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Shanghai Aj Group (600643) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · CN · Market cap 6.2B CNY

SA Shanghai Aj Group 600643 · SHG
Price¥3.92
Fair Value¥3.82
Upside-2.6%
Quality38/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -146.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 18/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥2.46 – ¥5.28 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ¥4.11 to ¥3.82 (−7.1%) since Jul 25, 2026. Share price +3.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥2.46 to ¥5.28) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥8.16 ¥3.70 Fair Value ¥3.82 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.70 – ¥8.16 · fair‑value band ¥2.46 – ¥5.28 · the ¥3.92 price screens above the ¥3.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanghai Aj Group (600643) currently trades at ¥3.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.82, implying the stock looks roughly 2.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 1.4B CNY. Revenue declined 36.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -18.5%. Net debt stands at 3.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.46 (bear case) to ¥5.28 (bull case); at ¥3.92, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -3%, 600643 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ¥2.43 ¥3.75 ¥5.14 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.43 ¥3.46 ¥4.57 61
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.08 ¥4.13 ¥6.16 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.43 ¥3.75 ¥5.14 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.43 ¥3.46 ¥4.57 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.08 ¥4.13 ¥6.16 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥4.13) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.46). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -36.8%
Net margin -146%
Return on equity -18.5%
Free cash flow −5.2B CNY FY2025
Operating margin 15.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-1.26
EPS growth (YoY) -91.4%
Net debt 3.7B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai Aj Group Co.,Ltd provides wealth and asset management services primarily for the financial industry in China. It offers investment management, business and technical consulting, technical, property, engineering management, and enterprise management consulting.

Full company description

Shanghai Aj Group Co.,Ltd provides wealth and asset management services primarily for the financial industry in China. It offers investment management, business and technical consulting, technical, property, engineering management, and enterprise management consulting. The company also provides industrial investment; domestic and international freight forwarding; domestic trade agency; parking and advertising services, as well as trust, securities, financial leasing, and private equity investment services. It is also involved in import and export of goods and technology; wholesale of jewelry; and sale of gold and silver products. The company was formerly known as Shanghai Industrial and Commercial Aiguo Construction Company. Shanghai Aj Group Co.,Ltd was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai Aj Group reported revenue of ¥1.6B in FY2025 versus ¥4.3B in FY2021, a compound −22.4%/yr. Reported net income was −¥1.9B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.6B CNY
Latest YoY
−20.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−19.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−18.5%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+11.4%
Revenue −22.4%/yr
FY21 ¥4.3B
FY22 ¥3.0B
FY23 ¥2.4B
FY24 ¥2.0B
FY25 ¥1.6B
Net income
FY21 ¥1.2B
FY22 ¥483M
FY23 ¥99.5M
FY24 −¥531M
FY25 −¥1.9B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Aj Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600643

Peer Group

Asset Management · 973 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −3% · Below median
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -146% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Below median
Revenue growth -37% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.26× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.09× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.68× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 30 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 87 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 69

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Aj Group (600643) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.82 versus a price of ¥3.92, about −3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 600643?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Aj Group is ¥3.82 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥3.92.
What is the quality score of 600643?
Shanghai Aj Group has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Aj Group (600643)?
Shanghai Aj Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600643?
The net profit margin of Shanghai Aj Group is about -146.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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