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China Construction Bank Corporation (601939) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · CN · Market cap 2.7T CNY

CC China Construction Bank Corporation 601939 · SHG
Price¥10.11
Fair Value¥17.20
Upside+70.1%
Quality53/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 55.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
3.97% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range ¥12.90 – ¥21.50 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +4.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 70% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥12.90). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥10.97 ¥4.92 Fair Value ¥17.20 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.92 – ¥10.97 · fair‑value band ¥12.90 – ¥21.50 · the ¥10.11 price screens below the ¥17.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

China Construction Bank Corporation (601939) currently trades at ¥10.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥17.20, implying the stock looks roughly 70.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, China Construction Bank Corporation generated revenue of 614B CNY at a net margin of 55.6%. Revenue grew 5.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at 7.0T CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥12.90 (bear case) to ¥21.50 (bull case); at ¥10.11, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 70%, 601939 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥12.16 ¥13.53 ¥22.07 76
ROIC Compounder ¥23.92 ¥28.96 ¥35.38 72
Gordon GGM ¥4.06 ¥8.87 ¥14.92 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥26.98 ¥41.87 ¥68.56 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥9.00 ¥40.06 ¥54.87 54
Lynch FV ¥10.40 ¥14.86 ¥19.32 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥10.40 ¥14.86 ¥19.32 46
EPV ¥22.20 ¥24.54 ¥26.62 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥4.06 ¥8.87 ¥14.92 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥4.06 ¥7.27 ¥9.24 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥19.85 ¥26.47 ¥33.08 63
P/S Multiple ¥9.95 ¥13.26 ¥16.58 58
P/B Multiple ¥16.87 ¥22.50 ¥28.12 55
EV/EBIT ¥28.99 ¥35.68 ¥42.37 53
EV/EBITDA ¥24.54 ¥29.74 ¥34.94 54
EV/Revenue ¥18.22 ¥22.19 ¥26.17 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.88 ¥9.22 ¥13.76 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥12.16 ¥13.53 ¥22.07 76
ROIC Compounder ¥23.92 ¥28.96 ¥35.38 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥16.56 ¥23.66 ¥30.76 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥41.87) versus Dividend Discount (¥7.27). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 614B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.0%
Net margin 55.6%
Return on equity 9.6%
Free cash flow −2.4T CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 7.8
More key figures
Operating margin 68.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.30
Dividend yield 4.0%
Net debt 7.0T CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 22
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 94
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 57
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China Construction Bank Corporation engages in the provision of various banking and related financial services to individuals and corporate customers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through Corporate Finance Business, Personal Finance Business, Treasury and Asset Management Business, and Others segments.

Full company description

China Construction Bank Corporation engages in the provision of various banking and related financial services to individuals and corporate customers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through Corporate Finance Business, Personal Finance Business, Treasury and Asset Management Business, and Others segments. The company offers corporate and personal loans; trade financing; deposit taking and wealth management, agency, financial consulting and advisory, cash management, remittance and settlement, guarantee, and investment banking services to individuals, corporations, government agencies, and financial institutions. It is also involved in inter-bank deposit and placement transactions, repurchase and resale transactions, and invests in debt securities; trades in derivatives and foreign currencies; precious metal trading; and custody services. In addition, the company provides finance leasing, transfer and purchase of finance lease assets, and fixed-income investment; motor vehicle, business and household property, construction and engineering, liability insurance, hull and cargo, and short-term health and accidental injury insurance, as well as reinsurance; and cost consulting, whole-process engineering consulting, project management, investment consulting, and bidding agency services; and debt-to-equity swaps and relevant supporting businesses. Further, it engages in private equity investment and management of development funds and other private equity funds; investment banking related services, such as sponsoring and underwriting of public offerings, corporate merger and acquisition and restructuring, direct investment, asset management, and securities brokerage and market research; house rental business; raising and selling of funds; management of annuity and pension funds; and pension advisory service. China Construction Bank Corporation was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Construction Bank Corporation reported revenue of ¥1.4T in FY2025 versus ¥656B in FY2021, a compound +20.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥339B in FY2025, compounding +2.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.4T CNY
Latest YoY
+123.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+30.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+19.3%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+11.2%
Revenue +20.0%/yr
FY21 ¥656B
FY22 ¥615B
FY23 ¥609B
FY24 ¥608B
FY25 ¥1.4T
Net income +2.9%/yr
FY21 ¥303B
FY22 ¥325B
FY23 ¥333B
FY24 ¥336B
FY25 ¥339B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Construction Bank Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601939

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Diversified · 47 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +70% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 56% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 68% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.22× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.75× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.33× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 0.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.33× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 36
FUTURE 25 · sector 25
PAST 38 · sector 42
HEALTH 89 · sector 52
DIVIDEND 79 · sector 67

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JPMorgan Chase & Co JPM $341.10 $278.99 -18%
Bank of America Corporation BAC $59.67 $55.89 -6%
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited 601398 ¥7.50 ¥13.44 +79%
HSBC Holdings HSBC $100.52 $84.67 -16%
Agricultural Bank of China Limited 601288 ¥6.37 ¥11.85 +86%
Royal Bank of Canada RY C$305.74 C$190.48 -38%
Bank of China Limited 601988 ¥5.88 ¥9.80 +67%
Wells Fargo & Company WFCS C$23.58 C$27.40 +16%
Banco Santander, S.A SAN 51.02 PLN 55.60 PLN +9%
UBS Group UBSN 939.75 MXN 534.84 MXN -43%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Construction Bank Corporation (601939) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥17.20 versus a price of ¥10.11, about +70% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 601939?
Our model-based fair value for China Construction Bank Corporation is ¥17.20 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥10.11.
What is the quality score of 601939?
China Construction Bank Corporation has a Quality Score of 53/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China Construction Bank Corporation (601939)?
China Construction Bank Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 614B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601939?
The net profit margin of China Construction Bank Corporation is about 55.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 55.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does China Construction Bank Corporation pay a dividend?
China Construction Bank Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.88% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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