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Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. (PAC) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $15.1B

GA Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. logo Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. PAC · US
Price$222.70
Fair Value$246.06
Upside+10.5%
Quality58/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 30.4% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
3.47% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Wide moat 86/100
Evidence: High Range $132.86 – $481.31 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $4,045 to $246.06 (−93.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −5.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 10% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($132.86 to $481.31). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Our model range runs from $132.86 (bear) to $481.31 (bull), base $246.06. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 58/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$300.41 $81.35 Fair Value $246.06 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $81.35 – $300.41 · fair‑value band $132.86 – $481.31 · the $222.70 price screens below the $246.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. (PAC) currently trades at $222.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $246.06, implying the stock looks roughly 10.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. generated revenue of $32.8B at a net margin of 30.4%. Revenue grew 2.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 37.6%. Net debt stands at $36.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $132.86 (bear case) to $481.31 (bull case); at $222.70, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside, at 10%, PAC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1,139 $2,896 $5,776 80
Residual Income $1,173 $1,367 $6,101 76
Rev-Margin DCF $626.93 $1,534 $3,438 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1,252 $2,340 $5,805 38
Owner Earnings $287.10 $1,385 31
5Y Revenue Exit $512.46 $1,258 $2,810 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $2,899 $6,084 $12,347 41
5Y P/E Exit $2,165 $5,952 $11,168 38
10Y Revenue Exit $712.10 $2,100 $2,910 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $2,489 $7,240 $15,812 37
10Y P/E Exit $1,954 $5,659 $11,876 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1,310 $9,134 $12,818 54
Lynch FV $4,719 $6,741 $8,764 50
PEG = 1.0 $4,719 $6,741 $8,764 46
EPV $1,825 $2,236 $2,597 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1,505 $3,129 $4,963 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1,505 $2,638 $3,284 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3,034 $4,045 $5,056 63
P/S Multiple $939.64 $1,253 $1,566 58
P/B Multiple $1,461 $1,947 $2,434 55
EV/EBIT $3,671 $5,110 $6,549 53
EV/EBITDA $3,360 $4,695 $6,031 54
EV/Revenue $143.74 $482.02 $820.29 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $216.38 $289.95 $432.77 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1,139 $2,896 $5,776 80
Rev-Margin DCF $626.93 $1,534 $3,438 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1,173 $1,367 $6,101 76
ROIC Compounder $2,759 $4,936 $6,491 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $6,172 $8,818 $11,463 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($8,818) versus Asset-Based ($289.95). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $32.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.8%
Net margin 30.4%
Return on equity 37.6%
Free cash flow $5.9B FY2025
P/E ratio 22.1
More key figures
Operating margin 44.5%
EPS (TTM) $11.52
Dividend yield 3.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +15.7%
Net debt $36.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 68
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 34
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and manages airports in Mexico and Jamaica. The company operates twelve international airports in the Pacific and Central region of Mexico; and two international airports in Jamaica.

Full company description

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and manages airports in Mexico and Jamaica. The company operates twelve international airports in the Pacific and Central region of Mexico; and two international airports in Jamaica. It also offers aeronautical services, such as passenger, aircraft landing, parking charges, leasing of space to these airlines, airport security and passenger walkway, and airport bus; complementary services, including baggage handling, catering, aircraft maintenance and repair, and fuel; cargo handling; and ground transportation services. In addition, the company provides non-aeronautical services, such as redesigning and modernizing terminal spaces and developing new commercial projects; telephone and internet services; and ground handling services under the brand Primesky, as well as advertising services. Further, it engages in commercial activities comprising leasing space in terminals to airlines and other service providers; retail stores, such as souvenir and gift shops, fashion and footwear stores, pharmacies, jewelry, electronics, cosmetics, and others; and various food and beverage services, as well as leasing space and designated parking areas to car rental service companies, including service counters, reservation booths, and vehicle parking facilities; and leasing space to timeshare developers, financial service providers, communications, and to operators of duty-free stores. Additionally, the company operates parking facilities; VIP lounges; convenience stores; and vending machines. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Guadalajara, Mexico.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. reported revenue of $32.5B in FY2025 versus $19.0B in FY2021, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was $10.0B in FY2025, compounding +13.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$32.5B
Latest YoY
+21.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+22.3%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+27.3%
Revenue +14.4%/yr
FY21 $19.0B
FY22 $27.4B
FY23 $33.2B
FY24 $26.8B
FY25 $32.5B
Net income +13.6%/yr
FY21 $6.0B
FY22 $9.0B
FY23 $9.5B
FY24 $8.6B
FY25 $10.0B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PAC

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Airports & Air Services · 55 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Below median
Fair Value upside +11% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 44% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.96× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.1× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.07× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 47 · sector 36
FUTURE 14 · sector 31
PAST 100 · sector 45
HEALTH 2 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 69 · sector 46

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Airports & Air Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Aena S.M.E., S.A AENA €26.24 €28.41 +8%
Airports of Thailand Public Company TATD 2.44 SGD 1.25 SGD -49%
GMR Airports Limited GMRINFRA ₹112.80 ₹22.29 -80%
Flughafen Zürich AG FHZN CHF 237.20 CHF 121.30 -49%
Shanghai International Airport Co 600009 ¥24.08 ¥17.09 -29%
Auckland International Airport Limited AIA A$7.11 A$2.80 -61%
Fraport AG FRA €69.35 €49.83 -28%
Københavns Lufthavne A/S KBHL kr 5,660 kr 1,821 -68%
SATS Ltd S58 4.82 SGD 4.03 SGD -16%
Flughafen Wien Aktiengesellschaft, FLU €50.60 €46.33 -8%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. (PAC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $246.06 versus a price of $222.70, about +10% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PAC?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. is $246.06 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $222.70.
What is the quality score of PAC?
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. (PAC)?
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $32.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PAC?
The net profit margin of Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. is about 30.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 30.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. pay a dividend?
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.47% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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