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Sinolink Securities Co (600109) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · CN · Market cap 32.6B CNY

SS Sinolink Securities Co 600109 · SHG
Price¥8.73
Fair Value¥10.45
Upside+19.7%
Quality61/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 27.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.91% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range ¥7.83 – ¥13.06 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +1.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 20% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
  • Our model range runs from ¥7.83 (bear) to ¥13.06 (bull), base ¥10.45. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 61/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥13.75 ¥7.03 Fair Value ¥10.45 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.03 – ¥13.75 · fair‑value band ¥7.83 – ¥13.06 · the ¥8.73 price screens below the ¥10.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Sinolink Securities Co (600109) currently trades at ¥8.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.45, implying the stock looks roughly 19.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sinolink Securities Co generated revenue of 8.8B CNY at a net margin of 27.0%. Revenue grew 28.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.8%. Net debt stands at 37.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥7.83 (bear case) to ¥13.06 (bull case); at ¥8.73, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 20%, 600109 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥37.40 ¥49.49 ¥70.85 80
Residual Income ¥7.67 ¥8.01 ¥8.32 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥29.79 ¥33.39 ¥38.26 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥31.93 ¥40.24 ¥55.55 31
5Y P/E Exit ¥31.45 ¥36.91 ¥43.17 38
10Y P/E Exit ¥33.37 ¥39.21 ¥47.55 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.18 ¥22.24 ¥30.81 54
Lynch FV ¥6.13 ¥8.76 ¥11.39 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.80 ¥5.81 ¥9.22 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.80 ¥4.90 ¥6.10 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.99 ¥7.99 ¥9.99 63
P/B Multiple ¥7.83 ¥10.45 ¥13.06 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.79 ¥6.41 ¥9.57 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥37.40 ¥49.49 ¥70.85 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥29.79 ¥33.39 ¥38.26 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.67 ¥8.01 ¥8.32 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥39.21) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.90). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 8.8B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +28.5%
Net margin 27.0%
Return on equity 6.8%
Free cash flow 4.0B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 13.1
More key figures
Operating margin 35.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.6500
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +19.0%
Net debt 37.5B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 97
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 70
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sinolink Securities Co., Ltd. provides investment banking and securities brokerage services in China. The company operates through five business segments: Wealth Management Business, Investment Banking Business, Institutional Services Business, Asset Business, and Proprietary Trading.

Full company description

Sinolink Securities Co., Ltd. provides investment banking and securities brokerage services in China. The company operates through five business segments: Wealth Management Business, Investment Banking Business, Institutional Services Business, Asset Business, and Proprietary Trading. The company offers commission treasure, research consulting, fixed income, national gold index, investment bank, market making trading, and over-the-counter market services. It also involved in the provision of agree to buy back, asset custody, stock option, Hong Kong stock connect, margin trading, and stock pledge services; and derivatives business. In addition, the company engages in securities investment consulting; financial consultancy related to securities; trading and securities investment activities; securities underwriting and sponsorship; securities proprietary trading; agency sales of securities investment funds and financial products; custody of securities investment funds; market making transactions by listed securities companies; provision of intermediary introduction services for futures companies; asset and fund management business; and commodity futures brokerage, financial futures brokerage, and futures investment consulting. It serves in banks, insurance, trusts, financial companies, and private equity funds fields. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Chengdu, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sinolink Securities Co reported revenue of ¥8.5B in FY2025 versus ¥8.2B in FY2021, a compound +0.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.3B in FY2025, compounding −0.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 65/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
8.5B CNY
Latest YoY
+28.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y)
+8.3%
Revenue +0.6%/yr
FY21 ¥8.2B
FY22 ¥6.8B
FY23 ¥8.0B
FY24 ¥6.6B
FY25 ¥8.5B
Net income −0.4%/yr
FY21 ¥2.3B
FY22 ¥1.2B
FY23 ¥1.7B
FY24 ¥1.7B
FY25 ¥2.3B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sinolink Securities Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600109

Peer Group

Asset Management · 973 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Above median
Fair Value upside +20% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 27% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 36% · Below median
Revenue growth 29% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.9% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.92× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.68× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 60 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 6
PAST 27 · sector 26
HEALTH 96 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 18 · sector 69

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sinolink Securities Co (600109) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥10.45 versus a price of ¥8.73, about +20% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600109?
Our model-based fair value for Sinolink Securities Co is ¥10.45 (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥8.73.
What is the quality score of 600109?
Sinolink Securities Co has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sinolink Securities Co (600109)?
Sinolink Securities Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600109?
The net profit margin of Sinolink Securities Co is about 27.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 27.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sinolink Securities Co pay a dividend?
Sinolink Securities Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.01% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 6, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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