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Flughafen Zürich AG (FHZN) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CH · Market cap CHF 7.2B

FZ Flughafen Zürich AG FHZN · SW
PriceCHF 237.60
Fair ValueCHF 121.30
Upside-49.0%
Quality61/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 25.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.59% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Wide moat 71/100
Evidence: High Range CHF 94.45 – CHF 205.32 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from CHF 121.59 to CHF 121.30 (−0.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −5.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 49% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 205.32). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (CHF 94.45 to CHF 205.32) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

CHF 255.02 CHF 132.38 Fair Value CHF 121.30 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 132.38 – CHF 255.02 · fair‑value band CHF 94.45 – CHF 205.32 · the CHF 237.60 price screens above the CHF 121.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Flughafen Zürich AG (FHZN) currently trades at CHF 237.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 121.30, implying the stock looks roughly 49.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Flughafen Zürich AG generated revenue of CHF 1.4B at a net margin of 25.5%. Revenue grew 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.3%. Net debt stands at CHF 1.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from CHF 94.45 (bear case) to CHF 205.32 (bull case); at CHF 237.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at -49%, FHZN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF CHF 4.97 CHF 25.11 CHF 51.92 80
Residual Income CHF 91.46 CHF 102.60 CHF 160.39 76
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 19.21 CHF 58.37 CHF 101.29 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF CHF 3.94 CHF 26.17 CHF 57.35 38
Owner Earnings CHF 15.24 31
5Y Revenue Exit CHF 19.21 CHF 58.36 CHF 107.53 39
5Y EBITDA Exit CHF 108.49 CHF 220.18 CHF 348.33 41
5Y P/E Exit CHF 66.89 CHF 144.78 CHF 224.41 38
10Y Revenue Exit CHF 10.68 CHF 44.19 CHF 87.43 36
10Y EBITDA Exit CHF 67.83 CHF 152.18 CHF 261.92 37
10Y P/E Exit CHF 42.22 CHF 101.86 CHF 172.12 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd CHF 76.75 CHF 202.19 CHF 264.04 54
PEG = 1.0 CHF 38.79 CHF 55.42 CHF 72.05 46
EPV CHF 74.72 CHF 93.61 CHF 109.91 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM CHF 50.07 CHF 98.20 CHF 151.07 70
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 50.07 CHF 75.99 CHF 102.61 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple CHF 169.31 CHF 225.75 CHF 282.18 63
P/S Multiple CHF 83.13 CHF 110.85 CHF 138.56 58
P/B Multiple CHF 143.91 CHF 191.89 CHF 239.86 55
EV/EBIT CHF 171.53 CHF 243.68 CHF 315.84 53
EV/EBITDA CHF 199.58 CHF 281.07 CHF 362.57 54
EV/Revenue CHF 32.67 CHF 65.92 CHF 99.18 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 51.29 CHF 68.73 CHF 102.58 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF CHF 4.97 CHF 25.11 CHF 51.92 80
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 19.21 CHF 58.37 CHF 101.29 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income CHF 91.46 CHF 102.60 CHF 160.39 76
ROIC Compounder CHF 74.72 CHF 93.61 CHF 115.62 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E CHF 133.12 CHF 190.17 CHF 247.22 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (CHF 191.89) versus Growth DCF (CHF 25.11). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) CHF 1.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.6%
Net margin 25.5%
Return on equity 11.3%
Free cash flow CHF 145M FY2025
P/E ratio 21.0
More key figures
Operating margin 34.8%
EPS (TTM) CHF 11.28
Dividend yield 3.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +5.8%
Net debt CHF 1.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 48
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Flughafen Zürich AG owns and operates the Zurich Airport in Switzerland. The company operates through Aviation; Passengers with Reduced Mobility (PRM); Usage Fees; Air Security; Access Fees; Noise; Non-Regulated Business; and International segments.

Full company description

Flughafen Zürich AG owns and operates the Zurich Airport in Switzerland. The company operates through Aviation; Passengers with Reduced Mobility (PRM); Usage Fees; Air Security; Access Fees; Noise; Non-Regulated Business; and International segments. It provides infrastructure and services related to flight operations, including the runway system, apron zones, passenger zones in the terminals, freight operations, passenger handling and services, and safety; support for passengers with reduced mobility; and check-in areas and facilities, baggage sorting and handling system, aircraft power supply system, handling apron areas, and the related services and fees. The company also offers passenger and aircraft security measures consisting of systems, operation, and maintenance to prevent actions that affect the security of commercial civil aviation, such as facilities for checks on passengers, hand luggage, checked baggage, and freight. In addition, it provides air security-related equipment and services comprising relevant systems, operation, and maintenance; and airport policing duties, surveillance patrols, and other security-related duties. Further, the company develops, markets, and operates commercial infrastructure at Zurich Airport, including retail and restaurant/catering operations at the airport, renting premises, parking services, and various commercial services; and provides consulting services. Additionally, it develops and operates other airports in Brazil, Chile, Curaçao, Colombia, and India. Flughafen Zürich AG was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Zurich, Switzerland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Flughafen Zürich AG reported revenue of CHF 1.4B in FY2025 versus CHF 680M in FY2021, a compound +18.9%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 347M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
CHF 1.4B
Latest YoY
+2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+16.9%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+3.4%
Revenue +18.9%/yr
FY21 CHF 680M
FY22 CHF 1.0B
FY23 CHF 1.2B
FY24 CHF 1.3B
FY25 CHF 1.4B
Net income
FY21 −CHF 10.1M
FY22 CHF 207M
FY23 CHF 304M
FY24 CHF 327M
FY25 CHF 347M

FHZN screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Aena S.M.E., S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Flughafen Zürich AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FHZN

Peer Group

Airports & Air Services · 55 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −49% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 35% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.49× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.85× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 6.59× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 62.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 6.73× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 36
FUTURE 18 · sector 31
PAST 45 · sector 45
HEALTH 76 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 72 · sector 45

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Airports & Air Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Aena S.M.E., S.A AENA €26.24 €28.41 +8%
Airports of Thailand Public Company TATD 2.50 SGD 1.26 SGD -50%
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. PAC $220.91 $246.06 +11%
GMR Airports Limited GMRINFRA ₹112.80 ₹22.29 -80%
Shanghai International Airport Co 600009 ¥24.08 ¥17.09 -29%
Auckland International Airport Limited AIA A$7.11 A$2.80 -61%
Fraport AG FRA €69.35 €49.83 -28%
Københavns Lufthavne A/S KBHL kr 5,660 kr 1,821 -68%
SATS Ltd S58 4.45 SGD 4.03 SGD -9%
Flughafen Wien Aktiengesellschaft, FLU €50.60 €46.33 -8%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Flughafen Zürich AG (FHZN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 121.30 versus a price of CHF 237.60, about −49% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FHZN?
Our model-based fair value for Flughafen Zürich AG is CHF 121.30 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is CHF 237.60.
What is the quality score of FHZN?
Flughafen Zürich AG has a Quality Score of 61/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Flughafen Zürich AG (FHZN)?
Flughafen Zürich AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 1.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FHZN?
The net profit margin of Flughafen Zürich AG is about 25.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 25.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Flughafen Zürich AG pay a dividend?
Flughafen Zürich AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.64% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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