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Hsino Tower Group (601096) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 11.5B CNY

HT Hsino Tower Group 601096 · SHG
Price¥4.31
Fair Value¥2.55
Upside-40.8%
Quality47/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.04% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.74 – ¥3.57 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ¥2.70 to ¥2.55 (−5.6%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +4.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 41% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥1.74 to ¥3.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

¥7.34 ¥3.47 Fair Value ¥2.55 Dec 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

32‑month range ¥3.47 – ¥7.34 · fair‑value band ¥1.74 – ¥3.57 · the ¥4.31 price screens above the ¥2.55 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Hsino Tower Group (601096) currently trades at ¥4.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.55, implying the stock looks roughly 40.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hsino Tower Group generated revenue of 9.7B CNY at a net margin of 4.0%. Revenue grew 5.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.74 (bear case) to ¥3.57 (bull case); at ¥4.31, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -41%, 601096 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.26 ¥1.55 ¥1.96 80
Residual Income ¥1.45 ¥1.55 ¥1.76 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.82 ¥2.65 ¥3.57 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.25 ¥1.57 ¥2.04 38
Owner Earnings ¥1.06 ¥1.29 ¥1.62 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.82 ¥2.66 ¥3.74 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.06 ¥3.10 ¥4.31 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥2.08 ¥3.14 ¥4.23 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.56 ¥2.27 ¥3.22 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.76 ¥2.58 ¥3.65 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.77 ¥2.60 ¥3.60 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.9400 ¥2.62 ¥3.44 54
Lynch FV ¥0.5200 ¥0.7500 ¥0.9700 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.5200 ¥0.7500 ¥0.9700 46
EPV ¥2.08 ¥2.33 ¥2.54 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.19 ¥2.91 ¥3.64 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.77 ¥2.36 ¥2.95 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.77 ¥2.36 ¥2.95 55
EV/EBIT ¥2.87 ¥3.63 ¥4.38 53
EV/EBITDA ¥2.76 ¥3.48 ¥4.20 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.23 ¥2.92 ¥3.61 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.8700 ¥1.17 ¥1.74 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.26 ¥1.55 ¥1.96 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.82 ¥2.65 ¥3.57 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.45 ¥1.55 ¥1.76 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.14 ¥2.54 ¥3.00 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.74 ¥2.48 ¥3.23 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥2.91) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.7500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 9.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.3%
Net margin 4.0%
Return on equity 8.3%
Free cash flow 154M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 30.8
More key figures
Operating margin 6.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1400
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +14.5%
Net cash 1.1B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 29
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hsino Tower Group Co., Ltd. engages research, development, manufacture, and sale of power transmission line towers. The company offers transmission line angle steel towers, steel tube towers, steel poles, structural frames, and steel structures.

Full company description

Hsino Tower Group Co., Ltd. engages research, development, manufacture, and sale of power transmission line towers. The company offers transmission line angle steel towers, steel tube towers, steel poles, structural frames, and steel structures. It is also involved in galvanization, tower maintenance, transmission line EPC, and steel structure EPC businesses. Hsino Tower Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1985 and is based in Jinan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hsino Tower Group reported revenue of ¥9.6B in FY2025 versus ¥7.2B in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥371M in FY2025, compounding +15.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
9.6B CNY
Latest YoY
−5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+3.0%
Revenue +7.5%/yr
FY21 ¥7.2B
FY22 ¥8.8B
FY23 ¥9.3B
FY24 ¥10.1B
FY25 ¥9.6B
Net income +15.7%/yr
FY21 ¥207M
FY22 ¥166M
FY23 ¥124M
FY24 ¥230M
FY25 ¥371M

601096 screens 41% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hsino Tower Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601096

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −41% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.47× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.19× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 11.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 19.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 27 · sector 57
PAST 33 · sector 26
HEALTH 99 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 21 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.82 CHF 35.46 -58%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hsino Tower Group (601096) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.55 versus a price of ¥4.31, about −41% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 601096?
Our model-based fair value for Hsino Tower Group is ¥2.55 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥4.31.
What is the quality score of 601096?
Hsino Tower Group has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hsino Tower Group (601096)?
Hsino Tower Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601096?
The net profit margin of Hsino Tower Group is about 4.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hsino Tower Group pay a dividend?
Hsino Tower Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.00% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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