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Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co (600419) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 2.5B CNY

Price¥7.85
Fair Value¥9.93
Upside+26.5%
Quality90/100
Evidence: High Range ¥4.18 – ¥13.64

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

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Analysis

Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co (600419) currently trades at ¥7.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.93 — implying the stock looks roughly 26.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 90/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells dairy products in China. It offers milk, yogurt, and milk beer. It also engages in animal husbandry business. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Urumqi, China.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co (600419) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥9.93 versus a price of ¥7.85 — about +26% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 600419?
Our 21-model fair value for Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co is ¥9.93 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥7.85.
What is the quality score of 600419?
Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co has a Quality Score of 90/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.