Beijing Tiantan Biological Products Co (600161) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · CN · Market cap 24.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from ¥10.08 to ¥9.24 (−8.3%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +5.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 26% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (¥5.95 to ¥11.04) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥11.41 – ¥30.69 · fair‑value band ¥5.95 – ¥11.04 · the ¥12.49 price screens above the ¥9.24 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
Beijing Tiantan Biological Products Co (600161) currently trades at ¥12.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.24, implying the stock looks roughly 26.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing Tiantan Biological Products Co generated revenue of 6.0B CNY at a net margin of 16.2%. Revenue declined 13.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥5.95 (bear case) to ¥11.04 (bull case); at ¥12.49, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -26%, 600161 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥14.21) versus Asset-Based (¥3.98). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Beijing Tiantan Biological Products Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, sale, and marketing of blood products in China and internationally.
Full company description
Beijing Tiantan Biological Products Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, sale, and marketing of blood products in China and internationally. Its products include human serum albumin; intravenous human immunoglobulin; rabies immunoglobulin; tetanus immunoglobulin; hepatitis B immunoglobulin; freeze-dried intravenous hepatitis B human immunoglobulin; histamine human immunoglobulin; human prothrombin complex concentrate; lyophilized intravenous hepatitis B immunoglobulin; human coagulation factors VIII; human fibrinogen; recombinant human coagulation factor VIII for injection; and other blood products. The company was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Beijing Tiantan Biological Products Co reported revenue of ¥6.1B in FY2025 versus ¥4.1B in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.1B in FY2025, compounding +9.5%/yr from FY2021.
600161 screens 26% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →
Peer Group
Biotechnology · 603 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $486.03 | $278.78 | -43% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $664.45 | $594.40 | -11% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,368,000 KRW | 1,091,384 KRW | -20% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 175,800 KRW | 76,325 KRW | -57% |
| WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 | HK$39.54 | HK$30.42 | -23% |
| Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 | HK$86.70 | HK$19.66 | -77% |
| Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 | HK$5.26 | HK$3.36 | -36% |
| ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 | 276,500 KRW | 44,444 KRW | -84% |
| RemeGen Co 688331 | ¥134.02 | ¥26.99 | -80% |
| Biocon Limited BIOCON | ₹440.70 | ₹57.36 | -87% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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