologies Limited (531287) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹21.86 versus a price of ₹213.00, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 531287?
Our model-based fair value for National Plastic Technologies Limited is ₹21.86 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹213.00.
What is the quality score of 531287?
National Plastic Technologies Limited has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for National Plastic Technologies Limited (531287)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹21.86 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹13.49, optimistic scenario ₹32.56. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the National Plastic Technologies Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹21.86, about −90% upside versus a price of ₹213.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹13.49, optimistic scenario ₹32.56. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does National Plastic Technologies Limited pay a dividend?
National Plastic Technologies Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.07% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into National Plastic Technologies Limited (531287)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, National Plastic Technologies Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +12.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +30.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 531287 use?
Our models discount National Plastic Technologies Limited at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.32, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For National Plastic Technologies Limited that is +12.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has National Plastic Technologies Limited (531287) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at National Plastic Technologies Limited grew +30.6 % a year. The price currently implies +12.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
What is the free cash flow yield of National Plastic Technologies Limited (531287)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.10 %: that much free cash flow National Plastic Technologies Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of National Plastic Technologies Limited (531287)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For National Plastic Technologies Limited it is ₹21.86 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹213.00. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is National Plastic Technologies Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 531287 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹213.00, fair value ₹21.86, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 531287?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹213.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹21.86). For National Plastic Technologies Limited the two are ₹191.14 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is National Plastic Technologies Limited worth?
The market values National Plastic Technologies Limited at about ₹172M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹213.00; our models calculate a fair value of ₹21.86 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 531287?
Our models span a range for National Plastic Technologies Limited: cautious scenario ₹13.49, base ₹21.86, optimistic ₹32.56 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹213.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 531287?
National Plastic Technologies Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 66.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹21.86 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of National Plastic Technologies Limited (531287)?
Balance-sheet figures for National Plastic Technologies Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.0%, debt of 0.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 531287 from its 52-week high?
National Plastic Technologies Limited trades at ₹213.00, about 32% below its 52-week high of ₹312.50 and 8% above the low of ₹196.45 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹21.86 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to National Plastic Technologies Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Goods) we also value KRYPTONQ, HALDYNGL, TRITONV, Saint-Gobain Sekurit India Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is National Plastic Technologies Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹213.00, calculated fair value ₹21.86 (−90%), Quality Score 56/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 531287 calculated?
We run National Plastic Technologies Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹21.86, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. National Plastic Technologies Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of National Plastic Technologies Limited (531287)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹213.00. Our model-based fair value is ₹21.86, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with National Plastic Technologies Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹32.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹13.49 to ₹32.56) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of National Plastic Technologies Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of National Plastic Technologies Limited (531287)?
The market capitalisation of National Plastic Technologies Limited is ₹172M (≈ $1.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of National Plastic Technologies Limited (531287)?
The price-to-sales ratio of National Plastic Technologies Limited is 1.80 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of National Plastic Technologies Limited (531287)?
Earnings per share at National Plastic Technologies Limited are ₹0.3960 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 66.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of National Plastic Technologies Limited (531287)?
The dividend yield of National Plastic Technologies Limited is 3.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of National Plastic Technologies Limited (531287)?
The net margin of National Plastic Technologies Limited is 2.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of National Plastic Technologies Limited (531287)?
The return on equity (ROE) of National Plastic Technologies Limited is 1.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of National Plastic Technologies Limited (531287)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of National Plastic Technologies Limited is 10.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of National Plastic Technologies Limited (531287)?
The operating margin of National Plastic Technologies Limited is 6.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at National Plastic Technologies Limited (531287)?
Revenue at National Plastic Technologies Limited is growing −4.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at National Plastic Technologies Limited (531287)?
Earnings per share at National Plastic Technologies Limited are growing −19.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does National Plastic Technologies Limited (531287) carry?
The net debt of National Plastic Technologies Limited is ₹514M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 5.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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