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Shriram EPC Limited (532945) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Shriram EPC Limited ₹0.80, price ₹5.07, upside -84.2%, quality 25 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrial Goods · IN · ISIN INE964H01014

SE Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Shriram EPC Limited

532945 · BSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ₹0.8000 · Strongly overvalued (−84.2%)
!Quality 25/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -11.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
!Narrow moat 14/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹30.72 ₹3.81 Fair Value ₹0.8000 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹3.81 – ₹30.72 · fair‑value band ₹0.5300 – ₹1.00 · the ₹5.07 price screens above the ₹0.8000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Shriram EPC Limited provides integrated design, engineering, procurement, construction, and project management services in India and internationally.

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Shriram EPC Limited provides integrated design, engineering, procurement, construction, and project management services in India and internationally. The company offers turnkey contracting solutions, including design, engineering, and construction for ferrous and non-ferrous industries, cement plants, coke oven and by-product plants, process plants, and material handling plants; water and sewage treatment plants, intake wells and pump houses, underground drainage systems, water distribution, and pipe rehabilitation systems; biomass, thermal, and solar power plants, as well as wind farms; and mining and mineral processing. Shriram EPC Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Chennai, India.

Stock analysis

Shriram EPC Limited (532945) currently trades at ₹5.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹0.8000, 84.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 88/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: ₹0.5300 (bear) to ₹1.00 (bull), the price of ₹5.07 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrial Goods sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Shriram EPC Limited reported revenue of ₹5.8B in FY2021 versus ₹7.4B in FY2017, a compound −5.9%/yr. Reported net income was −₹1.8B in FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap ₹3.6B (≈ $36.9M) · P/E ratio 21.3 · P/S ratio 0.37 · EPS (TTM) ₹−0.7900 · Net margin −30.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.6% · Operating margin 1.0% · Revenue (TTM) ₹9.6B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrial Goods peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −84%, 532945 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹0.5300 Fair Value ₹0.8000 Bull ₹1.00
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) ₹5.17 ₹6.92 ₹10.33 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹5.17 ₹6.92 ₹10.33 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−8.3% (2016) → −16.3% (2021)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

532945 screens overvalued: fair value 84% below the price. Compare with Raymond Limited →

Compare Shriram EPC Limited with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “General Contractors” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5266 stocks

Beats the sector median on 0/10 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −85.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −11.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −66.7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.20× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Industrials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.4× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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10 more General Contractors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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BATLIBOI BATLIBOI ₹82.38 ₹24.39 −70%
FLUIDOM FLUIDOM ₹720.75 ₹792.83 +10%
Axtel Industries Limited 523850 ₹438.75 ₹482.63 +10%
DHPIND DHPIND ₹499.95 ₹446.69 −11%
BETXIND BETXIND ₹510.00 ₹398.53 −22%
VBCFERROQ VBCFERROQ ₹40.50 ₹46.54 +15%
T & I Global Limited 522294 ₹177.45 ₹233.60 +32%

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Shriram EPC Limited · Fair Value
₹0.8000 −84%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shriram EPC Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/532945

Frequently asked questions

Is Shriram EPC Limited (532945) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹0.8000 versus a price of ₹5.07, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 532945?
Our model-based fair value for Shriram EPC Limited is ₹0.8000 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹5.07.
What is the quality score of 532945?
Shriram EPC Limited has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shriram EPC Limited (532945)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹0.8000 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹0.5300, optimistic scenario ₹1.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shriram EPC Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹0.8000, about −84% upside versus a price of ₹5.07 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹0.5300, optimistic scenario ₹1.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shriram EPC Limited (532945)?
Shriram EPC Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹9.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shriram EPC Limited (532945)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shriram EPC Limited it is ₹0.8000 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹5.07. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shriram EPC Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 532945 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹5.07, fair value ₹0.8000, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 532945?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹5.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹0.8000). For Shriram EPC Limited the two are ₹4.27 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shriram EPC Limited worth?
The market values Shriram EPC Limited at about ₹3.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹5.07; our models calculate a fair value of ₹0.8000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 532945?
Our models span a range for Shriram EPC Limited: cautious scenario ₹0.5300, base ₹0.8000, optimistic ₹1.00 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹5.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 532945?
Shriram EPC Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹0.8000 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: EV/EBITDA 11.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shriram EPC Limited (532945)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shriram EPC Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): debt of 0.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 532945 from its 52-week high?
Shriram EPC Limited trades at ₹5.07, about 58% below its 52-week high of ₹12.17 and 9% above the low of ₹4.65 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹0.8000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shriram EPC Limited?
From the same area (Industrial Goods) we also value Raymond Limited, FRONTSP, DISAQ, BATLIBOI, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shriram EPC Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹5.07, calculated fair value ₹0.8000 (−84%), Quality Score 25/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 532945 calculated?
We run Shriram EPC Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹0.8000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Shriram EPC Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shriram EPC Limited (532945)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹5.07. Our model-based fair value is ₹0.8000, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shriram EPC Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (₹0.5300 to ₹1.00) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Shriram EPC Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Shriram EPC Limited (532945)?
The market capitalisation of Shriram EPC Limited is ₹3.6B (≈ $36.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shriram EPC Limited (532945)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shriram EPC Limited is 0.37 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shriram EPC Limited (532945)?
Earnings per share at Shriram EPC Limited are ₹−0.7900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Shriram EPC Limited (532945)?
The net margin of Shriram EPC Limited is −30.8% (fiscal year 2021). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shriram EPC Limited (532945)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shriram EPC Limited is −0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shriram EPC Limited (532945)?
The operating margin of Shriram EPC Limited is 1.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shriram EPC Limited (532945)?
Revenue at Shriram EPC Limited is growing −66.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
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