GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of GAIL (India) Limited stock ₹117, price ₹186, that is 37.1% below the price, quality 52 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹67.78 – ₹223.88 · fair‑value band ₹78.42 – ₹190.80 · the ₹185.99 price screens above the ₹116.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 2, 2026.
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GAIL (India) Limited operates as a natural gas processing and distribution company in India and internationally. It operates through Transmission Services, Natural Gas Marketing, Petrochemicals, LPG and Other Liquid Hydrocarbons, and Other segments.
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The company is involved in the transmission and marketing of natural gas through pipelines to the power, fertilizer, industrial, automotive, petrochemical, domestic, and commercial sectors; exploration and production activities; and marketing of compressed biogas, city gas, and biofuels.
It also produces and markets liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), propane, pentane, naphtha, mixed fuel oil, ethylene, propylene, and polypropylene; and manufactures petrochemicals, such as high-density and linear low-density polyethylene under the G-Lex and G-Lene brands.
In addition, the company generates wind and solar power. GAIL (India) Limited was incorporated in 1984 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Stock analysis
GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL) currently trades at ₹185.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹116.94, 37% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹184.06 per share, and 4 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹185.99 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ₹59.94, and 22 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹78.42 (bear) to ₹190.80 (bull), the price of ₹185.99 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
GAIL (India) Limited reported revenue of ₹1.4T in FY2026 versus ₹928B in FY2022, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹75.8B in FY2026, compounding −11.3%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹1.2T (≈ $12.9B) Large · P/E ratio 9.7 · P/S ratio 0.77 · EPS (TTM) ₹19.20 · Dividend yield 3.0% · Net margin 7.9% · Return on equity 13.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −37%, GAIL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear₹78.42Fair Value ₹116.94Bull₹190.80
Price ₹185.99 · Downside -37.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹8.22 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.75/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.5% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−0.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−3.7% vs 9.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2005 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25% → 5%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+31.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +26.6% a year for the price and +1.4% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Gas · 107 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Above median
Fair Value upside−37.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)13.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets5.4% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)7.9% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)12.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)32.6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)3.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.15× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)9.7× · Cheapest 25%
P/B1.37× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)0.77× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow50.1× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA7.5× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)54· sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)92· sector 82
DIVIDEND (yield)59· sector 68
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹116.94 versus a price of ₹185.99, about 37% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GAIL?
Our model-based fair value for GAIL (India) Limited is ₹116.94 (as of Nov 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹185.99.
What is the quality score of GAIL?
GAIL (India) Limited has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹116.94 (as of Nov 2, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹78.42, optimistic scenario ₹190.80. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GAIL (India) Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹116.94, about 37% lower versus a price of ₹185.99 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹78.42, optimistic scenario ₹190.80. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL)?
GAIL (India) Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹1.6T (latest available figure, as of Nov 2, 2026).
Does GAIL (India) Limited pay a dividend?
GAIL (India) Limited currently shows a dividend yield of 2.96% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, GAIL (India) Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +31.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +19.8 % per year. As of Nov 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GAIL use?
Our models discount GAIL (India) Limited at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.54, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For GAIL (India) Limited that is +31.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at GAIL (India) Limited grew +19.8 % a year. The price currently implies +31.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into GAIL (India) Limited (+31.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.00 %: that much free cash flow GAIL (India) Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GAIL (India) Limited it is ₹116.94 per share (as of Nov 2, 2026), against a price of ₹185.99. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GAIL (India) Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 2, 2026, GAIL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹185.99, fair value ₹116.94, a gap of about −37% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GAIL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹185.99); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹116.94). For GAIL (India) Limited the two are ₹69.05 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GAIL (India) Limited worth?
The market values GAIL (India) Limited at about ₹1.2T (market capitalisation, as of Nov 2, 2026). Per share that is ₹185.99; our models calculate a fair value of ₹116.94 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GAIL?
Our models span a range for GAIL (India) Limited: cautious scenario ₹78.42, base ₹116.94, optimistic ₹190.80 per share (as of Nov 2, 2026, price ₹185.99). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GAIL?
GAIL (India) Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.7 (as of Nov 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹116.94 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 7.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL)?
Balance-sheet figures for GAIL (India) Limited (as of Nov 2, 2026): return on equity 13.6%, debt of 0.15 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GAIL from its 52-week high?
GAIL (India) Limited trades at ₹185.99, at its 52-week high of ₹186.22 and 37% above the low of ₹135.40 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹116.94 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GAIL (India) Limited?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Naturgy Energy Group, Atmos Energy Corporation, Snam S.p.A, NiSource Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GAIL (India) Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 2, 2026: price ₹185.99, calculated fair value ₹116.94 (−37%), Quality Score 52/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GAIL calculated?
We run GAIL (India) Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹116.94, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6% above its aggregate fair value. GAIL (India) Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was ₹185.99. Our model-based fair value is ₹116.94, about 37% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GAIL (India) Limited right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹78.42 to ₹190.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL) come from?
Earnings per share at GAIL (India) Limited grew +15.5 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +11.5 %, EBIT margin −4.5 %, tax rate +1.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +6.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of GAIL (India) Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL)?
The market capitalisation of GAIL (India) Limited is ₹1.2T (≈ $12.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GAIL (India) Limited is 0.77 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL)?
Earnings per share at GAIL (India) Limited are ₹19.20 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL)?
The dividend yield of GAIL (India) Limited is 3.0% (payout 28.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL)?
The net margin of GAIL (India) Limited is 7.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GAIL (India) Limited is 13.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GAIL (India) Limited is 14.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL)?
The operating margin of GAIL (India) Limited is 12.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL)?
Revenue at GAIL (India) Limited is growing +32.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL)?
Earnings per share at GAIL (India) Limited are growing +139% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL) carry?
The net debt of GAIL (India) Limited is ₹239B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 9.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 2, 2026