Yueyang Forest & Paper Co (600963) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 6.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026 — revised from ¥12.99 to ¥0.6100 (−95.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −15.0% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range ¥3.01 – ¥6.55 · fair‑value band ¥0.2900 – ¥1.01 · the ¥3.06 price screens above the ¥0.6100 fair value. As of Jul 11, 2026.
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Yueyang Forest & Paper Co (600963) currently trades at ¥3.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.6100 — implying the stock looks roughly 80.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Yueyang Forest & Paper Co generated revenue of 8.5B CNY at a net margin of -3.2%. Revenue declined 7.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.5%. Net debt stands at 9.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.2900 (bear case) to ¥1.01 (bull case); at ¥3.06, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -5% fair-value upside — at -80%, 600963 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Yueyang Forest & Paper Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells cultural, commercial pulp, industrial, and packaging paper products in China and internationally. The company offers refined lightweight coated, offset printing, pure wood pulp, light glue master, copy, and light offset paper products, as well as kraft, stretch paper bag, high-strength paper bag, fine paper bag, handbag, food packaging, coated, composite base, wet curtain, dissolving pulp, and other paper products. It serves publishing houses, magazines, large printing plants, paper product processing enterprises, and paper product distributors. Yueyang Forest & Paper Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Yueyang Paper Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Yueyang Forest & Paper Co., Ltd. in June 2011. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Yueyang, China.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Yueyang Forest & Paper Co reported revenue of ¥8.6B in FY2025 versus ¥7.8B in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was −¥235M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klabin S.A KLBN11 | R$16.86 | R$2.95 | -83% |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPMKF | $29.33 | $17.60 | -40% |
| Suzano S.A SUZB3 | R$41.45 | R$84.96 | +105% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB | kr 101.90 | kr 49.40 | -52% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥13.24 | ¥9.88 | -25% |
| Holmen AB HLMMF | $35.72 | $32.71 | -8% |
| Mondi plc MNODF | $9.70 | $9.25 | -5% |
| Oji Holdings OJIPY | $55.39 | $61.84 | +12% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$7.04 | HK$8.99 | +28% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 1,065 CLP | 1,733 CLP | +63% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.