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Shanghai International Airport Co (600009) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 59.9B CNY

SI Shanghai International Airport Co 600009 · SHG
Price¥23.93
Fair Value¥17.09
Upside-28.6%
Quality58/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.94% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/15)
Moderate moat 52/100
Evidence: High Range ¥12.53 – ¥21.65 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +4.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 29% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥21.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥63.18 ¥22.48 Fair Value ¥17.09 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥22.48 – ¥63.18 · fair‑value band ¥12.53 – ¥21.65 · the ¥23.93 price screens above the ¥17.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanghai International Airport Co (600009) currently trades at ¥23.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥17.09, implying the stock looks roughly 28.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai International Airport Co generated revenue of 13.4B CNY at a net margin of 16.3%. Revenue grew 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.5%. Net debt stands at 2.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥12.53 (bear case) to ¥21.65 (bull case); at ¥23.93, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at -29%, 600009 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥29.97 ¥48.51 ¥80.15 80
Residual Income ¥13.19 ¥13.44 ¥12.97 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥19.86 ¥28.21 ¥39.10 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥30.19 ¥50.52 ¥86.23 38
Owner Earnings ¥24.77 ¥40.59 ¥68.39 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥19.86 ¥28.19 ¥39.10 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥27.10 ¥43.21 ¥63.39 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥21.57 ¥31.72 ¥43.17 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥22.80 ¥31.91 ¥45.25 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥27.94 ¥42.97 ¥65.72 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥24.26 ¥34.52 ¥48.68 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.78 ¥27.50 ¥37.83 54
Lynch FV ¥7.31 ¥10.45 ¥13.58 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥7.31 ¥10.45 ¥13.58 46
EPV ¥14.07 ¥15.46 ¥16.68 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥4.87 ¥10.12 ¥16.05 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥4.87 ¥8.53 ¥10.62 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥12.76 ¥17.01 ¥21.27 63
P/S Multiple ¥10.06 ¥13.41 ¥16.76 58
P/B Multiple ¥10.85 ¥14.46 ¥18.08 55
EV/EBIT ¥20.21 ¥25.04 ¥29.86 53
EV/EBITDA ¥27.27 ¥34.45 ¥41.63 54
EV/Revenue ¥15.12 ¥19.14 ¥23.16 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥8.55 ¥11.45 ¥17.10 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥29.97 ¥48.51 ¥80.15 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥19.86 ¥28.21 ¥39.10 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥13.19 ¥13.44 ¥12.97 76
ROIC Compounder ¥14.07 ¥15.46 ¥16.68 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥11.20 ¥16.00 ¥20.80 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥34.52) versus Dividend Discount (¥8.53). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 13.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.8%
Net margin 16.3%
Return on equity 5.5%
Free cash flow 4.7B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 27.7
More key figures
Operating margin 17.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.8700
Dividend yield 1.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +9.5%
Net debt 2.8B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 93
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 72
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai International Airport Co., Ltd. provides ground support services for domestic and foreign air transport companies and passengers in China. It offers long-distance passenger stations, parking lot management, and parking services, as well as freight forwarding, customs declaration, inspection, and other services.

Full company description

Shanghai International Airport Co., Ltd. provides ground support services for domestic and foreign air transport companies and passengers in China. It offers long-distance passenger stations, parking lot management, and parking services, as well as freight forwarding, customs declaration, inspection, and other services. The company is also involved in the operating and leasing aviation business premises, commercial premises, and office premises, domestic trade; foreign air transport businesses and passengers; advertising management; air transport relevant business; comprehensive development, operating other investment projects permitted by national policies; parking lot management and parking extension services; inspection and customs declaration agent businesses. In addition, it is involved in the operation of restaurants and hotels; air freight; and air logistics businesses. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China. Shanghai International Airport Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Shanghai Airport (Group) Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai International Airport Co reported revenue of ¥13.3B in FY2025 versus ¥8.2B in FY2021, a compound +13.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.1B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
13.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+34.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+25.4%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y)
+12.8%
Revenue +13.1%/yr
FY21 ¥8.2B
FY22 ¥5.5B
FY23 ¥11.0B
FY24 ¥12.4B
FY25 ¥13.3B
Net income
FY21 −¥1.6B
FY22 −¥3.0B
FY23 ¥934M
FY24 ¥1.9B
FY25 ¥2.1B

600009 screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Aena S.M.E., S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai International Airport Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600009

Peer Group

Airports & Air Services · 55 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Below median
Fair Value upside −29% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Above median
Revenue growth 1% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.41× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.48× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.48× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 36
FUTURE 4 · sector 31
PAST 22 · sector 45
HEALTH 97 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 39 · sector 45

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 42/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Airports & Air Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Aena S.M.E., S.A AENA €26.24 €28.41 +8%
Airports of Thailand Public Company TATD 2.50 SGD 1.26 SGD -50%
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. PAC $220.91 $246.06 +11%
GMR Airports Limited GMRINFRA ₹112.80 ₹22.29 -80%
Flughafen Zürich AG FHZN CHF 237.20 CHF 121.30 -49%
Auckland International Airport Limited AIA A$7.11 A$2.80 -61%
Fraport AG FRA €69.35 €49.83 -28%
Københavns Lufthavne A/S KBHL kr 5,660 kr 1,821 -68%
SATS Ltd S58 4.45 SGD 4.03 SGD -9%
Flughafen Wien Aktiengesellschaft, FLU €50.60 €46.33 -8%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai International Airport Co (600009) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥17.09 versus a price of ¥23.93, about −29% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600009?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai International Airport Co is ¥17.09 (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥23.93.
What is the quality score of 600009?
Shanghai International Airport Co has a Quality Score of 58/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai International Airport Co (600009)?
Shanghai International Airport Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 13.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600009?
The net profit margin of Shanghai International Airport Co is about 16.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shanghai International Airport Co pay a dividend?
Shanghai International Airport Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.00% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 6, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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