Guizhou Gas Group (600903) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · CN · Market cap 10.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated today
Share price −33.4% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range ¥6.25 – ¥10.52 · fair‑value band ¥0.5200 – ¥0.8300 · the ¥6.25 price screens above the ¥0.6900 fair value. As of Jul 11, 2026.
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Guizhou Gas Group (600903) currently trades at ¥6.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.6900 — implying the stock looks roughly 89.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Guizhou Gas Group generated revenue of 6.3B CNY at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue declined 13.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.2%. Net debt stands at 4.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.5200 (bear case) to ¥0.8300 (bull case); at ¥6.25, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside — at -89%, 600903 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Guizhou Gas Group Corporation Ltd. operates as a city gas and energy supply services provider in China. The company engages in the sale of gas; construction, operation, and service management of natural gas branch pipelines, urban gas transmission and distribution systems, liquefied natural gas receiving and storage supply stations, gas stations, and other facilities, as well as engineering design, construction, and maintenance. It also purchases pipeline natural gas, liquefied natural gas, shale gas, biomass gas and other gas sources. The company transports and distributes its products to urban residents, commercial, industrial, heating, gas stations, comprehensive energy users and other users through natural gas branch pipelines, gate stations, storage and distribution stations, transmission and distribution pipelines, and other facilities. Guizhou Gas Group Corporation Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is based in Guiyang, China.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guizhou Gas Group reported revenue of ¥6.6B in FY2025 versus ¥5.1B in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥47.1M in FY2025, compounding −28.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naturgy Energy Group GASNY | $6.51 | $6.59 | +1% |
| Atmos Energy Corporation ATO | $169.27 | $87.09 | -49% |
| Snam S.p.A SRG | €6.25 | €4.39 | -30% |
| Uniper SE UN0 | €45.45 | €33.83 | -26% |
| NiSource Inc NI | $46.61 | $34.64 | -26% |
| The Hong Kong and China Gas Company HOKCY | $0.8537 | $0.4100 | -52% |
| Tokyo Gas Co TKGSF | $39.85 | $65.41 | +64% |
| Osaka Gas Co OSGSY | $69.87 | $36.28 | -48% |
| Italgas S.p.A ITGGF | $12.50 | $10.23 | -18% |
| GAIL (India) Limited GAIL | ₹168.01 | ₹123.97 | -26% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.