Empresas CMPC S.A (CMPC) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CL · Market cap 2.6T CLP
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 20 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from 1,263 CLP to 1,269 CLP (+0.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −4.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 23% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from 953.73 CLP (bear) to 1,583 CLP (bull), base 1,269 CLP. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 46/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 919.79 CLP – 1,919 CLP · fair‑value band 953.73 CLP – 1,583 CLP · the 1,030 CLP price screens below the 1,269 CLP fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Empresas CMPC S.A (CMPC) currently trades at 1,030 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,269 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 23.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Empresas CMPC S.A generated revenue of 7.5B CLP at a net margin of 2.4%. Revenue grew 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.0%. Net debt stands at 5.3B CLP. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 953.73 CLP (bear case) to 1,583 CLP (bull case); at 1,030 CLP, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside, at 23%, CMPC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 20 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (2,546 CLP) versus Growth DCF (944.47 CLP). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Empresas CMPC S.A. engages in the production and sale of pulp and wood products in Chile and internationally. It operates through Pulp, Biopackaging, and Softys segments. The Pulp segment produces and markets pulp, forestry, and lumber products to the industrial pulp mills, remanufactured products, and plywood plants.
Full company description
Empresas CMPC S.A. engages in the production and sale of pulp and wood products in Chile and internationally. It operates through Pulp, Biopackaging, and Softys segments. The Pulp segment produces and markets pulp, forestry, and lumber products to the industrial pulp mills, remanufactured products, and plywood plants. This segment also offers sawn lumber, remanufactured products, and plywood sheets, as well as owns forest plantations, primarily pine and eucalyptus. The Biopackaging segment provides elaborated paper products, such as bags or industrial sacks, as well as molded pulp trays, and corrugation and corrugated cardboard boxes; manufactures and retails bags; and distributes papers. The Softys segment offers tissue products, such as toilet papers, paper towels, paper napkins, and facial tissues; sanitary products comprising baby diapers, wipes, adult diapers, and sanitary napkins; and specialized hygiene products for consumption in institutions and public places. This segment sells its products through supermarkets, pharmacies, and distributors under the Elite, Confort, Nova, Higienol, Sussex, Babysec, Cotidian, Ladysoft, Duetto, Cotton, Deluxe, Cremer, PomPom, and other brand names. The company was incorporated in 1920 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Empresas CMPC S.A reported revenue of 7.5B CLP in FY2025 versus 6.3B CLP in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was 202M CLP in FY2025, compounding −21.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Paper & Paper Products · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klabin S.A KLBN11 | R$17.58 | R$3.89 | -78% |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM | €23.45 | €15.47 | -34% |
| Suzano S.A SUZB3 | R$41.70 | R$138.01 | +231% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB | kr 103.00 | kr 49.40 | -52% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥14.13 | ¥17.29 | +22% |
| Holmen AB HOLMB | kr 305.40 | kr 217.72 | -29% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$7.55 | HK$8.73 | +16% |
| Xianhe Co 603733 | ¥22.05 | ¥24.32 | +10% |
| Billerud AB BILL | kr 68.70 | kr 48.60 | -29% |
| MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment Co 000815 | ¥12.12 | ¥1.63 | -87% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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