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Oji Holdings (OJIPY) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $4.7B

OH Oji Holdings logo Oji Holdings OJIPY · US
Price$55.39
Fair Value$61.84
Upside+11.6%
Quality50/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
4.12% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: High Range $40.86 – $75.89 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 19 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

A solid business, screening 12% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($40.86 to $75.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from $40.86 (bear) to $75.89 (bull), base $61.84. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 50/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$55.39 $25.31 Fair Value $61.84 Jun 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $25.31 – $55.39 · fair‑value band $40.86 – $75.89 · the $55.39 price screens below the $61.84 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Oji Holdings (OJIPY) currently trades at $55.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $61.84, implying the stock looks roughly 11.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Oji Holdings generated revenue of $1.9T at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue grew 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.0%. Net debt stands at $894B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $40.86 (bear case) to $75.89 (bull case); at $55.39, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 12%, OJIPY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Rev-Margin DCF $6.92 74
Growth-Adj P/E $40.59 $57.99 $75.39 68
P/E Multiple $54.49 $72.66 $90.82 63
All 19 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $11.71 $29.95 $54.34 31
5Y Revenue Exit $8.60 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $11.78 $43.38 $78.52 41
5Y P/E Exit $22.13 $44.28 38
10Y Revenue Exit $2.40 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $22.71 $51.49 37
10Y P/E Exit $8.78 $27.45 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $29.06 $61.43 $77.86 54
PEG = 1.0 $9.27 $13.25 $17.22 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple $54.49 $72.66 $90.82 63
P/S Multiple $54.49 $72.66 $90.82 58
P/B Multiple $54.49 $72.66 $90.82 55
EV/EBIT $1.41 $10.71 53
EV/EBITDA $41.21 $66.89 $92.56 54
EV/Revenue $9.12 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $40.15 $53.80 $80.29 50
Growth DCF
Rev-Margin DCF $6.92 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $61.15 $61.84 $59.16 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $40.59 $57.99 $75.39 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($72.66) versus Earnings-Based ($13.25). Highest evidence: Rev-Margin DCF (74).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.9T
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.7%
Net margin 3.0%
Return on equity 5.0%
Free cash flow $22.2B FY2026
P/E ratio 14.5
More key figures
Operating margin 1.7%
EPS (TTM) $3.81
Dividend yield 4.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -17.1%
Net debt $894B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 78
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 91
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Oji Holdings Corporation manufactures and sells pulp and paper products in Japan, China, rest of Asia, North and South America, Europe, Oceania, and internationally.

Full company description

Oji Holdings Corporation manufactures and sells pulp and paper products in Japan, China, rest of Asia, North and South America, Europe, Oceania, and internationally. The Household and Industrial Materials segment offers corrugated containers, containerboard, special paperboard, boxboards, packaging paper, liquid paper cartons, filters, folding cartons, kraft heavy-duty sacks, insulation, paper bags, paper cores, and plastic trays. This segment also provides facial tissues, toilet rolls, kitchen and hand towels, wet disinfecting wipes, masks, towels, incontinence aid products, nursing care products/disposable diapers, skincare products, products for professional use, and other nursing care products. Its Functional Materials segment offers food containers and packaging materials, functional films, functional materials for manufacturing and industrial use, agricultural materials, medical and hygiene-related materials, thermal paper, non-woven fabric, adhesive base paper, release liner sheets, printing and publication paper, and writing and office supplies, as well as specialty paper. The Forest Resources and Environment Marketing segment provides pulp, lumber, electric power, starch, and saccharified products, as well as afforestation and lumber processing services. Its Printing and Communications Media segment provides newsprints, printing and publication papers, and communication papers. The company also engages in the trading, sustainable packaging, logistics, engineering, real estate, and liquid packaging carton businesses; and provision of cellulose nanofiber and cellulose-related products, CellAraay-Heart cell culture substrate for controlled cell orientation, oji licorice, and PaPiPress products. The company was formerly known as Oji Paper Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Oji Holdings Corporation in October 2012. Oji Holdings Corporation was founded in 1873 and is headquartered in Chuo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Oji Holdings reported revenue of $2.0T in FY2026 versus $1.5T in FY2022, a compound +7.6%/yr. Reported net income was $58.9B in FY2026, compounding −9.4%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$2.0T
Latest YoY
+6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.8%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+1.8%
Revenue +7.6%/yr
FY22 $1.5T
FY23 $1.7T
FY24 $1.7T
FY25 $1.8T
FY26 $2.0T
Net income −9.4%/yr
FY22 $87.5B
FY23 $56.5B
FY24 $50.8B
FY25 $46.2B
FY26 $58.9B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oji Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OJIPY

Peer Group

Paper & Paper Products · 113 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside +12% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.1% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.51× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.5× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 49 · sector 20
FUTURE 4 · sector 7
PAST 20 · sector 12
HEALTH 75 · sector 91
DIVIDEND 82 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Klabin S.A KLBN11 R$17.58 R$3.89 -78%
UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM €23.45 €15.47 -34%
Suzano S.A SUZB3 R$41.70 R$138.01 +231%
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB kr 103.00 kr 49.40 -52%
Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 ¥14.13 ¥17.29 +22%
Holmen AB HOLMB kr 305.40 kr 217.72 -29%
Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 HK$7.55 HK$8.73 +16%
Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC 1,078 CLP 1,269 CLP +18%
Xianhe Co 603733 ¥22.05 ¥24.32 +10%
Billerud AB BILL kr 68.70 kr 48.60 -29%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Oji Holdings (OJIPY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $61.84 versus a price of $55.39, about +12% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OJIPY?
Our model-based fair value for Oji Holdings is $61.84 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $55.39.
What is the quality score of OJIPY?
Oji Holdings has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Oji Holdings (OJIPY)?
Oji Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.9T (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OJIPY?
The net profit margin of Oji Holdings is about 3.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Oji Holdings pay a dividend?
Oji Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.12% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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