GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · IN · Market cap ₹1.1T
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from ₹147.58 to ₹147.74 (+0.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹120.21 to ₹245.06) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹67.78 – ₹223.88 · fair‑value band ₹120.21 – ₹245.06 · the ₹176.40 price screens above the ₹147.74 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL) currently trades at ₹176.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹147.74, implying the stock looks roughly 16.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, GAIL (India) Limited generated revenue of ₹1.4T at a net margin of 5.4%. Revenue declined 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. Net debt stands at ₹239B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹120.21 (bear case) to ₹245.06 (bull case); at ₹176.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -23% fair-value upside, at -16%, GAIL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (₹196.05) versus Growth DCF (₹65.37). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GAIL (India) Limited operates as a natural gas processing and distribution company in India and internationally. It operates through Transmission Services, Natural Gas Marketing, Petrochemicals, LPG and Other Liquid Hydrocarbons, and Other segments.
Full company description
GAIL (India) Limited operates as a natural gas processing and distribution company in India and internationally. It operates through Transmission Services, Natural Gas Marketing, Petrochemicals, LPG and Other Liquid Hydrocarbons, and Other segments. The company is involved in the transmission and marketing of natural gas through pipelines to the power, fertilizer, industrial, automotive, petrochemical, domestic, and commercial sectors; exploration and production activities; and marketing of compressed biogas, city gas, and biofuels. It also produces and markets liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), propane, pentane, naphtha, mixed fuel oil, ethylene, propylene, and polypropylene; and manufactures petrochemicals, such as high-density and linear low-density polyethylene under the G-Lex and G-Lene brands. In addition, the company generates wind and solar power. GAIL (India) Limited was incorporated in 1984 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
GAIL (India) Limited reported revenue of ₹1.4T in FY2026 versus ₹928B in FY2022, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹75.8B in FY2026, compounding −11.3%/yr from FY2022.
GAIL screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Naturgy Energy Group →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- GAIL (India) Ltd (GAILF) (Q1 FY2027) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Profit Surge on LPG ...
- India's GAIL seeks 5-to-10-year LNG deal, sources say
- Gail India extends gas purchase agreement with Oil India for 15 years
- GAIL India's Dabhol LNG terminal goes all-weather with first monsoon cargo
Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Gas · 103 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naturgy Energy Group NTGY | €28.84 | €35.80 | +24% |
| Atmos Energy Corporation ATO | $177.68 | $85.67 | -52% |
| NiSource Inc NI | $47.07 | $28.59 | -39% |
| Uniper SE UN0 | €42.80 | €49.13 | +15% |
| The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 | HK$7.03 | HK$5.08 | -28% |
| Italgas S.p.A IG | €9.98 | €8.11 | -19% |
| ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 | ¥16.69 | ¥25.71 | +54% |
| Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL | ₹723.90 | ₹101.36 | -86% |
| UGI Corporation UGI | $35.84 | $27.13 | -24% |
| Southwest Gas Holdings SWX | $92.06 | $70.67 | -23% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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