J-Yuan Trust Co (600816) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · CN · Market cap 24.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ¥0.2000 to ¥1.35 (+575.0%) since Jul 25, 2026. Share price +4.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 47% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.68). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.91 – ¥5.73 · fair‑value band ¥1.01 – ¥1.68 · the ¥2.56 price screens above the ¥1.35 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
Analysis
J-Yuan Trust Co (600816) currently trades at ¥2.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.35, implying the stock looks roughly 47.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 1.0B CNY. Revenue declined 38.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 25.0M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.01 (bear case) to ¥1.68 (bull case); at ¥2.56, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -47%, 600816 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥1.23) versus Asset-Based (¥0.9700). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
J-Yuan Trust Co., Ltd. operates as a trust company in China. It also engages in loans, leasing, investment, and Deposit activities, as well as the provision of cash management, fixed-income, securities investment, equity investment, and family trust services.
Full company description
J-Yuan Trust Co., Ltd. operates as a trust company in China. It also engages in loans, leasing, investment, and Deposit activities, as well as the provision of cash management, fixed-income, securities investment, equity investment, and family trust services. The company was formerly known as Anxin Trust Co., Ltd and changed its name to J-Yuan Trust Co., Ltd. in May 2023. J-Yuan Trust Co., Ltd. was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China. J-Yuan Trust Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Shanghai Di'an Investment Management Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
J-Yuan Trust Co reported revenue of ¥1.0B in FY2025 versus ¥225M in FY2021, a compound +46.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥117M in FY2025.
600816 screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →
Peer Group
Asset Management · 971 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fondul Proprietatea SA FP | $0.0420 | $0.0800 | +90% |
| BlackRock, Inc BLK | $1,136 | $465.75 | -59% |
| Blackstone Inc BX | $124.56 | $16.35 | -87% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 423.70 | kr 847.40 | +100% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | C$62.45 | C$10.12 | -84% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $100.94 | $44.88 | -56% |
| AB Industrivärden INDUA | kr 532.50 | kr 1,065 | +100% |
| Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN | ₹242.98 | ₹40.19 | -83% |
| Hedef Holding HEDEF | 267.25 TRY | 320.98 TRY | +20% |
| Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG | ₹10,398 | ₹9,202 | -12% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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