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Hongfa Technology Co (600885) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 54.4B CNY

HT Hongfa Technology Co 600885 · SHG
Price¥35.41
Fair Value¥23.85
Upside-32.7%
Quality57/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 9.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.98% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥17.89 – ¥29.81 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

A solid business, but screening 33% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥29.81). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥38.95 ¥15.54 Fair Value ¥23.85 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥15.54 – ¥38.95 · fair‑value band ¥17.89 – ¥29.81 · the ¥35.41 price screens above the ¥23.85 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Hongfa Technology Co (600885) currently trades at ¥35.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥23.85, implying the stock looks roughly 32.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hongfa Technology Co generated revenue of 18.3B CNY at a net margin of 10.0%. Revenue grew 28.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 152M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥17.89 (bear case) to ¥29.81 (bull case); at ¥35.41, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -33%, 600885 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥19.27 ¥36.21 ¥67.97 80
Residual Income ¥7.94 ¥10.12 ¥25.97 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥17.76 ¥32.43 ¥54.04 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥20.02 ¥32.79 ¥68.26 38
Owner Earnings ¥18.05 ¥37.50 ¥77.66 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥17.76 ¥31.41 ¥56.07 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥24.07 ¥45.25 ¥81.21 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥19.76 ¥37.93 ¥60.98 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥17.82 ¥33.68 ¥54.48 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥22.80 ¥45.36 ¥86.20 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥19.79 ¥37.40 ¥66.97 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥7.72 ¥52.21 ¥73.17 54
Lynch FV ¥15.31 ¥21.87 ¥28.43 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥15.31 ¥21.87 ¥28.43 46
EPV ¥17.77 ¥20.36 ¥22.62 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥17.89 ¥23.85 ¥29.81 63
P/S Multiple ¥14.48 ¥19.31 ¥24.13 58
P/B Multiple ¥14.48 ¥19.31 ¥24.13 55
EV/EBIT ¥25.36 ¥33.06 ¥40.77 53
EV/EBITDA ¥26.30 ¥34.32 ¥42.35 54
EV/Revenue ¥16.24 ¥22.24 ¥28.24 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.08 ¥5.47 ¥8.16 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥19.27 ¥36.21 ¥67.97 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥17.76 ¥32.43 ¥54.04 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.94 ¥10.12 ¥25.97 76
ROIC Compounder ¥21.30 ¥29.44 ¥40.62 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥21.19 ¥30.27 ¥39.36 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥37.40) versus Asset-Based (¥5.47). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 18.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +28.2%
Net margin 10.0%
Return on equity 16.5%
Free cash flow 1.8B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 26.5
More key figures
Operating margin 15.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.23
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +11.4%
Net cash 152M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 37
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hongfa Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and supplies relays, medium and low voltage electrical appliances, high and low voltage complete equipment, connectors, capacitors, precision parts, and automation equipment worldwide.

Full company description

Hongfa Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and supplies relays, medium and low voltage electrical appliances, high and low voltage complete equipment, connectors, capacitors, precision parts, and automation equipment worldwide. The company offers power, automotive, high voltage dc, latching, signal, high-frequency, reed, industrial, and solid-state relays; relay socket and module; application electronic modules; low-voltage devices, such as control appliance, distribution appliance, and terminal apparatus; and fuse, vacuum interrupters, and automation equipment. It provides film capacitor applications, such as reactive compensation, AC filter, lighting, telecommunication, home appliance, power supply, industrial controls, etc. The company was formerly known as WuHan LiNuo Solar Energy Group Co., Ltd. Hongfa Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Xiamen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hongfa Technology Co reported revenue of ¥17.2B in FY2025 versus ¥10.0B in FY2021, a compound +14.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.8B in FY2025, compounding +13.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
17.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+22.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+13.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+17.1%
Avg. growth/yr (33Y)
+14.6%
Revenue +14.5%/yr
FY21 ¥10.0B
FY22 ¥11.6B
FY23 ¥12.9B
FY24 ¥14.1B
FY25 ¥17.2B
Net income +13.4%/yr
FY21 ¥1.1B
FY22 ¥1.3B
FY23 ¥1.4B
FY24 ¥1.6B
FY25 ¥1.8B

600885 screens 33% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hongfa Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600885

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −33% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 36% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 4.31× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.74× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 4.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 13.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 57
PAST 68 · sector 26
HEALTH 99 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 20 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.82 CHF 35.46 -58%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hongfa Technology Co (600885) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥23.85 versus a price of ¥35.41, about −33% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600885?
Our model-based fair value for Hongfa Technology Co is ¥23.85 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥35.41.
What is the quality score of 600885?
Hongfa Technology Co has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hongfa Technology Co (600885)?
Hongfa Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 18.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600885?
The net profit margin of Hongfa Technology Co is about 10.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hongfa Technology Co pay a dividend?
Hongfa Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.10% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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