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Xinjiang Guannong Co (600251) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 7.7B CNY

Price¥9.39
Fair Value¥5.72
Upside-39.1%
Quality92/100
Evidence: High Range ¥4.29 – ¥7.44

Analysis

Xinjiang Guannong Co (600251) currently trades at ¥9.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.72 — implying the stock looks roughly 39.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 92/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Xinjiang Guannong Co.,Ltd. engages in manufacturing, processing, trades, and selling agricultural products in China. Its products include cotton, tomato, beet sugar, as well as fruit and vegetables. The company exports its products. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Korla, China.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.