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Hunan Corun New Energy Co (600478) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 8.4B CNY

HC Hunan Corun New Energy Co 600478 · SHG
Price¥4.97
Fair Value¥1.74
Upside-65.0%
Quality52/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.31 – ¥2.18 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ¥1.77 to ¥1.74 (−1.7%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +4.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 65% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.18). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥11.65 ¥3.09 Fair Value ¥1.74 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.09 – ¥11.65 · fair‑value band ¥1.31 – ¥2.18 · the ¥4.97 price screens above the ¥1.74 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Hunan Corun New Energy Co (600478) currently trades at ¥4.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.74, implying the stock looks roughly 65.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hunan Corun New Energy Co generated revenue of 5.8B CNY at a net margin of 2.5%. Revenue grew 2.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.0%. Net debt stands at 742M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.31 (bear case) to ¥2.18 (bull case); at ¥4.97, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -65%, 600478 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥2.71 ¥4.54 ¥7.51 80
Residual Income ¥1.30 ¥1.32 ¥1.25 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.68 ¥4.31 ¥6.65 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.78 ¥4.22 ¥7.88 38
Owner Earnings ¥1.79 ¥2.78 ¥4.67 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.68 ¥4.36 ¥6.87 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.77 ¥6.82 ¥11.10 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥2.31 ¥3.57 ¥5.10 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.63 ¥4.32 ¥6.99 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.43 ¥6.20 ¥11.05 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥2.45 ¥3.69 ¥5.65 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.5600 ¥3.52 ¥4.91 54
Lynch FV ¥1.01 ¥1.45 ¥1.88 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.01 ¥1.45 ¥1.88 46
EPV ¥2.42 ¥2.66 ¥2.87 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.7400 ¥1.48 ¥2.24 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.7400 ¥1.28 ¥1.56 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.31 ¥1.74 ¥2.18 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.06 ¥1.41 ¥1.76 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.06 ¥1.41 ¥1.76 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.28 ¥4.09 ¥4.90 53
EV/EBITDA ¥4.36 ¥5.53 ¥6.70 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.59 ¥3.33 ¥4.07 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.8600 ¥1.15 ¥1.71 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.71 ¥4.54 ¥7.51 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.68 ¥4.31 ¥6.65 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.30 ¥1.32 ¥1.25 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.73 ¥3.51 ¥4.59 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.45 ¥2.07 ¥2.69 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥4.31) versus Asset-Based (¥1.15). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.8B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.5%
Net margin 2.5%
Return on equity 2.0%
Free cash flow 232M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 69.6
More key figures
Operating margin 7.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0800
EPS growth (YoY) +4.5%
Net debt 742M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 71
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 7
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hunan Corun New Energy Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the energy storage, and lithium and nickel batteries sectors in China and internationally.

Full company description

Hunan Corun New Energy Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the energy storage, and lithium and nickel batteries sectors in China and internationally. The company offers battery-grade lithium carbonate; consumer lithium batteries comprising shared charging cabinets, sweeper batteries, electric two-wheeler lithium batteries, and electric scooter lithium batteries; and generation and grid side, commercial and industrial, and behind-the-meter energy storage products. It also provides nickel battery materials consisting of continuous strip nickel and omni-directional conductive foams, punched and nickel-plated steel strips, nickel strips, hydrogen storage alloy materials, tin-plated copper strips, and tin-plate PI films; nickel battery components, such as battery positive and negative plates; nickel vehicle power battery products, including passenger car battery energy packs, and battery modules and cells; nickel battery energy packs for rail transit; and nickel battery management systems. In addition, the company mines for lithium deposits; trades in non-ferrous metals; and undertakes energy storage projects. Further, it engages in manufacturing; technology research and development; car rental and sales; scientific research and technical services; construction; and wholesale and retail trade activities. The company exports its products. Hunan Corun New Energy Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Chenzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hunan Corun New Energy Co reported revenue of ¥5.7B in FY2025 versus ¥3.1B in FY2021, a compound +17.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥140M in FY2025, compounding +35.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+45.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+14.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+17.7%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+17.9%
Revenue +17.1%/yr
FY21 ¥3.1B
FY22 ¥3.8B
FY23 ¥3.7B
FY24 ¥3.9B
FY25 ¥5.7B
Net income +35.1%/yr
FY21 ¥42.2M
FY22 ¥179M
FY23 −¥68.5M
FY24 ¥78.1M
FY25 ¥140M

600478 screens 65% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hunan Corun New Energy Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600478

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −65% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.35× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 62.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.90× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.46× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 5.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 13.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 13 · sector 57
PAST 8 · sector 26
HEALTH 83 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.82 CHF 35.46 -58%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hunan Corun New Energy Co (600478) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.74 versus a price of ¥4.97, about −65% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600478?
Our model-based fair value for Hunan Corun New Energy Co is ¥1.74 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥4.97.
What is the quality score of 600478?
Hunan Corun New Energy Co has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hunan Corun New Energy Co (600478)?
Hunan Corun New Energy Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600478?
The net profit margin of Hunan Corun New Energy Co is about 2.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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