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VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ (VBCFERROQ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ ₹39.87, price ₹40.80, upside -2.3%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrial Goods · IN · ISIN INE114E01013

VF Thin data Sep 23, 2026

VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$

VBCFERROQ · BSE

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value ₹39.87 · Fairly valued (−2%)
!Quality 54/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +60.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.6% net margin (FY2023)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹71.15 ₹11.64 Fair Value ₹39.87 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹11.64 – ₹71.15 · fair‑value band ₹39.87 – ₹72.22 · the ₹40.80 price screens above the ₹39.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Stock analysis

VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ (VBCFERROQ) currently trades at ₹40.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹39.87, implying the stock looks roughly 2.3% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹132.99 per share, and 7 of the 10 models we run sit above the ₹40.80 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ₹27.22, and 3 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹39.87 (bear) to ₹72.22 (bull), the price of ₹40.80 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrial Goods sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ reported revenue of ₹1.8B in FY2023 versus ₹41.9M in FY2019, a compound +154.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹27.3M in FY2023.

Key figures

Market cap ₹669M (≈ $7.0M) · Net margin 1.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.9% · Free cash flow −₹285M · Net debt ₹507M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrial Goods peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −2%, VBCFERROQ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹39.87 Fair Value ₹39.87 Bull ₹72.22
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings ₹54.64 ₹132.99 ₹278.37 66
Residual Income ₹46.33 ₹43.18 ₹31.92 66
P/E Multiple ₹20.42 ₹27.22 ₹34.03 63
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹54.64 ₹132.99 ₹278.37 66
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹10.89 ₹75.94 ₹106.58 59
Lynch FV ₹39.24 ₹56.05 ₹72.87 57
PEG = 1.0 ₹39.24 ₹56.05 ₹72.87 53
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹20.42 ₹27.22 ₹34.03 63
P/S Multiple ₹20.42 ₹27.22 ₹34.03 58
P/B Multiple ₹20.42 ₹27.22 ₹34.03 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹34.76 ₹46.57 ₹69.51 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹46.33 ₹43.18 ₹31.92 66
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹48.27 ₹68.96 ₹89.65 63

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 10
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+90.0%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+60.5%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−122.0% (2019) → −3.5% (2023)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 261 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.27× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 4.1× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)30 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 34
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)87 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 24

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS $400.02 $109.07 −73%
ATI Inc ATI $186.56 $39.75 −79%
Mueller Industries, Inc MLI $59.90 $59.33 −1%
Aurubis AG NDA €171.10 €109.36 −36%
China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 ¥9.02 ¥12.34 +37%
Commercial Metals Company CMC $65.00 $13.01 −80%
JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 ¥25.84 ¥5.68 −78%
Viohalco S.A VIO €17.66 €16.01 −9%
ESAB Corporation ESAB $68.44 $56.92 −17%
Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 ¥95.18 ¥44.23 −54%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VBCFERROQ

Frequently asked questions

Is VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ (VBCFERROQ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹39.87 versus a price of ₹40.80, about −2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of VBCFERROQ?
Our model-based fair value for VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ is ₹39.87 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹40.80.
What is the quality score of VBCFERROQ?
VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ (VBCFERROQ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹39.87 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹39.87, optimistic scenario ₹72.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹39.87, about −2% upside versus a price of ₹40.80 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ₹39.87, optimistic scenario ₹72.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ (VBCFERROQ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ it is ₹39.87 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ₹40.80. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, VBCFERROQ trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹40.80, fair value ₹39.87, a gap of about −2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VBCFERROQ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹40.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹39.87). For VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ the two are ₹0.9300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ worth?
The market values VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ at about ₹669M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ₹40.80; our models calculate a fair value of ₹39.87 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VBCFERROQ?
Our models span a range for VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$: cautious scenario ₹39.87, base ₹39.87, optimistic ₹72.22 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ₹40.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ (VBCFERROQ)?
Balance-sheet figures for VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ (as of Sep 23, 2026): debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VBCFERROQ from its 52-week high?
VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ trades at ₹40.80, about 30% below its 52-week high of ₹58.00 and 11% above the low of ₹36.72 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹39.87 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$?
From the same area (Industrial Goods) we also value Carpenter Technology Corporation, ATI Inc, Mueller Industries, Inc, Aurubis AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ₹40.80, calculated fair value ₹39.87 (−2%), Quality Score 54/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VBCFERROQ calculated?
We run VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹39.87, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ (VBCFERROQ)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ₹40.80. Our model-based fair value is ₹39.87, about −2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (₹39.87 to ₹72.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$

How large is the market capitalisation of VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ (VBCFERROQ)?
The market capitalisation of VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ is ₹669M (≈ $7.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the net margin of VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ (VBCFERROQ)?
The net margin of VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ is 1.6% (fiscal year 2023). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ (VBCFERROQ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ is −7.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ (VBCFERROQ) generate?
The free cash flow of VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ is −₹285M (fiscal year 2023). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ (VBCFERROQ) carry?
The net debt of VBC FERRO ALLOYS LTD.-$ is ₹507M (fiscal year 2023). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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