Beijing Urban Rural Commercial Group Co Ltd (600861) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 7.5B CNY (≈ $1.1B) · ISIN CNE000000GS5
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price −2.7% over the past month.
A solid business, trading 71% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥34.10). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥12.16 – ¥28.07 · fair‑value band ¥34.10 – ¥56.59 · the ¥13.19 price screens below the ¥45.46 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
Analysis
Beijing Urban Rural Commercial Group Co Ltd (600861) currently trades at ¥13.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥45.46, implying the stock looks roughly 244.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing Urban Rural Commercial Group Co Ltd generated revenue of 45.7B CNY at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue grew 5.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 7.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥34.10 (bear case) to ¥56.59 (bull case); at ¥13.19, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 245%, 600861 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥96.01) versus Asset-Based (¥8.65). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
FESCO Group Co., Ltd. operates in the human resources service industry in China. The company offers human resources services, including personnel management, welfare services, business outsourcing, salary and benefits, recruitment and flexible employment, and consulting services to various organizations.
Full company description
FESCO Group Co., Ltd. operates in the human resources service industry in China. The company offers human resources services, including personnel management, welfare services, business outsourcing, salary and benefits, recruitment and flexible employment, and consulting services to various organizations. It also provides vocational education, international education, international talent services, talent development consulting, human resources management consulting, legal consulting, background checks, and off-the-job placement solutions. The company was formerly known as Beijing Urban-Rural Commercial (Group)Co., Ltd. FESCO Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1979 and is based in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Beijing Urban Rural Commercial Group Co Ltd reported revenue of ¥45.2B in FY2025 versus ¥697M in FY2021, a compound +183.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.2B in FY2025.
of which total revenue +35.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −5.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Staffing & Employment Services · 84 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Staffing & Employment Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Staffing & Employment Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adecco Group ADEN | CHF 24.16 | CHF 24.08 | -0% |
| Korn Ferry, KFY | $83.30 | $114.56 | +38% |
| Robert Half Inc RHI | $44.54 | $20.51 | -54% |
| TriNet Group TNET | $69.61 | $97.07 | +39% |
| ManpowerGroup Inc MAN | $61.96 | $23.19 | -63% |
| Insperity, Inc NSP | $51.91 | $17.34 | -67% |
| Grupa Pracuj S.A GPP | 53.50 PLN | 65.45 PLN | +22% |
| Barrett Business Services, Inc BBSI | $32.95 | $38.11 | +16% |
| Maharah for Human Resources Company 1831 | 5.36 SAR | 6.87 SAR | +28% |
| Kforce Inc KFRC | $57.71 | $31.40 | -46% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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